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Parameters in climate models are usually calibrated manually, exploiting only small subsets of the available data. This precludes both optimal calibration and quantification of uncertainties. Traditional Bayesian calibration methods that…

The hybrid neural differentiable models mark a significant advancement in the field of scientific machine learning. These models, integrating numerical representations of known physics into deep neural networks, offer enhanced predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Deepak Akhare , Tengfei Luo , Jian-Xun Wang

We demonstrate that the recently developed Optimal Uncertainty Quantification (OUQ) theory, combined with recent software enabling fast global solutions of constrained non-convex optimization problems, provides a methodology for rigorous…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-09-16 M. McKerns , F. J. Alexander , K. S. Hickmann , T. J. Sullivan , D. E. Vaughan

This paper considers one-dimensional heat transfer in a media with temperature-dependent thermal conductivity. To model the transient behavior of the system, we solve numerically the one-dimensional unsteady heat conduction equation with…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-11-16 Stefan M Filipov , István Faragó

The present paper proposes a Bayesian framework for inverse problems that seamlessly integrates optimization and inversion to enable rapid surrogate modeling, accurate parameter inference, and rigorous uncertainty quantification. Bayesian…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Mihaela Chiappetta , Massimo Carraturo , Alexander Raßloff , Markus Kästner , Ferdinando Auricchio

We investigate discretization strategies for a recently introduced class of energy-based models. The model class encompasses classical port-Hamiltonian systems, generalized gradient flows, and certain systems with algebraic constraints. Our…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-29 Robert Altmann , Attila Karsai , Philipp Schulze

Calibration of computer models is a key step in making inferences, predictions, and decisions for complex science and engineering systems. We formulate and analyze a nonparametric Bayesian methodology for computer model calibration. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Haiyi Shi , Lei Yang , Jiarui Chi , Troy Butler , Haonan Wang , Derek Bingham , Don Estep

We consider the problem of modeling heterogeneous materials where micro-scale dynamics and interactions affect global behavior. In the presence of heterogeneities in material microstructure it is often impractical, if not impossible, to…

材料科学 · 物理学 2022-11-03 Yiming Fan , Marta D'Elia , Yue Yu , Habib N. Najm , Stewart Silling

Numerical simulations of physical systems exhibit discrepancies arising from unmodeled physics and idealizations, as well as numerical approximation errors stemming from discretization and solver tolerances. This article reviews techniques…

计算物理 · 物理学 2026-01-23 Danny Smyl

In this article, we present an extension of the formulation recently developed by the authors (A Framework for Data-Driven Computational Mechanics Based on Nonlinear Optimization, arXiv:1910.12736 [math.NA]) to the structural dynamics…

Finding methods for making generalizable predictions is a fundamental problem of machine learning. By looking into similarities between the prediction problem for unknown data and the lossless compression we have found an approach that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-24 Michael Tetelman

Accurate predictions and uncertainty quantification (UQ) are essential for decision-making in risk-sensitive fields such as system safety modeling. Deep ensembles (DEs) are efficient and scalable methods for UQ in Deep Neural Networks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-13 Zaid Abulawi , Rui Hu , Prasanna Balaprakash , Yang Liu

This paper develops a Bayesian network-based method for the calibration of multi-physics models, integrating various sources of uncertainty with information from computational models and experimental data. We adopt the Kennedy and O'Hagan…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-06-25 You Ling , Joshua Mullins , Sankaran Mahadevan

Critical heat flux is a key quantity in boiling system modeling due to its impact on heat transfer and component temperature and performance. This study investigates the development and validation of an uncertainty-aware hybrid modeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Aidan Furlong , Xingang Zhao , Robert Salko , Xu Wu

The accessibility of spatially distributed data, enabled by affordable sensors, field, and numerical experiments, has facilitated the development of data-driven solutions for scientific problems, including climate change, weather…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Vardhan Dongre , Gurpreet Singh Hora

The emergence of data-driven science has opened up new avenues for understanding the thermophysical properties of materials. For decades, alloys are known to possess very low thermal conductivity, but the extreme thermal conductivity can be…

应用物理 · 物理学 2020-04-21 Jiahao Yan , Han Wei , Han Xie , Xiaokun Gu , Hua Bao

This paper proposes a hierarchical, multi-resolution framework for the identification of model parameters and their spatially variability from noisy measurements of the response or output. Such parameters are frequently encountered in…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-05-13 P. S. Koutsourelakis

This paper presents an efficient Bayesian framework for solving nonlinear, high-dimensional model calibration problems. It is based on a Variational Bayesian formulation that aims at approximating the exact posterior by means of solving an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-02 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Deep Learning (DL) methods have been transforming computer vision with innovative adaptations to other domains including climate change. For DL to pervade Science and Engineering (S&E) applications where risk management is a core component,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-25 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Jennifer Dy , Sangram Ganguly , Ramakrishna Nemani , Auroop R. Ganguly

Nonlinear dynamics are ubiquitous in science and engineering applications, but the physics of most complex systems is far from being fully understood. Discovering interpretable governing equations from measurement data can help us…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Luning Sun , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Hao Sun , Jian-Xun Wang