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Multivariate time series forecasting has seen widely ranging applications in various domains, including finance, traffic, energy, and healthcare. To capture the sophisticated temporal patterns, plenty of research studies designed complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-05 Tianping Zhang , Yizhuo Zhang , Wei Cao , Jiang Bian , Xiaohan Yi , Shun Zheng , Jian Li

In recent years, numerous Transformer-based models have been applied to long-term time-series forecasting (LTSF) tasks. However, recent studies with linear models have questioned their effectiveness, demonstrating that simple linear layers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Jiaheng Yin , Zhengxin Shi , Jianshen Zhang , Xiaomin Lin , Yulin Huang , Yongzhi Qi , Wei Qi

Time series data, characterized by its intrinsic long and short-range dependencies, poses a unique challenge across analytical applications. While Transformer-based models excel at capturing long-range dependencies, they face limitations in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-07 Emadeldeen Eldele , Mohamed Ragab , Zhenghua Chen , Min Wu , Xiaoli Li

Time series AI is crucial for analyzing dynamic web content, driving a surge of pre-trained large models known for their strong knowledge encoding and transfer capabilities across diverse tasks. However, given their energy-intensive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-03 ChengAo Shen , Ziming Zhao , Hanghang Tong , Dongjin Song , Dongsheng Luo , Qingsong Wen , Jingchao Ni

The receptive field (RF), which determines the region of time series to be ``seen'' and used, is critical to improve the performance for time series classification (TSC). However, the variation of signal scales across and within time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-21 Qiao Xiao , Boqian Wu , Yu Zhang , Shiwei Liu , Mykola Pechenizkiy , Elena Mocanu , Decebal Constantin Mocanu

We propose Lite-STGNN, a lightweight spatial-temporal graph neural network for long-term multivariate forecasting that integrates decomposition-based temporal modeling with learnable sparse graph structure. The temporal module applies…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Henok Tenaw Moges , Deshendran Moodley

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) plays a vital role in a wide range of real-world applications, such as weather prediction and traffic flow forecasting. Although recent advances have significantly improved the modeling of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Beiliang Wu , Peiyuan Liu , Yifan Hu , Luyan Zhang , Ao Hu , Zenglin Xu

Benefiting from high capacity for capturing complex temporal patterns, deep learning (DL) has significantly advanced time series forecasting (TSF). However, deep models tend to suffer from severe overfitting due to the inherent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Yisong Fu , Zezhi Shao , Chengqing Yu , Yujie Li , Zhulin An , Qi Wang , Yongjun Xu , Fei Wang

One unique property of time series is that the temporal relations are largely preserved after downsampling into two sub-sequences. By taking advantage of this property, we propose a novel neural network architecture that conducts sample…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-14 Minhao Liu , Ailing Zeng , Muxi Chen , Zhijian Xu , Qiuxia Lai , Lingna Ma , Qiang Xu

Language models are increasingly used not only as standalone predictors but also as components in larger inference systems, from test-time reasoning to multi-model collaboration. We study language model networks, where pre-trained language…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Shiguang Wu , Yaqing Wang , Quanming Yao

Despite the prevalent assumption of uniform variable importance in long-term time series forecasting models, real world applications often exhibit asymmetric causal relationships and varying data acquisition costs. Specifically,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Xinyang Chen , Huidong Jin , Yu Huang , Zaiwen Feng

Time series forecasting in specialized domains is often constrained by limited data availability, where conventional models typically require large-scale datasets to effectively capture underlying temporal dynamics. To tackle this few-shot…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Haonan Shi , Dehua Shuai , Liming Wang , Xiyang Liu , Long Tian

Recently, there has been a surge of Transformer-based solutions for the long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) task. Despite the growing performance over the past few years, we question the validity of this line of research in this work.…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-18 Ailing Zeng , Muxi Chen , Lei Zhang , Qiang Xu

Multivariate time series data suffer from the problem of missing values, which hinders the application of many analytical methods. To achieve the accurate imputation of these missing values, exploiting inter-correlation by employing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-17 Kohei Obata , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

In recent years, both online and offline deep learning models have been developed for time series forecasting. However, offline deep forecasting models fail to adapt effectively to changes in time-series data, while online deep forecasting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Mohamed Mejri , Chandramouli Amarnath , Abhijit Chatterjee

Introduction: Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) has gained significant attention in recent years. While various specialized designs exist for capturing temporal dependency, recent studies have shown that even a single linear layer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Zhe Li , Shiyi Qi , Yiduo Li , Zenglin Xu

Sparse deep learning has become a popular technique for improving the performance of deep neural networks in areas such as uncertainty quantification, variable selection, and large-scale network compression. However, most existing research…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-06 Mingxuan Zhang , Yan Sun , Faming Liang

Multi-task dense prediction aims to perform multiple pixel-level tasks simultaneously. However, capturing global cross-task interactions remains non-trivial due to the quadratic complexity of standard self-attention on high-resolution…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Chen Liu , Hengyu Man , Xiaopeng Fan , Debin Zhao

Sufficiently modeling the correlations among variables (aka channels) is crucial for achieving accurate multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). In this paper, we propose a novel technique called Temporal Query (TQ) to more effectively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Shengsheng Lin , Haojun Chen , Haijie Wu , Chunyun Qiu , Weiwei Lin

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is hampered by the challenge of modeling complex dependencies that span multiple temporal scales and frequency resolutions. Existing methods, including Transformer and MLP-based models, often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Qianyang Li , Xingjun Zhang , Shaoxun Wang , Jia Wei