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As solar power continues to grow and replace traditional energy sources, the need for reliable forecasting models becomes increasingly important to ensure the stability and efficiency of the grid. However, the management of these models…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-25 José L. Risco-Martín , Ignacio-Iker Prado-Rujas , Javier Campoy , María S. Pérez , Katzalin Olcoz

The application of models to assess the risk of the physical impacts of weather and climate and their subsequent consequences for society and business is of the utmost importance in our changing climate. The operation of such models is…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2022-09-28 Blair Edwards , Paolo Fraccaro , Nikola Stoyanov , Nelson Bore , Julian Kuehnert , Kommy Weldemariam , Anne Jones

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

Accurate and up-to-date forecasting of the power grid's carbon footprint is crucial for effective product carbon footprint (PCF) accounting and informed decarbonization decisions. However, the carbon intensity of the grid exhibits high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Qingzhong Li , Yue Hu , Zhou Long , Qingchang Ma , Hui Ma , Jinhai Sa

Recent advances in deep learning have significantly elevated weather prediction models. However, these models often falter in real-world scenarios due to their sensitivity to spatial-temporal shifts. This issue is particularly acute in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-04 Lu Han , Xu-Yang Chen , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan

In this paper, in an attempt to improve power grid resilience, a machine learning model is proposed to predictively estimate the component states in response to extreme events. The proposed model is based on a multi-dimensional Support…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-02-19 Rozhin Eskandarpour , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arab

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across various industries, where accurate extraction of complex periodic and trend components can significantly enhance prediction performance. However, existing models often struggle to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-08 Yulong Wang , Yushuo Liu , Xiaoyi Duan , Kai Wang

This work presents, to the best of the authors' knowledge, the first generalizable and fully data-driven adaptive framework designed to stabilize deep learning (DL) autoregressive forecasting models over long time horizons, with the goal of…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-05-06 Rodrigo Abadía-Heredia , Manuel Lopez-Martin , Soledad Le Clainche

Forecasting multivariate time series data, which involves predicting future values of variables over time using historical data, has significant practical applications. Although deep learning-based models have shown promise in this field,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Zahra Fatemi , Minh Huynh , Elena Zheleva , Zamir Syed , Xiaojun Di

Ensuring the frequency stability of electric grids with increasing renewable resources is a key problem in power system operations. In recent years, a number of advanced controllers have been designed to optimize frequency control. These…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-23 Wenqi Cui , Guanya Shi , Yuanyuan Shi , Baosen Zhang

This proposal aims to develop more accurate federated learning (FL) methods with faster convergence properties and lower communication requirements, specifically for forecasting distributed energy resources (DER) such as renewables, energy…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-15 Vineet Jagadeesan Nair , Lucas Pereira

Accurate building load forecasting plays a critical role in facilitating demand response aggregation and optimizing energy management. However, the complex temporal dependencies and high volatility of building loads limit the improvement of…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Hang Fan , Ying Lu , Weican Liu , Dunnan Liu , Xiaotao Chen , Shengwei Mei

Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) poses a great challenge due to their highly nonlinear dynamics and inherent uncertainties. Conventional statistical dynamics and artificial intelligence prediction models typically rely…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-10 Xuepeng Chen , Jing-Jia Luo , Qingqing Li , Fan Meng

Irregular multivariate time series forecasting (IMTSF) is challenging due to non-uniform sampling and variable asynchronicity. These irregularities violate the equidistant assumptions of standard models, hindering local temporal modeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Xiangfei Qiu , Kangjia Yan , Xvyuan Liu , Xingjian Wu , Jilin Hu

Accurate household electrical energy demand prediction is essential for effectively managing sustainable Energy Communities. Integrated with the Energy Management System, these communities aim to optimise operational costs. However, most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Ehtisham Asghar , Martin Hill , Ibrahim Sengor , Conor Lynch , Phan Quang An

Currently, iTransformer is one of the most popular and effective models for multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting. Thanks to its inverted framework, iTransformer effectively captures multivariate correlation. However, the inverted…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-17 Hongming Tan , Ting Chen , Ruochong Jin , Wai Kin Chan

Incorporating item-side information, such as category and brand, into sequential recommendation is a well-established and effective approach for improving performance. However, despite significant advancements, current models are generally…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Jie Luo , Wenyu Zhang , Xinming Zhang , Yuan Fang

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

Depending on energy sources and demand, the carbon intensity of the public power grid fluctuates over time. Exploiting this variability is an important factor in reducing the emissions caused by data centers. However, regional differences…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2021-10-27 Philipp Wiesner , Ilja Behnke , Dominik Scheinert , Kordian Gontarska , Lauritz Thamsen

Understanding the impact of grid-following (GFL) converters on system frequency dynamics is crucial, from both the center of inertia (COI) and frequency spatial variation perspectives. Part I of this series clarifies the mechanisms by which…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-22 Jiahao Liu , Cheng Wang , Tianshu Bi