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In many settings, as for example wind farms, multiple machines are instantiated to perform the same task, which is called a fleet. The recent advances with respect to the Internet of Things allow control devices and/or machines to connect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-25 Timothy Verstraeten , Pieter JK Libin , Ann Nowé

Wind turbines located in wind farms are operated to maximize only their own power production. Individual operation results in wake losses that reduce farm energy. In this study, we operate a wind turbine array collectively to maximize total…

Due to the uncertainty of distributed wind generations (DWGs), a better understanding of the probability distributions (PD) of their wind power forecast errors (WPFEs) can help market participants (MPs) who own DWGs perform better during…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2020-03-03 Mengshuo Jia , Chen Shen , Zhaojian Wang

Passive device installation on wind turbine generators (WTGs) can potentially improve the power generation of WTGs. Yet, how much impact the installation will make is unclear because conducting controlled experiments is impossible due to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-14 Hoon Hwangbo , Yu Ding , Daniel Cabezon

This work studies the problem of stochastic dynamic filtering and state propagation with complex beliefs. The main contribution is GP-SUM, a filtering algorithm tailored to dynamic systems and observation models expressed as Gaussian…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-02-01 Maria Bauza , Alberto Rodriguez

Given the advancements in data-driven modeling for complex engineering and scientific applications, this work utilizes a data-driven predictive control method, namely subspace predictive control, to coordinate hybrid power plant components…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-20 Manavendra Desai , Himanshu Sharma , Sayak Mukherjee , Sonja Glavaski

Wind energy plays an increasing role in the supply of energy world-wide. The energy output of a wind farm is highly dependent on the weather condition present at the wind farm. If the output can be predicted more accurately, energy…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2011-09-12 Katya Vladislavleva , Tobias Friedrich , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

An extended theoretical approach is proposed to predict the average power of wind turbines in a large finite-size wind farm. The approach is based on the two-scale momentum theory proposed recently for the modelling of ideal very large wind…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2018-10-12 Takafumi Nishino

This work proposes a method of wind farm scenario generation to support real-time optimization tools and presents key findings therein. This work draws upon work from the literature and presents an efficient and scalable method for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-18 Trevor Werho , Junshan Zhang , Vijay Vittal , Yonghong Chen , Anupam Thatte , Long Zhao

Due to the fluctuating nature of the wind and the increasing use of wind energy as a power source, wind power will have an increasing negative influence on the stability of the power grid. In this paper, a model predictive control strategy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-14 Valentijn van de Scheur , Sjoerd Boersma

This study explores the effectiveness of predictive maintenance models and the optimization of intelligent Operation and Maintenance (O&M) systems in improving wind power generation efficiency. Through qualitative research, structured…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-21 Xun Liu , Xiaobin Wu , Jiaqi He , Rajan Das Gupta

Wind farm needs prediction models for predictive maintenance. There is a need to predict values of non-observable parameters beyond ranges reflected in available data. A prediction model developed for one machine many not perform well in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-12 Yingjun Shen , Zhe Song , Andrew Kusiak

Photovoltaic (PV) power is affected by weather conditions, making the power generated from the PV systems uncertain. Solving this problem would help improve the reliability and cost effectiveness of the grid, and could help reduce reliance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-07 Yahya Al Lawati , Jack Kelly , Dan Stowell

To understand changes in physical systems and facilitate decisions, explaining how model predictions are made is crucial. We use model-based interpretability, where models of physical systems are constructed by composing basic constructs…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-03-24 Ion Matei , Johan de Kleer , Christoforos Somarakis , Rahul Rai , John S. Baras

Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost effective fashion, the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-21 Christian Capezza , Biagio Palumbo , Yannig Goude , Simon N. Wood , Matteo Fasiolo

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

A novel extrapolation method is proposed for longitudinal forecasting. A hierarchical Gaussian process model is used to combine nonlinear population change and individual memory of the past to make prediction. The prediction error is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-25 Leo L. Duan , John P. Clancy , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

The probabilistic characteristics of daily wind speed are not well captured by simple density functions such as Normal or Weibull distribuions as suggested by the existing literature. The unmodeled uncertainties can cause unknown influences…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-09-17 Weigao Sun , Mohsen Zamani , Hai-Tao Zhang , Yuanzheng Li

In this paper, the variable wind power is incorporated into the dynamic model for long-term stability analysis. A theory-based method is proposed for power systems with wind power to conduct long-term stability analysis, which is able to…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Xiaozhe Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu , Tao Wang

In this paper, we develop a distributionally robust model predictive control framework for the control of wind farms with the goal of power tracking and mechanical stress reduction of the individual wind turbines. We introduce an ARMA model…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu