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Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

For many infectious disease outbreaks, the at-risk population changes their behavior in response to the outbreak severity, causing the transmission dynamics to change in real-time. Behavioral change is often ignored in epidemic modeling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-25 Caitlin Ward , Rob Deardon , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Understanding the spread of any disease is a highly complex and interdisciplinary exercise as biological, social, geographic, economic, and medical factors may shape the way a disease moves through a population and options for its eventual…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-12-14 Aristides Moustakas

Emerging marine infectious diseases pose a substantial threat to marine ecosystems and the conservation of their biodiversity. Compartmental models of epidemic transmission in marine sessile organisms, available only recently, are based on…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-11-03 Àlex Giménez-Romero , Federico Vazquez , Cristóbal López , Manuel A. Matías

Rapid developments in streaming data technologies have enabled real-time monitoring of human activity that can deliver high-resolution data on health variables over trajectories or paths carved out by subjects as they conduct their daily…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-11 Tomoya Wakayama , Sudipto Banerjee

It is well recognised that animal and plant pathogens form complex ecological communities of interacting organisms within their hosts. Although community ecology approaches have been applied to determine pathogen interactions at the…

The recent history of respiratory pathogen epidemics, including those caused by influenza and SARS-CoV-2, has highlighted the urgent need for advanced modeling approaches that can accurately capture heterogeneous disease dynamics and…

The spontaneous behavioral changes of the agents during an epidemic can have significant effects on the delay and the prevalence of its spread. In this work, we study a social distancing game among the agents of a population, who determine…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-13 A. -R. Lagos , I. Kordonis , G. P. Papavassilopoulos

Disease spread in most biological populations requires the proximity of agents. In populations where the individuals have spatial mobility, the contact graph is generated by the "collision dynamics" of the agents, and thus the evolution of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2007-06-07 Z. Toroczkai , H. Guclu

Active walker models have proved to be extremely effective in understanding the evolution of a large class of systems in biology like ant trail formation and pedestrian trails. We propose a simple model of a random walker which modifies its…

生物物理 · 物理学 2023-01-18 Subhashree Subhrasmita Khuntia , Abhishek Chaudhuri , Debasish Chaudhuri

Monitoring wastewater pump stations is essential because they are critical infrastructure. However, monitoring is still often performed manually due to the lack of suitable algorithmic methods and data. This paper introduces a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-17 Katayoun Eshkofti , Henrik Sandberg , Mikael Nilsson , Matthieu Barreau

In any ecosystem, the conditions of the environment and the characteristics of the species that inhabit it are entangled, co-evolving in space and time. We introduce a model that couples active agents with a dynamic environment, interpreted…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-12-10 G. Briozzo , G. J. Sibona , F. Peruani

Spatial extent is a complicating factor in mathematical biology. The possibility that an action at point A cannot immediately affect what happens at point B creates the opportunity for spatial nonuniformity. This nonuniformity must change…

元胞自动机与格子气 · 物理学 2014-01-03 Blake C. Stacey , Andreas Gros , Yaneer Bar-Yam

Developing the ability to comprehensively study infections in small populations enables us to improve epidemic models and better advise individuals about potential risks to their health. We currently have a limited understanding of how…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-10-14 Wen Dong , Katherine A. Heller , Alex Sandy Pentland

We model messaging activities as a hierarchical doubly stochastic point process with three main levels, and develop an iterative algorithm for inferring actors' relative latent positions from a stream of messaging activity data. Each of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-04-26 Nam H. Lee , Jordan Yoder , Minh Tang , Carey E Priebe

In recent years modelling crowd and evacuation dynamics has become very important, with increasing huge numbers of people gathering around the world for many reasons and events. The fact that our global population grows dramatically every…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-01-28 Mohamed H. Dridi

This study presents an integrated approach to understanding epidemic dynamics through a stochastic spatio-temporal simulation model on a multiplex network, blending physical and informational layers. The physical layer maps the geographic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-26 H. M. Shadman Tabib , Jaber Ahmed Deedar , K. M. Ariful Kabir

The simulation of pedestrian crowd that reflects reality is a major challenge for researches. Several crowd simulation models have been proposed such as cellular automata model, agent-based model, fluid dynamic model, etc. It is important…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2017-08-15 Wonho Kang , Youngnam Han

Random walks and related spatial stochastic models have been used in a range of application areas including animal and plant ecology, infectious disease epidemiology, developmental biology, wound healing, and oncology. Classical random walk…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-08-22 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson , Ruth E. Baker

We simulate a spatial behavioral model of the diffusion of an infection to understand the role of geographic characteristics: the number and distribution of outbreaks, population size, density, and agents' movements. We show that several…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-31 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro