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相关论文: Probabilistic Multi-Regional Solar Power Forecasti…

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Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

Smart power grids are one of the most complex cyber-physical systems, delivering electricity from power generation stations to consumers. It is critically important to know exactly the current state of the system as well as its state…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-12 Shahrzad Hadayeghparast , Amir Namavar Jahromi , Hadis Karimipour

This paper presents a novel predictive maintenance framework centered on Enhanced Quantile Regression Neural Networks EQRNNs, for anticipating system failures in industrial robotics. We address the challenge of early failure detection…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-01-10 David J Poland

Probabilistic time-series forecasting enables reliable decision making across many domains. Most forecasting problems have diverse sources of data containing multiple modalities and structures. Leveraging information as well as uncertainty…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Lingkai Kong , Alexander Rodríguez , Chao Zhang , B. Aditya Prakash

This paper proposes a control strategy for a Reverse Fuel Cell used to manage a Renewable Energy Community. A two-stage scenario-based Model Predictive Control algorithm is designed to define the best economic strategy to be followed during…

This paper addresses a central challenge of jointly considering shorter-term (e.g. hourly) and longer-term (e.g. yearly) uncertainties in power system planning with increasing penetration of renewable and storage resources. In conventional…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-13 Chao Yan , Xinbo Geng , Zhaohong Bie , Le Xie

Accurate prediction of wind power is essential for the grid integration of this intermittent renewable source and aiding grid planners in forecasting available wind capacity. Spatial differences lead to discrepancies in climatological data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-21 Md Saiful Islam Sajol , Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Jubair Yusuf

Estimation of the generated power of renewable energy resources is in general important for planning operations as well as demand balance and power quality. This paper addresses the problem of the estimation of the short-term (3-hour ahead)…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-20 L. A. Dao , L. Ferrarini , D. La Carrubba

Accurate short-term energy consumption forecasting is essential for efficient power grid management, resource allocation, and market stability. Traditional time-series models often fail to capture the complex, non-linear dependencies and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2026-01-27 Abhishek Maity , Viraj Tukarul

The use of solar photovoltaics (PV) energy provides additional resources to the electric power grid. The downside of this integration is that the solar power supply is unreliable and highly dependent on the weather condition. The…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-20 S. Sarp , M. Kuzlu , U. Cali , O. Elma , O. Guler

Renewable energy forecasting is attaining greater importance due to its constant increase in contribution to the electrical power grids. Solar energy is one of the most significant contributors to renewable energy and is dependent on solar…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-08 V. Gunasekaran , K. K. Kovi , S. Arja , R. Chimata

Accurate solar power forecasting is pivotal for the global transition towards sustainable energy systems. This study conducts a meticulous comparison between Quantum Long Short-Term Memory (QLSTM) and classical Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)…

In this paper, we propose a non-parametric Bayesian network method to generate synthetic scenarios of hourly generation for variable renewable energy(VRE) plants. The methodology consists of a non-parametric estimation of the probability…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-11 Julio Alberto Dias , Guilherme Machado , Alessandro Soares , Joaquim Dias Garcia

Missing values are common in photovoltaic (PV) power data, yet the uncertainty they induce is not propagated into predictive distributions. We develop a framework that incorporates missing-data uncertainty into short-term PV forecasting by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Parastoo Pashmchi , Jérôme Benoit , Motonobu Kanagawa

Accurate ultra-short-term forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) ramp events is essential for maintaining grid stability in solar-integrated power systems, particularly under rapidly changing cloud conditions. This paper presents a generative…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-06 Siyuan Wang , Fengqi You

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

As the number of rooftop photovoltaic (PV) installations increases, aggregators and system operators are required to monitor and analyze these systems, raising the challenge of integration and management of large, spatially distributed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-19 Kutay Bölat , Tarek Alskaif , Peter Palensky , Simon Tindemans

Multi-horizon probabilistic time series forecasting has wide applicability to real-world tasks such as demand forecasting. Recent work in neural time-series forecasting mainly focus on the use of Seq2Seq architectures. For example,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-09 Sitan Yang , Carson Eisenach , Dhruv Madeka

This study introduces simple yet effective continuous- and discrete-variable quantum neural network (QNN) models as a transfer-learning approach for forecasting tasks. The CV-QNN features a single quantum layer with two qubits to establish…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-26 Ismael Abdulrahman

Quantum Recurrent Neural Networks (QRNNs) are robust candidates for modelling and predicting future values in multivariate time series. However, the effective implementation of some QRNN models is limited by the need for mid-circuit…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-01-31 José Daniel Viqueira , Daniel Faílde , Mariamo M. Juane , Andrés Gómez , David Mera