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In this work, a data-driven modeling framework of switched dynamical systems under time-dependent switching is proposed. The learning technique utilized to model system dynamics is Extreme Learning Machine (ELM). First, a method is…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-27 Weiming Xiang

In this paper, we present large deviation theory that characterizes the exponential estimate for rare events of stochastic dynamical systems in the limit of weak noise. We aim to consider next-to-leading-order approximation for more…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Yang Li , Shenglan Yuan , Linghongzhi Lu , Xianbin Liu

We introduce FLEX (FLow EXpert), a backbone architecture for generative modeling of spatio-temporal physical systems using diffusion models. FLEX operates in the residual space rather than on raw data, a modeling choice that we motivate…

Extreme events are the major weather-related hazard for humanity. It is then of crucial importance to have a good understanding of their statistics and to be able to forecast them. However, lack of sufficient data makes their study…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-13 Valeria Mascolo , Alessandro Lovo , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

This paper introduces a novel data driven framework for constructing accurate and general equivariant models of multiscale phenomena which does not rely on specific assumptions about the underlying physics. This framework is illustrated…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-04-15 Brandon Choi , Matteo Ugliotti , Mateo Reynoso , Daniel R. Gurevich , Roman O. Grigoriev

The robotic systems continuously interact with complex dynamical systems in the physical world. Reliable predictions of spatiotemporal evolution of these dynamical systems, with limited knowledge of system dynamics, are crucial for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-01-08 Yun Long , Xueyuan She , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Chaotic dynamics, commonly seen in weather systems and fluid turbulence, are characterized by their sensitivity to initial conditions, which makes accurate prediction challenging. Recent approaches have focused on developing data-driven…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-16 Sunbochen Tang , Themistoklis Sapsis , Navid Azizan

Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) is an emerging learning paradigm for nonlinear regression problems and has shown its effectiveness in the machine learning community. An important feature of ELM is that the learning speed is extremely fast…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2012-11-08 Vijay Manikandan Janakiraman , Dennis Assanis

We analyst in detail a new approach to the monitoring and forecasting of the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems (see Phys. Rev. Lett . vol. 113, 264102 (2014)) by application to the Tangled Nature Model of evolutionary…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2015-08-03 Duccio Piovani , Jelena Grujic , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Drawing on ergodic theory, we introduce a novel training method for machine learning based forecasting methods for chaotic dynamical systems. The training enforces dynamical invariants--such as the Lyapunov exponent spectrum and fractal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-26 Jason A. Platt , Stephen G. Penny , Timothy A. Smith , Tse-Chun Chen , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Timely and reliable decision-making is vital for flood emergency response, yet it remains severely hindered by limited and imprecise situational awareness due to various budget and data accessibility constraints. Traditional flood…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Qian Sun , Graham Hults , Susu Xu

We propose a new Eulerian numerical approach for constructing the forward flow maps in continuous dynamical systems. The new algorithm improves the original formulation developed in [23, 24] so that the associated partial differential…

动力系统 · 数学 2017-06-15 Guoqiao You , Tony Wong , Shingyu Leung

We propose a method for the data-driven inference of temporal evolutions of physical functions with deep learning. More specifically, we target fluid flows, i.e. Navier-Stokes problems, and we propose a novel LSTM-based approach to predict…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-06 Steffen Wiewel , Moritz Becher , Nils Thuerey

A modelling framework based on the resolvent analysis and machine learning is proposed to predict the turbulent energy in incompressible channel flows. In the framework, the optimal resolvent response modes are selected as the basis…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-03-11 Yitong Fan , Bo Chen , Weipeng Li

We develop a deep learning model to predict traffic flows. The main contribution is development of an architecture that combines a linear model that is fitted using $\ell_1$ regularization and a sequence of $\tanh$ layers. The challenge of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-15 Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Accurate typhoon track forecasting is crucial for early system warning and disaster response. While Transformer-based models have demonstrated strong performance in modeling the temporal dynamics of dense trajectories of humans and vehicles…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Lincan Li , Eren Erman Ozguven , Yue Zhao , Guang Wang , Yiqun Xie , Yushun Dong

Extreme weather events pose significant challenges, thereby demanding techniques for accurate analysis and precise forecasting to mitigate its impact. In recent years, deep learning techniques have emerged as a promising approach for…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-08-23 Shikha Verma , Kuldeep Srivastava , Akhilesh Tiwari , Shekhar Verma

Long-term predictions of nonlinear dynamics of three-dimensional (3D) turbulence are very challenging for machine learning approaches. In this paper, we propose an implicit U-Net enhanced Fourier neural operator (IU-FNO) for stable and…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-08-02 Zhijie Li , Wenhui Peng , Zelong Yuan , Jianchun Wang

Inverse parallel schemes remain indispensable tools for computing the roots of nonlinear systems, yet their dynamical behavior can be unexpectedly rich, ranging from strong contraction to oscillatory or chaotic transients depending on the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-21 Mudassir Shams , Andrei Velichko , Bruno Carpentieri

We present a study of the intermittent properties of a shell model of turbulence with unprecedented statistics, about $\sim 10^7$ eddy turn over time, achieved thanks to an implementation on a large-scale parallel GPU factory. This allows…