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This paper presents a novel deep learning-based approach named RealDiffFusionNet incorporating Neural Controlled Differential Equations (Neural CDE) - time series models that are robust in handling irregularly sampled data - and multi-head…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-07 Aashish Cheruvu , Nathaniel Rigoni

Accurate crowd simulation is crucial for public safety management, emergency evacuation planning, and intelligent transportation systems. However, existing methods, which typically model crowds as a collection of independent individual…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Zijin Liu , Xu Geng , Wenshuai Xu , Xiang Zhao , Yan Xia , You Song

Early detection of intrapartum risks enables timely interventions to prevent or mitigate adverse labor outcomes such as cerebral palsy. However, accurate automated systems to support clinical decision-making during delivery are currently…

The aim of dynamic prediction is to provide individualized risk predictions over time, which are updated as new data become available. In pursuit of constructing a dynamic prediction model for a progressive eye disorder, age-related macular…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-13 Lang Zeng , Jipeng Zhang , Wei Chen , Ying Ding

It is critical yet challenging for deep learning models to properly characterize uncertainty that is pervasive in real-world environments. Although a lot of efforts have been made, such as heteroscedastic neural networks (HNNs), little work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-30 Peng Cui , Zhijie Deng , Wenbo Hu , Jun Zhu

Handling missing data in time series classification remains a significant challenge in various domains. Traditional methods often rely on imputation, which may introduce bias or fail to capture the underlying temporal dynamics. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 YongKyung Oh , Dong-Young Lim , Sungil Kim , Alex Bui

It has been shown that deep learning models can under certain circumstances outperform traditional statistical methods at forecasting. Furthermore, various techniques have been developed for quantifying the forecast uncertainty (prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-08 Thabang Mathonsi , Terence L. van Zyl

Models for predicting the risk of cardiovascular events based on individual patient characteristics are important tools for managing patient care. Most current and commonly used risk prediction models have been built from carefully selected…

Most work in neural networks focuses on estimating the conditional mean of a continuous response variable given a set of covariates.In this article, we consider estimating the conditional distribution function using neural networks for both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-07 Bingqing Hu , Bin Nan

Interval censoring occurs when event times are only known to fall between scheduled assessments, a common design in clinical trials, epidemiology, and reliability studies. Standard right-censoring methods, such as Kaplan-Meier and Cox…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 J. T. Korley

Developing efficient time series anomaly detection techniques is important to maintain service quality and provide early alarms. Generative neural network methods are one class of the unsupervised approaches that are achieving increasing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-07 Yueyan Gu , Farrokh Jazizadeh

Time-to-event modelling, known as survival analysis, differs from standard regression as it addresses censoring in patients who do not experience the event of interest. Despite competitive performances in tackling this problem, machine…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-12 Vincent Jeanselme , Chang Ho Yoon , Brian Tom , Jessica Barrett

Neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have been attracting increasing attention in various research domains recently. There have been some works studying optimization issues and approximation capabilities of neural ODEs, but their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-04 Hanshu Yan , Jiawei Du , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Jiashi Feng

Non-autonomous differential equations are crucial for modeling systems influenced by external signals, yet fitting these models to data becomes particularly challenging when the signals change abruptly. To address this problem, we propose a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-10 Hyeontae Jo , Krešimir Josić , Jae Kyoung Kim

In this paper the regression discontinuity design is adapted to the survival analysis setting with right-censored data, studied in an intensity based counting process framework. In particular, a local polynomial regression version of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-07 Emil Aas Stoltenberg

This research is motivated by discovering and underpinning genetic causes for the progression of a bilateral eye disease, Age-related Macular Degeneration (AMD), of which the primary outcomes, progression times to late-AMD, are bivariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-21 Tao Sun , Ying Ding

In clinical studies, the illness-death model is often used to describe disease progression. A subject starts disease-free, may develop the disease and then die, or die directly. In clinical practice, disease can only be diagnosed at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Marta Spreafico , Anja J. Rueten-Budde , Hein Putter , Marta Fiocco

Motivation: Survival analysis is a branch of statistics that is crucial in medicine for modeling the time to critical events such as death or relapse, in order to improve treatment strategies and patient outcomes. Selecting survival models…

Survival analysis aims to model how covariates and time jointly shape the time-to-event distribution under right censoring. Classical methods such as the Cox model and generalised additive models (GAMs) require interactions and time-varying…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Stelios Boulitsakis Logothetis , Angela Wood , Pietro Liò

We propose a hybrid sequential deep learning model to predict the risk of AMD progression in non-exudative AMD eyes at multiple timepoints, starting from short-term progression (3-months) up to long-term progression (21-months). Proposed…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-03-01 Imon Banerjee , Luis de Sisternes , Joelle Hallak , Theodore Leng , Aaron Osborne , Mary Durbin , Daniel Rubin