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Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guarantees, but in many-class classification it may still under-cover specific classes or subpopulations, preventing safe deployment in high-stakes applications. We propose Cluster…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Tomer Lavi , Bracha Shapira , Nadav Rappoport

In this work, we consider the random access of nodes adapting their transmission probability based on the local channel state information (CSI) in a decentralized manner, which is called CARA. The CSI is not directly available to each node…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-02-21 Jeongho Jeon , Anthony Ephremides

We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a sparse, high-dimensional, stationary matrix-variate Gaussian time series. All past work on high-dimensional matrix graphical models assumes that independent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-01 Jitendra K Tugnait

In order to estimate the channel gain (CG) between the locations of an arbitrary transceiver pair across a geographic area of interest, CG maps can be constructed from spatially distributed sensor measurements. Most approaches to build such…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-09 Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Yves Teganya , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano , Seung-Jun Kim

In interference channels, channel state information (CSI) can be exploited to reduce the interference signal dimensions and thus achieve the optimal capacity scaling, i.e. degrees of freedom, promised by the interference alignment…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2017-01-03 Zhinan Xu , Markus Hofer , Thomas Zemen

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

In multivariate time series forecasting, the Transformer architecture encounters two significant challenges: effectively mining features from historical sequences and avoiding overfitting during the learning of temporal dependencies. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-30 Han Zhou , Yuntian Chen

Time series forecasting is essential for a wide range of real-world applications. Recent studies have shown the superiority of Transformer in dealing with such problems, especially long sequence time series input(LSTI) and long sequence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-15 Li Shen , Yangzhu Wang

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

We propose \textbf{Temporal Conformal Prediction (TCP)}, a distribution-free framework for constructing well-calibrated prediction intervals in nonstationary time series. TCP couples a modern quantile forecaster with a rolling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Agnideep Aich , Ashit Baran Aich , Dipak C. Jain

Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jianxin Liao

Difference-in-Differences (DiD) is a widely used research design that often relies on a conditional parallel trends (CPT) assumption. In contrast to settings with unconfoundedness, where causal graphs provide powerful frameworks for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-15 Michael C. Knaus , Henri Pfleiderer

We develop algorithms that find and track the optimal solution trajectory of time-varying convex optimization problems which consist of local and network-related objectives. The algorithms are derived from the prediction-correction…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-11-08 Andrea Simonetto , Alec Koppel , Aryan Mokhtari , Geert Leus , Alejandro Ribeiro

Since its introduction, the transformer has shifted the development trajectory away from traditional models (e.g., RNN, MLP) in time series forecasting, which is attributed to its ability to capture global dependencies within temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Xiwen Chen , Peijie Qiu , Wenhui Zhu , Huayu Li , Hao Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Yalin Wang , Abolfazl Razi

Bayesian networks provide a language for qualitatively representing the conditional independence properties of a distribution. This allows a natural and compact representation of the distribution, eases knowledge acquisition, and supports…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-18 Craig Boutilier , Nir Friedman , Moises Goldszmidt , Daphne Koller

Time series forecasting is important in many fields that require accurate predictions for decision-making. Patching techniques, commonly used and effective in time series modeling, help capture temporal dependencies by dividing the data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Xiangfei Qiu , Xvyuan Liu , Tianen Shen , Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Bin Yang , Jilin Hu

Key graph-based problems play a central role in understanding network topology and uncovering patterns of similarity in homogeneous and temporal data. Such patterns can be revealed by analyzing communities formed by nodes, which in turn can…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Davide Rucci , Emanuele Carlini , Patrizio Dazzi , Hanna Kavalionak , Matteo Mordacchini

Conformal prediction (CP) transforms any model's output into prediction sets guaranteed to include (cover) the true label. CP requires exchangeability, a relaxation of the i.i.d. assumption, to obtain a valid distribution-free coverage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-15 Soroush H. Zargarbashi , Aleksandar Bojchevski

Spatial time series forecasting problems arise in a broad range of applications, such as environmental and transportation problems. These problems are challenging because of the existence of specific spatial, short-term and long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-05 Reza Asadi , Amelia Regan

Traffic forecasting is crucial for public safety and resource optimization, yet is very challenging due to three aspects: i) current existing works mostly exploit intricate temporal patterns (e.g., the short-term thunderstorm and long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-19 Yuchen Fang , Yanjun Qin , Haiyong Luo , Fang Zhao , Bingbing Xu , Chenxing Wang , Liang Zeng
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