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Gaussian random field is a ubiquitous model for spatial phenomena in diverse scientific disciplines. Its approximation is often crucial for computational feasibility in simulation, inference, and uncertainty quantification. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Joaquin Cavieres , Sebastian Krumscheid

Earth system models (ESMs) are fundamental for understanding Earth's complex climate system. However, the computational demands and storage requirements of ESM simulations limit their utility. For the newly published CESM2-LENS2 data, which…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-27 Yan Song , Zubair Khalid , Marc G. Genton

The Stochastic Backscatter Model involves the generation of a set of random variables characterised by prescribed correlations in space and time. These variables are obtained by smoothing an initially uncorrelated random field, which…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-11-12 Angelo Passariello

This paper introduces a generalised 3rd-order Spectral Representation Method for the simulation of multi-dimensional stochastic fields with asymmetric non-linearities. The simulated random fields satisfy a prescribed Power Spectrum and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-06 Lohit Vandanapu , Michael D. Shields

The Gaussian copula is a powerful tool that has been widely used to model spatial and/or temporal correlated data with arbitrary marginal distributions. However, this kind of model can potentially be too restrictive since it expresses a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-30 Moreno Bevilacqua , Eloy Alvarado , Christian Caamaño-Carrillo

Simulation-based inference (SBI) offers a flexible and general approach to performing Bayesian inference: In SBI, a neural network is trained on synthetic data simulated from a model and used to rapidly infer posterior distributions for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Julius Vetter , Manuel Gloeckler , Daniel Gedon , Jakob H. Macke

The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has garnered considerable attention over the past decade. However, the standard GP with a preliminary kernel, such as the squared exponential kernel or Mat\'{e}rn kernel, that is commonly used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-07 Zhid Lin , Feng Yin , Juan Maroñas

Scalable surrogate models enable efficient emulation of computer models (or simulators), particularly when dealing with large ensembles of runs. While Gaussian process (GP) models are commonly employed for emulation, they face limitations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Grant Hutchings , Derek Bingham , Kellin Rumsey , Earl Lawrence

Weather nowcasting is an essential task that involves predicting future radar echo sequences based on current observations, offering significant benefits for disaster management, transportation, and urban planning. Current prediction…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Ziye Wang , Yiran Qin , Lin Zeng , Ruimao Zhang

Clustering is essential in data analysis and machine learning, but traditional algorithms like $k$-means and Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) often fail with nonconvex clusters. To address the challenge, we introduce the Flexible Bivariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-28 Yung-Peng Hsu , Hung-Hsuan Chen

This article constructs simultaneous confidence bands (SCBs) for functional parameters using the Gaussian Kinematic formula of $t$-processes (tGKF). Although the tGKF relies on Gaussianity, we show that a central limit theorem (CLT) for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-19 Fabian J. E. Telschow , Armin Schwartzman

The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has attracted extensive attention for modeling complex nonlinear dynamical systems. However, the existing GPSSM employs separate Gaussian processes (GPs) for each latent state dimension,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-06 Zhidi Lin , Juan Maroñas , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Sergios Theodoridis

The stochastic volatility model is a popular tool for modeling the volatility of assets. The model is a nonlinear and non-Gaussian state space model, and consequently is difficult to fit. Many approaches, both classical and Bayesian, have…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-22 Chen Gong , David S. Stoffer

Skewness is often present in a wide range of spatial prediction problems, and modeling it in the spatial context remains a challenging problem. In this study a skew-Gaussian random field is considered. The skew-Gaussian random field is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-06 Kjartan Rimstad , Henning Omre

We begin with isotropic Gaussian random fields, and show how the Bochner-Godement theorem gives a natural way to describe their covariance structure. We continue with a study of Mat\'ern processes on Euclidean space, spheres, manifolds and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-24 N. H. Bingham , Tasmin L. Symons

A simple method is presented for the rapid simulation of statistically-isotropic non-Gaussian maps of CMB temperature fluctuations with a given power spectrum and analytically-calculable bispectrum and higher-order polyspectra. The…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Graca Rocha , M. P. Hobson , Sarah Smith , Pedro Ferreira , Anthony Challinor

Spatial statistics is traditionally based on stationary models on $\mathbb{R^d}$ like Mat\'ern fields. The adaptation of traditional spatial statistical methods, originally designed for stationary models in Euclidean spaces, to effectively…

Bayesian inference for complex models with an intractable likelihood can be tackled using algorithms performing many calls to computer simulators. These approaches are collectively known as "simulation-based inference" (SBI). Recent SBI…

\textit{Ab initio} pseudo-atomic orbital (PAO) Hamiltonians express the electronic structure of a solid in a compact, localized basis that spans the same Hilbert space as a conventional Slater--Koster tight-binding model, thereby providing…

材料科学 · 物理学 2026-04-17 Marco Buongiorno Nardelli

State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g. LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex time series…