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To score goals in football, a team needs to move forward on the pitch and there are various ways to do so. Depending on the game plan & philosophy; some teams prefer to play long balls from either wings or defense. Others, prefer to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Hadi Sotudeh

This paper aims to reduce randomness in football by analysing the role of lineups in final scores using machine learning prediction models we have developed. Football clubs invest millions of dollars on lineups and knowing how individual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 George Peters , Diogo Pacheco

Transfers play a pivotal role in shaping a football club's success, yet forecasting whether a transfer will succeed remains difficult due to the strong context-dependence of on-field performance. Existing evaluation practices often rely on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Miru Hong , Minho Lee , Geonhee Jo , Jae-Hee So , Pascal Bauer , Sang-Ki Ko

Structural break identification methods are an important tool for evaluating the effectiveness of climate change mitigation policies. In this paper, we introduce a unified probabilistic framework for detecting structural breaks with unknown…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-06 Lucas D. Konrad , Lukas Vashold , Jesus Crespo Cuaresma

Several performance metrics for quantifying the in-game performances of individual football players have been proposed in recent years. Although the majority of the on-the-ball actions during games constitutes of passes, many of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-05 Lotte Bransen , Jan Van Haaren

Soccer analysis tools emphasize metrics such as expected goals, leading to an overrepresentation of attacking players' contributions and overlooking players who facilitate ball control and link attacks. Examples include Rodri from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Jacky Hao Jiang , Jerry Cai , Anastasios Kyrillidis

Random walks on multidimensional nonlinear landscapes are of interest in many areas of science and engineering. In particular, properties of adaptive trajectories on fitness landscapes determine population fates and thus play a central role…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2014-10-08 Michael Manhart , Alexandre V. Morozov

The recently introduced concept of dynamic communicability is a valuable tool for ranking the importance of nodes in a temporal network. Two metrics, broadcast score and receive score, were introduced to measure the centrality of a node…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-09-29 Ewan Colman , Nathaniel Charlton

Wearable human activity recognition (WHAR) models often suffer from performance degradation under real-world cross-user distribution shifts. Test-time adaptation (TTA) mitigates this degradation by adapting models online using unlabeled…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Zishu Zhou , Zaipeng Xie , Xuanyao Jie

The purpose of this research is to create a machine learning-based smart coaching approach for football that can replace manual analysis with real-time feedback for trainers. In-depth analysis of football player data by humans is…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-02-08 Rahman Sahinler , Omer Burak Goktas , Berkay Mumcu , Damla Sen , Feyza Kocaturk , Huseyin Uvet

Morphological development into evolutionary patterns under structural instability is ubiquitous in living systems and often of vital importance for engineering structures. Here we propose a data-driven approach to understand and predict…

斑图形成与孤子 · 物理学 2024-07-23 Yingjie Zhao , Zhiping Xu

To analyze the movements and to study the trajectories of players is a crucial need for a team when it looks to improve its chances of winning a match or to understand its performances. State of the art tracking systems now produce…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-12-01 Rodolfo Metulini

The present study investigates the attacker-defender (AD) model proposed by Brink et al. (2023), a motion model that describes the interactions between a ball carrier (attacker) and the nearest defender during ball possession. The model is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-26 Takuma Narizuka , Issei Yamazaki

We consider statistical inference for impulse responses in sparse, structural high-dimensional vector autoregressive (SVAR) systems. We introduce consistent estimators of impulse responses in the high-dimensional setting and suggest valid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-03 Jonas Krampe , Efstathios Paparoditis , Carsten Trenkler

To monitor risk in temporal financial networks, we need to understand how individual behaviours affect the global evolution of networks. Here we define a structural importance metric - which we denote as $l_e$ - for the edges of a network.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-12-24 Isobel Seabrook , Paolo Barucca , Fabio Caccioli

Recommender Systems (RS) shape the filtering and curation of online content, yet we have limited understanding of how predictable their recommendation outputs are. We propose data-driven metrics that quantify the predictability of…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-04-01 Andrés Abeliuk , Alfonso Valderrama , Simón Campos , Marcelo Mendoza

Soccer Simulation 2D (SS2D) is a simulation of a real soccer game in two dimensions. In soccer, passing behavior is an essential action for keeping the ball in possession of our team and creating goal opportunities. Similarly, for SS2D,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-01-09 Nader Zare , Mahtab Sarvmaili , Aref Sayareh , Omid Amini , Stan Matwin Amilcar Soares

There is growing recognition in both the experimental and modelling literature of the importance of spatial structure to the dynamics of viral infections in tissues. Aided by the evolution of computing power and motivated by recent…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-07-08 Thomas Williams , James M. McCaw , James M. Osborne

The expected goal provides a more representative measure of the team and player performance which also suit the low-scoring nature of football instead of score in modern football. The score of a match involves randomness and often may not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-14 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

This study addresses a central tactical dilemma for football coaches: whether to employ a defensive strategy, colloquially known as "parking the bus", or a more offensive one. Using an advanced Double Machine Learning (DML) framework, this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Genís Ruiz-Menárguez , Llorenç Badiella