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Time-Series (TS) exhibits pronounced non-stationarity. Consequently, most forecasting methods display compromised robustness to concept drift, despite the prevalent application of instance normalization. We tackle this challenge by first…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Daojun Liang , Jing Chen , Xiao Wang , Yinglong Wang , Shuo Li

Traditional time series forecasting methods optimize for accuracy alone. This objective neglects temporal consistency, in other words, how consistently a model predicts the same future event as the forecast origin changes. We introduce the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-24 Chutian Ma , Grigorii Pomazkin , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

Deep learning (DL) approaches are being increasingly used for time-series forecasting, with many efforts devoted to designing complex DL models. Recent studies have shown that the DL success is often attributed to effective data…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2023-07-28 Jianing Hao , Qing Shi , Yilin Ye , Wei Zeng

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is pervasive in real-world applications, demanding not only predicting each level of the hierarchy, but also reconciling all forecasts to ensure coherency, i.e., the forecasts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Shiyu Wang , Fan Zhou , Yinbo Sun , Lintao Ma , James Zhang , Yangfei Zheng

The forecasting of irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) is crucial in key areas such as healthcare, biomechanics, climate science, and astronomy. However, achieving accurate and practical predictions is challenging due to two main…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Xvyuan Liu , Xiangfei Qiu , Xingjian Wu , Zhengyu Li , Chenjuan Guo , Jilin Hu , Bin Yang

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) has emerged as a powerful tool for extracting meaningful features from complex data structures, driving significant advancements in fields such as neuroscience, biology, machine learning, and financial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-02 ZiXin Lin , Nur Fariha Syaqina Zulkepli

This paper deals with inference and prediction for multiple correlated time series, where one has also the choice of using a candidate pool of contemporaneous predictors for each target series. Starting with a structural model for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-09-20 S. Rao Jammalamadaka , Jinwen Qiu , Ning Ning

Two-stage bipartite matching is a fundamental problem of optimization under uncertainty introduced by Feng, Niazadeh, and Saberi (2021), who study it under the stochastic and adversarial paradigms of uncertainty. We propose a method to…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Billy Jin , Will Ma

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Forecast combination involves using multiple forecasts to create a single, more accurate prediction. Recently, feature-based forecasting has been employed to either select the most appropriate forecasting models or to optimize the weights…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-14 Giovanni Felici , Antonio M. Sudoso

As large language models (LLMs) evolve into autonomous agents for long-horizon information-seeking, managing finite context capacity has become a critical bottleneck. Existing context management methods typically commit to a single fixed…

Graph-based techniques emerged as a choice to deal with the dimensionality issues in modeling multivariate time series. However, there is yet no complete understanding of how the underlying structure could be exploited to ease this task.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-10-02 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin , Geert Leus

Data mining, particularly the analysis of multivariate time series data, plays a crucial role in extracting insights from complex systems and supporting informed decision-making across diverse domains. However, assessing the similarity of…

The Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) has gained a lot of attention for solving large-scale and objective-separable constrained optimization. However, the two-block variable structure of the ADMM still limits the practical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-03-24 Kresimir Mihic , Mingxi Zhu , Yinyu Ye

While time series diffusion models have received considerable focus from many recent works, the performance of existing models remains highly unstable. Factors limiting time series diffusion models include insufficient time series datasets…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-25 Jingwei Liu , Ling Yang , Hongyan Li , Shenda Hong

Automatic Time Series Forecasting (TSF) model design which aims to help users to efficiently design suitable forecasting model for the given time series data scenarios, is a novel research topic to be urgently solved. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 Chunnan Wang , Xingyu Chen , Chengyue Wu , Hongzhi Wang

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is hampered by the challenge of modeling complex dependencies that span multiple temporal scales and frequency resolutions. Existing methods, including Transformer and MLP-based models, often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Qianyang Li , Xingjun Zhang , Shaoxun Wang , Jia Wei

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Large language models (LLMs) benefit from test-time scaling but are often hampered by high inference latency. Speculative decoding is a natural way to accelerate the scaling process; however, scaling along both the parallel and sequential…

Multivariate time series data provide a robust framework for future predictions by leveraging information across multiple dimensions, ensuring broad applicability in practical scenarios. However, their high dimensionality and mixing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Xuanbing Zhu , Dunbin Shen , Zhongwen Rao , Huiyi Ma , Yingguang Hao , Hongyu Wang