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Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated increasing capabilities due to their extensive pretraining on large volumes of diverse time series data. Consequently, the quality of time series data is crucial to TSFM performance,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Shunyu Wu , Tianyue Li , Yixuan Leng , Jingyi Suo , Jian Lou , Dan Li , See-Kiong Ng

Astronomical time-series analysis faces a critical limitation: the scarcity of labeled observational data. We present a pre-training approach that leverages simulations, significantly reducing the need for labeled examples from real…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2025-10-16 Rithwik Gupta , Daniel Muthukrishna , Jeroen Audenaert

Analyzing time series data is crucial to a wide spectrum of applications, including economics, online marketplaces, and human healthcare. In particular, time series classification plays an indispensable role in segmenting different phases…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-12 Xiwen Chen , Wenhui Zhu , Peijie Qiu , Hao Wang , Huayu Li , Zihan Li , Yalin Wang , Aristeidis Sotiras , Abolfazl Razi

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Foundation models for time series imputation remain largely unexplored. Recently, two such models, TabPFN-TS and MoTM, have emerged. These models share a common philosophy that places them within the family of time-indexed foundation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Etienne Le Naour , Tahar Nabil , Adrien Petralia , Ghislain Agoua

With large quantities of data typically available nowadays, forecasting models that are trained across sets of time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), are regularly outperforming traditional univariate forecasting models that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-22 Rakshitha Godahewa , Kasun Bandara , Geoffrey I. Webb , Slawek Smyl , Christoph Bergmeir

This work studies the problem of time series analysis with generalist (or foundation) models, which are models trained across many data domains. Drawing inspiration from the widespread success of large language models, we consider the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-03 Sabera Talukder , Yisong Yue , Georgia Gkioxari

Given taxi-ride counts information between departure and destination locations, how can we forecast their future demands? In general, given a data stream of events with seasonal patterns that innovate over time, how can we effectively and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-26 Koki Kawabata , Siddharth Bhatia , Rui Liu , Mohit Wadhwa , Bryan Hooi

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) demonstrate impressive zero-shot performance for time series forecasting. However, an important yet underexplored challenge is how to effectively finetune TSFMs on specific downstream tasks. While naive…

While Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have demonstrated exceptional performance in generalized forecasting, their performance often degrades significantly when deployed in real-world vertical domains characterized by temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Xiaoyun Yu , Li fan , Xiangfei Qiu , Nanqing Dong , Yonggui Huang , Honggang Qi , Geguang Pu , Wanli Ouyang , Xi Chen , Jilin Hu

Time series data are ubiquitous across diverse real-world applications, making time series analysis critically important. Traditional approaches are largely task-specific, offering limited functionality and poor transferability. In recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Jiexia Ye , Yongzi Yu , Weiqi Zhang , Le Wang , Jia Li , Fugee Tsung

Forecasting load in power transmission networks is essential across various hierarchical levels, from the system level down to individual points of delivery (PoD). While intuitive and locally accurate, traditional local forecasting models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Amirhossein Ahmadi , Hamidreza Zareipour , Henry Leung

Notable progress has been made in generalist medical large language models across various healthcare areas. However, large-scale modeling of in-hospital time series data - such as vital signs, lab results, and treatments in critical care -…

Time series forecasting models have diverse real world applications (e.g., from electricity metrics to software workload). Latest foundational models trained for time series forecasting show strengths (e.g., for long sequences and in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Keun Soo Yim

Foundation models have emerged as a promising approach in time series forecasting (TSF). Existing approaches either repurpose large language models (LLMs) or build large-scale time series datasets to develop TSF foundation models for…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-06-09 Mouxiang Chen , Lefei Shen , Zhuo Li , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Chenghao Liu

Time series analysis remains a major challenge due to its sparse characteristics, high dimensionality, and inconsistent data quality. Recent advancements in transformer-based techniques have enhanced capabilities in forecasting and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Robert Leppich , Vanessa Borst , Veronika Lesch , Samuel Kounev

Sequence-to-sequence models based on LSTM and GRU are a most popular choice for forecasting time series data reaching state-of-the-art performance. Training such models can be delicate though. The two most common training strategies within…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Philipp Teutsch , Patrick Mäder

Time series forecasting is a critical first step in generating demand plans for supply chains. Experiments on time series models typically focus on demonstrating improvements in forecast accuracy over existing/baseline solutions, quantified…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-15 Steven Klee , Yuntian Xia

Forecasting multivariate time series data, which involves predicting future values of variables over time using historical data, has significant practical applications. Although deep learning-based models have shown promise in this field,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Zahra Fatemi , Minh Huynh , Elena Zheleva , Zamir Syed , Xiaojun Di

Learning time series foundation models has been shown to be a promising approach for zero-shot time series forecasting across diverse time series domains. Insofar as scaling has been a critical driver of performance of foundation models in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Xinghong Fu , Yanhong Li , Georgios Papaioannou , Yoon Kim