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This paper investigates the causal effect of export intensity on productivity and other firm-level outcomes with a dose-response function. After positing that export intensity acts as a continuous treatment, we investigate counterfactual…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-08 Francesca Micocci , Armando Rungi , Giovanni Cerulli

We study cross-country GDP losses due to financial crises in terms of frequency (number of loss events per period) and severity (loss per occurrence). We perform the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) to estimate a multi-country aggregate GDP…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-03-19 Daniel Kapp , Marco Vega

Energy usage and GDP have been the subject of numerous studies over the past decades. It has been overlooked by previous studies that energy consumption correlates with economic growth in relation to GDP. This study uses threshold…

Synthetic control methods are widely used for policy evaluation, but most existing approaches rule out interference among units, compromising validity when such effects are present. We develop a framework that accommodates contaminated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Peiyu He , Yilin Li , Xu Shi , Wang Miao

We examine the contribution of institutional integration to the institutional quality. To this end, we exploit the 2007 political crisis in Ukraine and examine the effects of staying out of the European Union for 28 Ukrainian provinces in…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-13 Chiara Natalie Focacci , Mitja Kovac , Rok Spruk

The present study aimed to forecast the exports of a select group of Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries and Iran using the neural networks. The data concerning the exports of the above countries from…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-29 Soheila Khajoui , Saeid Dehyadegari , Sayyed Abdolmajid Jalaee

Earlier meta-analyses of the economic impact of climate change are updated with more data, with three new results: (1) The central estimate of the economic impact of global warming is always negative. (2) The confidence interval about the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-08-30 Richard S. J. Tol

In the first half of 2020, several countries have responded to the challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic by restricting their export of medical supplies. Such measures are meant to increase the domestic availability of critical goods,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-28 Marco Grassia , Giuseppe Mangioni , Stefano Schiavo , Silvio Traverso

This study proposes a systematic non-kinetic deterrence path modeling framework based on strategic rare earth supply cut-off, aiming to assess the strategic effects of China's export control policy against the United States at the military…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-05-29 Wei Meng

The relationship between international trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) is one of the main features of globalization. In this paper we investigate the effects of FDI on trade from a network perspective, since FDI takes not only…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-11-02 Paolo Sgrignoli , Rodolfo Metulini , Zhen Zhu , Massimo Riccaboni

This systematic review with narrative synthesis examines the social impacts of International Monetary Fund (IMF) programs. We systematically searched five academic databases and grey literature following PRISMA guidelines and included 53…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-13 Ricardo Alonzo Fernández Salguero

The existing theorization of development economics and transition economics is probably inadequate and perhaps even flawed to accurately explain and analyze a dual economic system such as that in China. China is a country in the transition…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-10-06 Tianyong Zhou

Global financial systems are undergoing strategic shifts as geopolitical tensions reshape international trade and payments. The United States (US)-China trade war, sanctions regimes, and rising concerns over the weaponization of financial…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-28 Antonis Ballis

This paper examined the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic on sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) using the historical approach and analysing the policy responses of the region to past crises and their economic consequences. The study…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-05 Anthony Enisan Akinlo , Segun Michael Ojo

Globalization processes interweave economic structures at a worldwide scale, trade playing a central role as one of the elemental channels of interaction among countries. Despite the significance of such phenomena, measuring economic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 M. Angeles Serrano

More than half a century has passed since the Great Chinese Famine (1959-1961), and China has transformed from a poor, underdeveloped country to the world's leading emerging economy. Does the effect of the famine persist today? To explore…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-14 Pramod Kumar Sur , Masaru Sasaki

The study of US-China relations has always been a crucial topic in our economic development [4][5][7], and the US presidential election plays an integral role in shaping these relations. The presidential election is held every four years,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-04-25 Junjie Zhao

A novel mathematical framework is proposed to describe the ecological and evolutionary consequences of consumer--resource interactions. Both the consumer and resource are assumed to consist of several (sub)species, which interact between…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-11-11 Alexander S. Bratus , Sergei V. Drozhzhin , Artem S. Novozhilov

The energy trade is an important pillar of each country's development, making up for the imbalance in the production and consumption of fossil fuels. Geopolitical risks affect the energy trade of various countries to a certain extent, but…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-05-25 Fen Li , Cunyi Yang , Zhenghui Li , Pierre Failler

For centuries, national economies created wealth by engaging in international trade and production. The resulting international supply networks not only increase wealth for countries, but also create systemic risk: economic shocks,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-02 Abhijit Chakraborty , Tobias Reisch , Christian Diem , Stefan Thurner