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Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel

Fault detection is crucial for ensuring the safety and reliability of modern industrial systems. However, a significant scientific challenge is the lack of rigorous risk control and reliable uncertainty quantification in existing diagnostic…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Mingchen Mei , Yi Li , YiYao Qian , Zijun Jia

Trajectories are nowadays valuable information for a wide range of applications. However they are also inherently sensitive, as they contain highly personal information about individuals. Facing this challenge, synthesizing mobility…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Florent Guépin , Cheick Tidiani Cisse , Denis Renaud , François Bidet , Arnaud Legendre

Generating data from discrete distributions is important for a number of application domains including text, tabular data, and genomic data. Several groups have recently used random $k$-satisfiability ($k$-SAT) as a synthetic benchmark for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Alankrita Bhatt , Mukur Gupta , Germain Kolossov , Andrea Montanari

Unconditional generation -- the problem of modeling data distribution without relying on human-annotated labels -- is a long-standing and fundamental challenge in generative models, creating a potential of learning from large-scale…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-11-04 Tianhong Li , Dina Katabi , Kaiming He

While clustering is ubiquitously used across science and industry, uncertainty in cluster assignments is rarely quantified with rigorous guarantees. We propose a novel conformal inference framework for clustering that returns confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-13 YoonHaeng Hur , Anirban Nath , Genevera Allen

The ability to generate test data is often a necessary prerequisite for automated software testing. For the generated data to be fit for its intended purpose, the data usually has to satisfy various logical constraints. When testing is…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2020-05-19 Ghanem Soltana , Mehrdad Sabetzadeh , Lionel C. Briand

Conformal prediction is a popular, modern technique for providing valid predictive inference for arbitrary machine learning models. Its validity relies on the assumptions of exchangeability of the data, and symmetry of the given model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-20 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Conformal prediction (CP) constructs uncertainty sets for model outputs with finite-sample coverage guarantees. A candidate output is included in the prediction set if its non-conformity score is not considered extreme relative to the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-20 Eugene Ndiaye

Despite recent advances, goal-directed generation of structured discrete data remains challenging. For problems such as program synthesis (generating source code) and materials design (generating molecules), finding examples which satisfy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Amina Mollaysa , Brooks Paige , Alexandros Kalousis

Constructing valid confidence sets is a crucial task in statistical inference, yet traditional methods often face challenges when dealing with complex models or limited observed sample sizes. These challenges are frequently encountered in…

Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals that cover the unknown outcome of a randomly drawn test point with a prescribed probability. However, in practice, data-driven methods are often used to identify specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-21 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren

We introduce Conformal Decision Theory, a framework for producing safe autonomous decisions despite imperfect machine learning predictions. Examples of such decisions are ubiquitous, from robot planning algorithms that rely on pedestrian…

Quantifying uncertainty in automatically generated text is important for letting humans check potential hallucinations and making systems more reliable. Conformal prediction is an attractive framework to provide predictions imbued with…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-02-02 Dennis Ulmer , Chrysoula Zerva , André F. T. Martins

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for deploying machine learning systems in high-stakes domains. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guarantees but often produces overly large prediction sets, limiting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

Generative models can produce synthetic patient records for analytical tasks when real data is unavailable or limited. However, current methods struggle with adhering to domain-specific knowledge and removing invalid data. We present…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-22 Brandon Theodorou , Shrusti Jain , Cao Xiao , Jimeng Sun

As large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used across various applications, there is a growing need to control text generation to satisfy specific constraints or requirements. This raises a crucial question: Is it possible to…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Minbeom Kim , Thibaut Thonet , Jos Rozen , Hwaran Lee , Kyomin Jung , Marc Dymetman

Deep generative models like GAN and VAE have shown impressive results in generating unconstrained objects like images. However, many design settings arising in industrial design, material science, computer graphics and more require that the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Aaron Ferber , Arman Zharmagambetov , Taoan Huang , Bistra Dilkina , Yuandong Tian

Data-driven surrogate models offer quick approximations to complex numerical and experimental systems but typically lack uncertainty quantification, limiting their reliability in safety-critical applications. While Bayesian methods provide…

Conformal prediction provides a powerful framework for constructing distribution-free prediction regions with finite-sample coverage guarantees. While extensively studied in univariate settings, its extension to multi-output problems…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Victor Dheur , Matteo Fontana , Yorick Estievenart , Naomi Desobry , Souhaib Ben Taieb