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For centuries, national economies created wealth by engaging in international trade and production. The resulting international supply networks not only increase wealth for countries, but also create systemic risk: economic shocks,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-02 Abhijit Chakraborty , Tobias Reisch , Christian Diem , Stefan Thurner

Rare earth elements (REEs) are critical to a wide range of clean and high-tech applications, yet global trade dependencies expose countries to vulnerabilities across production networks. Here, we construct a multi-tiered input-output trade…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-04 Peter Klimek , Sophia Baum , Markus Gerschberger , Maximilian Hess

Modern macroeconomic theories were unable to foresee the last Great Recession and could neither predict its prolonged duration nor the recovery rate. They are based on supply-demand equilibria that do not exist during recessionary shocks.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-06-19 Peter Klimek , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

We introduce a parsimonious multi-sector model of international production and use it to study the impact of a disruption in the production of some goods propagates to other goods and consumers, and how that impact depends on the goods'…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-16 Matthew L. Elliott , Matthew O. Jackson

Studies built on dependency and world-system theory using network approaches have shown that international trade is structured into clusters of 'core' and 'peripheral' countries performing distinct functions. However, few have used these…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-13 Fabio Ashtar Telarico

In a world increasingly powered by renewables and aiming for greenhouse gas-neutral industrial production, the future competitiveness of todays top manufacturing countries is questioned. This study applies detailed energy system modeling to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-04 Arne Burdack , Maximilian Stargardt , Christoph Winkler , Konrad Klein , Detlef Stolten , Jochen Linssen , Heidi Heinrichs

In the current era of worldwide stock market interdependencies, the global financial village has become increasingly vulnerable to systemic collapse. The recent global financial crisis has highlighted the necessity of understanding and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-08-05 Wei Li , Dror Y. Kenett , Kazuko Yamasaki , H. Eugene Stanley , Shlomo Havlin

How a shock to an individual sector propagates to the prices of other sectors and aggregates to GDP depends on how easily sectoral goods can be substituted in production, which is determined by the intermediate input substitution…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-03 Jacob Toner Gosselin

In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-12-11 Philipp Koch

India's growing population and economy have significantly increased the demand and consumption of natural resources. As a result, the potential benefits of transitioning to a circular economic model have been extensively discussed and…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-28 Suman Kumar Das

Emerging geopolitical risks have begun to threaten global supply chains, including those that produce life-saving drugs. Export bans may prevent a company from shipping products internationally, and it is unclear how these new dynamics may…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-12-03 Martha L. Sabogal De La Pava , Emily L. Tucker

This paper examines how adverse supply-side shocks in domestic input markets influence firms' vertical outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) decisions. While the theoretical basis for cost-driven OFDI is well established, empirical…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-01 Sajid Anwar , Sizhong Sun

We study the effect of globalization of world economy between 1980 and 2010 by using network analysis technics on trade and GDP data of 71 countries in the world. We draw results distinguishing relatively developing and relatively developed…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-05 Xiufeng Yan , Qi Tang

In a globalised world, inflation in a given country may be becoming less responsive to domestic economic activity, while being increasingly determined by international conditions. Consequently, understanding the international sources of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-30 Ignacio Garrón , C. Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero , Esther Ruiz

We study the diffusion of shocks in the global financial cycle and global liquidity conditions to emerging and developing economies. We show that the classification according to their external trade patterns (as commodities' net exporters…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-09 Jorge Carrera , Gabriel Montes-Rojas , Fernando Toledo

Financial market resilience reflects the ability of a financial market to withstand external shocks and to recover from them, while its measurement has yet to be standardized. Accordingly, this paper quantifies the adaptability and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-11-13 Si-Yao Wei , Kun-Liang Jiang , Wei-Xing Zhou

Trade networks, across which countries distribute their products, are crucial components of the globalized world economy. Their structure is strongly heterogeneous across products, given the different features of the countries which buy and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-01-09 Carlo Piccardi , Lucia Tajoli

In the first half of 2020, several countries have responded to the challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic by restricting their export of medical supplies. Such measures are meant to increase the domestic availability of critical goods,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-28 Marco Grassia , Giuseppe Mangioni , Stefano Schiavo , Silvio Traverso

National economies rest on networks of millions of customer-supplier relations. Some companies -- in the case of their default -- can trigger significant cascades of shock in the supply-chain network and are thus systemically risky. Up to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-13 Tobias Reisch , Georg Heiler , Christian Diem , Stefan Thurner

To prevent the spread of COVID-19, many cities, states, and countries have `locked down', restricting economic activities in non-essential sectors. Such lockdowns have substantially shrunk production in most countries. This study examines…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-09-15 Hiroyasu Inoue , Yohsuke Murase , Yasuyuki Todo
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