中文
相关论文

相关论文: Beyond Accuracy: Evaluating Forecasting Models by …

200 篇论文

The paradigm of automated waste classification has recently seen a shift in the domain of interest from conventional image processing techniques to powerful computer vision algorithms known as convolutional neural networks (CNN).…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-25 Mazin Abdulmahmood , Ryan Grammenos

Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) have been applied to daily discharge prediction with remarkable success. Many practical scenarios, however, require predictions at more granular timescales. For instance, accurate prediction of short…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-20 Martin Gauch , Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Grey Nearing , Jimmy Lin , Sepp Hochreiter

Unpredictability of renewable energy sources coupled with the complexity of those methods used for various purposes in this area calls for the development of robust methods such as DL models within the renewable energy domain. Given the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Lutfu Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

Time series forecasting is fundamental for various use cases in different domains such as energy systems and economics. Creating a forecasting model for a specific use case requires an iterative and complex design process. The typical…

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for supply chain optimization, yet remains difficult in practice due to hierarchical complexity, domain shifts, and evolving external factors. While recent foundation models offer strong potential for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 Wei Yang , Defu Cao , Yan Liu

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-02 Sahabeh Saadati , Mohammad Manthouri

Many large-scale production networks include thousands types of final products and tens to hundreds thousands types of raw materials and intermediate products. These networks face complicated inventory management decisions, which are often…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-01-19 Tan Wan , L. Jeff Hong

As modern artificial intelligence (AI) systems become more advanced and capable, they can leverage a wide range of tools and models to perform complex tasks. The task of orchestrating these models is increasingly performed by Large Language…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-20 Daria Smirnova , Hamid Nasiri , Marta Adamska , Zhengxin Yu , Peter Garraghan

We present our solution for the M5 Forecasting - Uncertainty competition. Our solution ranked 6\ts{th} out of 909 submissions across all hierarchical levels and ranked first for prediction at the finest level of granularity (product-store…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Rafael de Rezende , Katharina Egert , Ignacio Marin , Guilherme Thompson

In this paper, I explored how a range of regression and machine learning techniques can be applied to monthly U.S. unemployment data to produce timely forecasts. I compared seven models: Linear Regression, SGDRegressor, Random Forest,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Kyungsu Kim

Supply Chain Management requires addressing a variety of complex decision-making challenges, from sourcing strategies to planning and execution. Over the last few decades, advances in computation and information technologies have enabled…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-30 David Simchi-Levi , Konstantina Mellou , Ishai Menache , Jeevan Pathuri

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Predicting future consumer behaviour is one of the most challenging problems for large scale retail firms. Accurate prediction of consumer purchase pattern enables better inventory planning and efficient personalized marketing strategies.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-15 Ankur Verma

The newsvendor model is a well-known stochastic model for inventory management; however, it was originally developed for a single-period context and focuses on trading companies. This paper proposes an extension of the newsvendor model into…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-13 Valentyn Khokhlov

This study uses deep-learning models to predict city partition crime counts on specific days. It helps police enhance surveillance, gather intelligence, and proactively prevent crimes. We formulate crime count prediction as a spatiotemporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Li Mao , Wei Du , Shuo Wen , Qi Li , Tong Zhang , Wei Zhong

In the post-pandemic world, manufacturing enterprises face increasing uncertainties, especially with vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Although supply chain management has been extensively studied, the critical influence of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-09-12 Monit Sharma , Hoong Chuin Lau

In this paper, we investigate a supply chain network with a supplier and multiple retailers. The supplier can either take orders from retailers directly, or choose to build a warehouse somewhere in the network to centralize the ordering…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-15 Jianing Zhi , Xinghua Li , Zidong Chen

This study proposes a deep learning model based on the combination of convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM) for discriminant analysis of financial systemic risk. The model first uses…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Yu Cheng , Zhen Xu , Yuan Chen , Yuhan Wang , Zhenghao Lin , Jinsong Liu