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Assessing the quality of aleatoric uncertainty estimates from uncertainty quantification (UQ) deep learning methods is important in scientific contexts, where uncertainty is physically meaningful and important to characterize and interpret…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-14 Rebecca Nevin , Aleksandra Ćiprijanović , Brian D. Nord

State-of-the-art computer codes for simulating real physical systems are often characterized by a vast number of input parameters. Performing uncertainty quantification (UQ) tasks with Monte Carlo (MC) methods is almost always infeasible…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Rohit Tripathy , Ilias Bilionis

Deep learning is gaining increasing popularity for spatiotemporal forecasting. However, prior works have mostly focused on point estimates without quantifying the uncertainty of the predictions. In high stakes domains, being able to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Dongxia Wu , Liyao Gao , Xinyue Xiong , Matteo Chinazzi , Alessandro Vespignani , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

We propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification via information bottleneck (IB-UQ) for scientific machine learning tasks, including deep neural network (DNN) regression and neural operator learning (DeepONet). Specifically, we…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-05-31 Ling Guo , Hao Wu , Wenwen Zhou , Yan Wang , Tao Zhou

Deep learning models for semantic segmentation are prone to poor performance in real-world applications due to the highly challenging nature of the task. Model uncertainty quantification (UQ) is one way to address this issue of lack of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-11-04 Rishabh Singh , Jose C. Principe

We present a transfer-learning generative downscaling framework to reconstruct fine resolution satellite images from coarse scale inputs. Our approach combines a lightweight U-Net transfer encoder with a diffusion-based generative model.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-08 Yang Xiang , Jingwen Zhong , Yige Yan , Petros Koutrakis , Eric Garshick , Meredith Franklin

Researchers have proposed several approaches for neural network (NN) based uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, most of the approaches are developed considering strong assumptions. Uncertainty quantification algorithms often perform…

In this paper we introduce concepts from uncertainty quantification (UQ) and numerical analysis for the efficient evaluation of stochastic high dimensional Newton iterates. In particular, we develop complex analytic regularity theory of the…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-05-23 Julio Enrique Castrillon-Candas , Mark Kon

We analyze an ensemble-based approach for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in atomistic neural networks. This method generates an epistemic uncertainty signal without requiring changes to the underlying multi-headed regression neural network…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-11-21 Idan Fonea , Amir Peles , Sivan Niv , Goren Gordon , Amir Natan

Safe deployment of graph neural networks (GNNs) under distribution shift requires models to provide accurate confidence indicators (CI). However, while it is well-known in computer vision that CI quality diminishes under distribution shift,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-21 Puja Trivedi , Mark Heimann , Rushil Anirudh , Danai Koutra , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is essential for creating trustworthy machine learning models. Recent years have seen a steep rise in UQ methods that can flag suspicious examples, however, it is often unclear what exactly these methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-31 Hao Sun , Boris van Breugel , Jonathan Crabbe , Nabeel Seedat , Mihaela van der Schaar

We present $\Delta$-UQ -- a novel, general-purpose uncertainty estimator using the concept of anchoring in predictive models. Anchoring works by first transforming the input into a tuple consisting of an anchor point drawn from a prior…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-06 Rushil Anirudh , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Spatiotemporal learning is challenging due to the intricate interplay between spatial and temporal dependencies, the high dimensionality of the data, and scalability constraints. These challenges are further amplified in scientific domains,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-17 David Keetae Park , Xihaier Luo , Guang Zhao , Seungjun Lee , Miruna Oprescu , Shinjae Yoo

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is an important building block for the reliable use of neural networks in real-world scenarios, as it can be a useful tool in identifying faulty predictions. Speech emotion recognition (SER) models can suffer…

声音 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Oliver Schrüfer , Manuel Milling , Felix Burkhardt , Florian Eyben , Björn Schuller

Time-frequency distributions (TFDs) play a vital role in providing descriptive analysis of non-stationary signals involved in realistic scenarios. It is well known that low time-frequency (TF) resolution and the emergency of cross-terms…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-01 Lei Jiang , Haijian Zhang , Lei Yu

Graphical models have demonstrated their exceptional capabilities across numerous applications. However, their performance, confidence, and trustworthiness are often limited by the inherent randomness in data generation and the lack of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Chao Chen , Chenghua Guo , Rui Xu , Jiujiu Chen , Xiangwen Liao , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie , Hui Xiong , Philip Yu

This paper presents a novel machine-learning framework for reconstructing low-order gust-encounter flow field and lift coefficients from sparse, noisy surface pressure measurements. Our study thoroughly investigates the time-varying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Hanieh Mousavi , Jeff D. Eldredge

Extreme sensor sparsity makes full-field reconstruction a fundamentally ill-posed problem in scientific sensing,where the goal is to infer physical fields from sparse measurements.In this regime,the posterior is severely underconstrained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Letian Yi , Tingpeng Zhang , Mingyuan Zhou , Guannan Wang , Quanke Su , Zhilu Lai

Accurate medical image segmentation is crucial for diagnosis and analysis. However, the models without calibrated uncertainty estimates might lead to errors in downstream analysis and exhibit low levels of robustness. Estimating the…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-16 Yanwu Yang , Xutao Guo , Yiwei Pan , Pengcheng Shi , Haiyan Lv , Ting Ma

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora