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Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed are important for a wide range of applications, ranging from operational decision making in connection with wind power generation to storm warnings, ship routing and aviation. We present a statistical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-08-06 Michael Scheuerer , David Möller

The modern power grid is facing increasing complexities, primarily stemming from the integration of renewable energy sources and evolving consumption patterns. This paper introduces an innovative methodology that harnesses Convolutional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-26 Aneesh Sathe , Wen Ren Yang

Different machine learning (ML) models are trained on SCADA and meteorological data collected at an onshore wind farm and then assessed in terms of fidelity and accuracy for predictions of wind speed, turbulence intensity, and power capture…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-12-06 C. Moss , R. Maulik , G. V. Iungo

Forecasting windmill time series is often the basis of other processes such as anomaly detection, health monitoring, or maintenance scheduling. The amount of data generated on windmill farms makes online learning the most viable strategy to…

The safe and stable operation of power systems is greatly challenged by the high variability and randomness of wind power in large-scale wind-power-integrated grids. Wind power forecasting is an effective solution to tackle this issue, with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-23 Hao Liu , Huimin Ma , Tianyu Hu

Today's evolving power system contains an increasing amount of power electronic interfaced energy sources and loads that require a paradigm shift in utility operations. Sub-synchronous oscillations at frequencies around 13-15 Hz, for…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-23 Mohammed-Ilies Ayachi , Luigi Vanfretti , Shehab Ahmed

As an important clean and renewable kind of energy, wind power plays an important role in coping with energy crisis and environmental pollution. However, the volatility and intermittency of wind speed restrict the development of wind power.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-23 Haojian Huang

The prediction of near surface wind speed is becoming increasingly vital for the operation of electrical energy grids as the capacity of installed wind power grows. The majority of predictive wind speed modeling has focused on point-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-12-15 Jianan Cao , David J. Farnham , Upmanu Lall

In machine learning, a nonparametric forecasting algorithm for time series data has been proposed, called the kernel spectral hidden Markov model (KSHMM). In this paper, we propose a technique for short-term wind-speed prediction based on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-16 Shunsuke Tsuzuki , Yu Nishiyama

Wind power forecasting plays a critical role in modern energy systems, facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. Accurate prediction of wind energy output is essential for managing the inherent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Ali Forootani , Danial Esmaeili Aliabadi , Daniela Thraen

In the wind energy industry, it is of great importance to develop models that accurately forecast the power output of a wind turbine, as such predictions are used for wind farm location assessment or power pricing and bidding, monitoring,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Sándor Kolumbán , Stella Kapodistria , Nazanin Nooraee

With industrial and technological development and the increasing demand for electric power, wind energy has gradually become the fastest-growing and most environmentally friendly new energy source. Nevertheless, wind power generation is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-19 Yasmeen Aldossary , Nabil Hewahi , Abdulla Alasaadi

The efficient utilization of wind power by wind turbines relies on the ability of their pitch systems to adjust blade pitch angles in response to varying wind speeds. However, the presence of multiple health conditions in the pitch system…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-14 Zixuan Wang , Bo Qin , Mengxuan Li , Chenlu Zhan , Mark D. Butala , Peng Peng , Hongwei Wang

In this work, we introduce FLAME, a family of extremely lightweight and capable Time Series Foundation Models, which support both deterministic and probabilistic forecasting via generative probabilistic modeling, thus ensuring both…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Xiangfei Qiu , Zhengyu Li , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm using Deep Learning (DL)and in particular, Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs). Motivated by recent advances in renewable energy integration and smart grids, we apply our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-07-27 Amir Ghaderi , Borhan M. Sanandaji , Faezeh Ghaderi

Weather forecasting is crucial for public safety, disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and energy management, with global relevance. Although deep learning has significantly advanced weather prediction, current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Shixuan Li , Wei Yang , Peiyu Zhang , Xiongye Xiao , Defu Cao , Yuehan Qin , Xiaole Zhang , Yue Zhao , Paul Bogdan

Wind energy is a widely distributed, renewable, and environmentally friendly energy source that plays a crucial role in mitigating global warming and addressing energy shortages. Nevertheless, wind power generation is characterized by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Meiyu Jiang , Jun Shen , Xuetao Jiang , Lihui Luo , Rui Zhou , Qingguo Zhou

Wind power as a renewable source of energy, has numerous economic, environmental and social benefits. In order to enhance and control renewable wind power, it is vital to utilize models that predict wind speed with high accuracy. Due to…

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He