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Accurate prediction of outcomes is crucial for clinical decision-making and personalized patient care. Supervised machine learning algorithms, which are commonly used for outcome prediction in the medical domain, optimize for predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Nithya Bhasker , Fiona R. Kolbinger , Susu Hu , Gitta Kutyniok , Stefanie Speidel

Current contingency reserve criteria ignore the likelihood of individual contingencies and, thus, their impact on system reliability and risk. This paper develops an iterative approach, inspired by the current security-constrained unit…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-10 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez

Recently, reinforcement learning models have achieved great success, completing complex tasks such as mastering Go and other games with higher scores than human players. Many of these models collect considerable data on the tasks and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-19 Hanten Chang , Katsuya Futagami

Multivariate time series data comprises various channels of variables. The multivariate forecasting models need to capture the relationship between the channels to accurately predict future values. However, recently, there has been an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-12 Lu Han , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan

Conformal prediction (CP) is a distribution-free framework for achieving probabilistic guarantees on black-box models. CP is generally applied to a model post-training. Recent research efforts, on the other hand, have focused on optimizing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Sima Noorani , Orlando Romero , Nicolo Dal Fabbro , Hamed Hassani , George J. Pappas

Conformal prediction (CP) provides model-agnostic uncertainty quantification with guaranteed coverage, but conventional methods often produce overly conservative uncertainty sets, especially in multi-dimensional settings. This limitation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Minxing Zheng , Shixiang Zhu

Many large-scale applications can be elegantly represented using graph structures. Their scalability, however, is often limited by the domain knowledge required to apply them. To address this problem, we propose a novel Causal Temporal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-20 Abigail Langbridge , Fearghal O'Donncha , Amadou Ba , Fabio Lorenzi , Christopher Lohse , Joern Ploennigs

Science and technology have a growing need for effective mechanisms that ensure reliable, controlled performance from black-box machine learning algorithms. These performance guarantees should ideally hold conditionally on the input-that is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-28 Vincent Blot , Anastasios N Angelopoulos , Michael I Jordan , Nicolas J-B Brunel

In this paper we present a framework for risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) of linear systems affected by multiplicative uncertainty. Our key innovation is to consider time-consistent, dynamic risk metrics as objective functions to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

Trajectory prediction for multi-agents in complex scenarios is crucial for applications like autonomous driving. However, existing methods often overlook environmental biases, which leads to poor generalization. Additionally, hardware…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-20 Xiaohe Li , Feilong Huang , Zide Fan , Fangli Mou , Leilei Lin , Yingyan Hou , Lijie Wen

Robots working in real environments need to adapt to unexpected changes to avoid failures. This is an open and complex challenge that requires robots to timely predict and identify the causes of failures to prevent them. In this paper, we…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Maximilian Diehl , Karinne Ramirez-Amaro

The remarkable success of large-scale contrastive pre-training has been largely driven by by vast yet static datasets. However, as the scaling paradigm evolves, this paradigm encounters a fundamental challenge when applied to dynamic data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Xiaoyu Yang , Jie Lu , En Yu , Wei Duan

We propose a novel adaptive and causal random linear network coding (AC-RLNC) algorithm with forward error correction (FEC) for a point-to-point communication channel with delayed feedback. AC-RLNC is adaptive to the channel condition, that…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-09-30 Alejandro Cohen , Derya Malak , Vered Bar Bracha , Muriel Medard

Conformal risk control is an extension of conformal prediction for controlling risk functions beyond miscoverage. The original algorithm controls the expected value of a loss that is monotonic in a one-dimensional parameter. Here, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos

Modern computer systems are highly configurable, with the total variability space sometimes larger than the number of atoms in the universe. Understanding and reasoning about the performance behavior of highly configurable systems, over a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-21 Md Shahriar Iqbal , Rahul Krishna , Mohammad Ali Javidian , Baishakhi Ray , Pooyan Jamshidi

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a distribution-free method for constructing prediction sets with marginal finite-sample coverage guarantees, making it a suitable framework for reliable uncertainty quantification in safety-critical object…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Christopher Ries , Moussa Kassem Sbeyti , Nicolas Bianco , Nadja Klein

We present Contingency Model Predictive Control (CMPC), a novel and implementable control framework which tracks a desired path while simultaneously maintaining a contingency plan -- an alternate trajectory to avert an identified potential…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2021-02-24 John P. Alsterda , Matthew Brown , J. Christian Gerdes

Certifying neural network robustness against adversarial examples is challenging, as formal guarantees often require solving non-convex problems. Hence, incomplete verifiers are widely used because they scale efficiently and substantially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Mohammadreza Maleki , Rushendra Sidibomma , Arman Adibi , Reza Samavi

Robust causal discovery from observational data under imperfect prior knowledge remains a significant and largely unresolved challenge. Existing methods typically presuppose perfect priors or can only handle specific, pre-identified error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Zidong Wang , Xi Lin , Chuchao He , Xiaoguang Gao

The growing demand for highly reliable communication systems drives the research and development of algorithms that identify and correct errors during data transmission and storage. This need becomes even more critical in hard-to-access or…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2025-04-17 Andrew Rafael Fritsch , César Augusto Missio Marcon