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Deploying machine learning models in safety-critical domains poses a key challenge: ensuring reliable model performance on downstream user data without access to ground truth labels for direct validation. We propose the suitability filter,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Angéline Pouget , Mohammad Yaghini , Stephan Rabanser , Nicolas Papernot

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) is a critical task with broad applications in domains such as meteorology, transportation, and economics. Nevertheless, pervasive missing values caused by sensor failures or human errors…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-23 Kai Tang , Ji Zhang , Hua Meng , Minbo Ma , Qi Xiong , Fengmao Lv , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Time-series classification is essential across diverse domains, including medical diagnosis, industrial monitoring, financial forecasting, and human activity recognition. The Rocket algorithm has emerged as a simple yet powerful method,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Jorge Marco-Blanco , Rubén Cuevas

This work introduces the category of Power System Transition Planning optimization problem. It aims to shift power systems to emissions-free networks efficiently. Unlike comparable work, the framework presented here broadly applies to the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-05 Ahmed Al-Shafei , Nima Amjady , Hamidreza Zareipour , Yankai Cao

Accurate molecular property prediction is central to drug discovery, catalysis, and process design, yet real-world applications are often limited by small datasets. Molecular foundation models provide a promising direction by learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Karim K. Ben Hicham , Jan G. Rittig , Martin Grohe , Alexander Mitsos

Understanding temporal dynamics in medical imaging is crucial for applications such as disease progression modeling, treatment planning and anatomical development tracking. However, most deep learning methods either consider only single…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-09-01 Nico Albert Disch , Yannick Kirchhoff , Robin Peretzke , Maximilian Rokuss , Saikat Roy , Constantin Ulrich , David Zimmerer , Klaus Maier-Hein

Accurate crop mapping fundamentally relies on modeling multi-scale spatiotemporal patterns, where spatial scales range from individual field textures to landscape-level context, and temporal scales capture both short-term phenological…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-01-16 Wenyuan Li , Shunlin Liang , Keyan Chen , Yongzhe Chen , Han Ma , Jianglei Xu , Yichuan Ma , Shikang Guan , Husheng Fang , Zhenwei Shi

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification. This study explores the application of conformal prediction in scenarios where covariates are missing, which introduces significant challenges for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Jingsen Kong , YIming Liu , Guangren Yang

Generative modeling of time series is a central challenge in time series analysis, particularly under data-scarce conditions. Despite recent advances in generative modeling, a comprehensive understanding of how state-of-the-art generative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Tal Gonen , Itai Pemper , Ilan Naiman , Nimrod Berman , Omri Azencot

We introduce TopoPrimer, a framework that makes the global topological structure of the series population an explicit input to any forecasting model. TopoPrimer improves accuracy across diverse domains, stabilizes forecasts under seasonal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Zara Zetlin , Kayhan Moharreri , Maria Safi

We formulate a new inference task in the domain of multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF), called Variable Subset Forecast (VSF), where only a small subset of the variables is available during inference. Variables are absent during…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Jatin Chauhan , Aravindan Raghuveer , Rishi Saket , Jay Nandy , Balaraman Ravindran

Accurate and high-resolution Earth system model (ESM) simulations are essential to assess the ecological and socio-economic impacts of anthropogenic climate change, but are computationally too expensive to be run at sufficiently high…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-02-27 Philipp Hess , Michael Aich , Baoxiang Pan , Niklas Boers

Time series forecasting underpins applications in finance, healthcare, and environmental monitoring. Despite the success of Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs), existing approaches operate in a unimodal setting and rely on static prompts…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Sehyuk Park , Soyeon Caren Han , Eduard Hovy

We introduce LatentTimePFN (LaT-PFN), a foundational Time Series model with a strong embedding space that enables zero-shot forecasting. To achieve this, we perform in-context learning in latent space utilizing a novel integration of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Stijn Verdenius , Andrea Zerio , Roy L. M. Wang

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are transforming the forecasting paradigm through large-scale cross-domain pretraining. However, most existing TSFMs remain univariate, and recent efforts to enable cross-variate modeling still operate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Yiding Liu , Yifan Hu , Hongjie Xia , Peiyuan Liu , Hongzhou Chen , Xilin Dai , Zewei Dong , Jiang-Ming Yang

Time series forecasting is one of the most essential and ubiquitous tasks in many business problems, including demand forecasting and logistics optimization. Traditional time series forecasting methods, however, have resulted in small…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-01 Young-Jin Park , Donghyun Kim , Frédéric Odermatt , Juho Lee , Kyung-Min Kim

In various web applications like targeted advertising and recommender systems, the available categorical features (e.g., product type) are often of great importance but sparse. As a widely adopted solution, models based on Factorization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-19 Tong Chen , Hongzhi Yin , Quoc Viet Hung Nguyen , Wen-Chih Peng , Xue Li , Xiaofang Zhou

Time series forecasting is often fundamental to scientific and engineering problems and enables decision making. With ever increasing data set sizes, a trivial solution to scale up predictions is to assume independence between interacting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-18 Kashif Rasul , Abdul-Saboor Sheikh , Ingmar Schuster , Urs Bergmann , Roland Vollgraf

Variable Subset Forecasting (VSF) refers to a unique scenario in multivariate time series forecasting, where available variables in the inference phase are only a subset of the variables in the training phase. VSF presents significant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-18 Qi Hao , Runchang Liang , Yue Gao , Hao Dong , Wei Fan , Lu Jiang , Pengyang Wang

Motivated by the recent success of time-series foundation models for zero-shot forecasting, we present a methodology for $\textit{in-context fine-tuning}$ of a time-series foundation model. In particular, we design a pretrained foundation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-01 Abhimanyu Das , Matthew Faw , Rajat Sen , Yichen Zhou
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