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Bayesian inference offers a robust framework for updating prior beliefs based on new data using Bayes' theorem, but exact inference is often computationally infeasible, necessitating approximate methods. Though widely used, these methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-23 Xu-Hui Zhou , Zhuo-Ran Liu , Heng Xiao

Data-driven techniques have improved the accuracy of Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models in fluid dynamics. However, modeling separated flows remains challenging due to their complex physics and sensitivity to local conditions.…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-11-19 Ali Eidi , Tyler Buchanan , Letian Jiang , Richard P. Dwight

Hierarchical Bayesian models of perception and learning feature prominently in contemporary cognitive neuroscience where, for example, they inform computational concepts of mental disorders. This includes predictive coding and hierarchical…

We investigate the use of normalizing flow (NF) models as flexible priors in Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for iterative Bayesian calibration. Trained on posteriors from previous analyses, these models can…

核理论 · 物理学 2026-04-02 Hendrik Roch , Chun Shen

Quantitative workflows utilizing real-time data to constrain ahead-of-bit uncertainty have the potential to improve geosteering significantly. Fast updates based on real-time data are essential when drilling in complex reservoirs with high…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-07-05 Sergey Alyaev , Jan Tveranger , Kristian Fossum , Ahmed H. Elsheikh

Sampling a probability distribution with an unknown normalization constant is a fundamental problem in computational science and engineering. This task may be cast as an optimization problem over all probability measures, and an initial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-12 Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

Video frame prediction remains a fundamental challenge in computer vision with direct implications for autonomous systems, video compression, and media synthesis. We present FG-DFPN, a novel architecture that harnesses the synergy between…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-17 M. Akın Yılmaz , Ahmet Bilican , A. Murat Tekalp

The mean field algorithm is a widely used approximate inference algorithm for graphical models whose exact inference is intractable. In each iteration of mean field, the approximate marginals for each variable are updated by getting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-10-23 Yujia Li , Richard Zemel

Deep neural networks (DNN) and Gaussian processes (GP) are two powerful models with several theoretical connections relating them, but the relationship between their training methods is not well understood. In this paper, we show that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Alexander Immer , Ehsan Abedi , Maciej Korzepa

Diffusion models approximate the denoising distribution as a Gaussian and predict its mean, whereas flow matching models reparameterize the Gaussian mean as flow velocity. However, they underperform in few-step sampling due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Hansheng Chen , Kai Zhang , Hao Tan , Zexiang Xu , Fujun Luan , Leonidas Guibas , Gordon Wetzstein , Sai Bi

The Bayesian update can be viewed as a variational problem by characterizing the posterior as the minimizer of a functional. The variational viewpoint is far from new and is at the heart of popular methods for posterior approximation.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-05 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Hierarchical Gaussian Filtering (HGF) networks allow for efficient updating of posterior distributions (beliefs) about hidden states of an agent's environment. HGF parent nodes can target the mean or variance of their children. New…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Christoph Mathys , Nicolas Legrand , Peter Thestrup Waade , Nace Mikus , Lilian Aline Weber

This paper presents a new deterministic approximation technique in Bayesian networks. This method, "Expectation Propagation", unifies two previous techniques: assumed-density filtering, an extension of the Kalman filter, and loopy belief…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-14 Thomas P. Minka

Phylogenetics is a branch of computational biology that studies the evolutionary relationships among biological entities. Its long history and numerous applications notwithstanding, inference of phylogenetic trees from sequence data remains…

The quest for biologically plausible deep learning is driven, not just by the desire to explain experimentally-observed properties of biological neural networks, but also by the hope of discovering more efficient methods for training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-11-22 Zuozhu Liu , Tony Q. S. Quek , Shaowei Lin

The Gaussian Filter (GF) is one of the most widely used filtering algorithms; instances are the Extended Kalman Filter, the Unscented Kalman Filter and the Divided Difference Filter. GFs represent the belief of the current state by a…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2015-06-09 Manuel Wüthrich , Sebastian Trimpe , Daniel Kappler , Stefan Schaal

Sequential probabilistic inference from streaming observations requires modeling distributions over future trajectories as new observations arrive. Although diffusion and flow-matching models are effective at capturing high-dimensional,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yinan Huang , Hans Hao-Hsun Hsu , Junran Wang , Bo Dai , Pan Li

A generalized Gaussian process model (GGPM) is a unifying framework that encompasses many existing Gaussian process (GP) models, such as GP regression, classification, and counting. In the GGPM framework, the observation likelihood of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-11-28 Lifeng Shang , Antoni B. Chan

Bayesian filtering for high-dimensional nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems is a fundamental yet challenging problem in many fields of science and engineering. Existing methods face significant obstacles: Gaussian-based filters struggle…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-03-06 Xintong Wang , Xiaofei Guan , Ling Guo , Hao Wu

Existing generative models for time series forecasting often transform simple priors (typically Gaussian) into complex data distributions. However, their sampling initialization, independent of historical data, hinders the capture of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Huibo Xu , Runlong Yu , Likang Wu , Xianquan Wang , Qi Liu