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Time series forecasting plays a critical role in domains such as transportation, energy, and meteorology. Despite their success, modern deep forecasting models are typically trained to minimize point-wise prediction loss without leveraging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Xiannan Huang , Shen Fang , Shuhan Qiu , Chengcheng Yu , Jiayuan Du , Chao Yang

Time series forecasting (TSF) is an essential branch of machine learning with various applications. Most methods for TSF focus on constructing different networks to extract better information and improve performance. However, practical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Haoyu Xing , Hualong Yu , Qinghua Hu

In the realm of control systems, model predictive control (MPC) has exhibited remarkable potential; however, its reliance on accurate models and substantial computational resources has hindered its broader application, especially within…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-14 Amin Vahidi-Moghaddam , Kaian Chen , Kaixiang Zhang , Zhaojian Li , Yan Wang , Kai Wu

Synthetic likelihood (SL) is a strategy for parameter inference when the likelihood function is analytically or computationally intractable. In SL, the likelihood function of the data is replaced by a multivariate Gaussian density over…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-21 Umberto Picchini , Umberto Simola , Jukka Corander

The current algorithms are based on linear model, for example, Precision Time Protocol (PTP) which requires frequent synchronization in order to handle the effects of clock frequency drift. This paper introduces a nonlinear approach to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-05 Frank Wang , Danjue Li

Multivariate time-series forecasting (MTSF) stands as a compelling field within the machine learning community. Diverse neural network based methodologies deployed in MTSF applications have demonstrated commendable efficacy. Despite the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Wonkeun Jo , Dongil Kim

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

We propose a framework for general probabilistic multi-step time series regression. Specifically, we exploit the expressiveness and temporal nature of Sequence-to-Sequence Neural Networks (e.g. recurrent and convolutional structures), the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-29 Ruofeng Wen , Kari Torkkola , Balakrishnan Narayanaswamy , Dhruv Madeka

Real-world multichannel time series prediction faces growing demands for efficiency across edge and cloud environments, making channel compression a timely and essential problem. Motivated by the success of Multiple-Input Multiple-Output…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-30 Ziqi Liu , Pei Zeng , Yi Ding

In recent years, numerous Transformer-based models have been applied to long-term time-series forecasting (LTSF) tasks. However, recent studies with linear models have questioned their effectiveness, demonstrating that simple linear layers…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-20 Jiaheng Yin , Zhengxin Shi , Jianshen Zhang , Xiaomin Lin , Yulin Huang , Yongzhi Qi , Wei Qi

There are many time series in the literature with high dimension yet limited sample sizes, such as macroeconomic variables, and it is almost impossible to obtain efficient estimation and accurate prediction by using the corresponding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-30 Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

Time series analysis provides essential insights for real-world system dynamics and informs downstream decision-making, yet most existing methods often overlook the rich contextual signals present in auxiliary modalities. To bridge this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Yushan Jiang , Wenchao Yu , Geon Lee , Dongjin Song , Kijung Shin , Wei Cheng , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen

Spatio-temporal forecasting is essential for real-world applications such as traffic management and urban computing. Although recent methods have shown improved accuracy, they often fail to account for dynamic deviations between current…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Haotian Gao , Zheng Dong , Jiawei Yong , Shintaro Fukushima , Kenjiro Taura , Renhe Jiang

Time series forecasting is widely used in extensive applications, such as traffic planning and weather forecasting. However, real-world time series usually present intricate temporal variations, making forecasting extremely challenging.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-24 Shiyu Wang , Haixu Wu , Xiaoming Shi , Tengge Hu , Huakun Luo , Lintao Ma , James Y. Zhang , Jun Zhou

Despite the recent success of large language models (LLMs) in time-series forecasting, most existing methods still adopt a Deep Synchronous Fusion strategy, where dense interactions between textual and temporal features are enforced at…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-15 Fan Zhang , Shiming Fan , Hua Wang

Real-world scenarios are characterized by timing uncertainties, e.g., delays, and disturbances. Algorithms with temporal robustness are crucial in guaranteeing the successful execution of tasks and missions in such scenarios. We study…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-19 Nhan-Khanh Le , Erfaun Noorani , Sandra Hirche , John Baras

Spatio-temporal epidemic forecasting is critical for public health management, yet existing methods often struggle with insensitivity to weak epidemic signals, over-simplified spatial relations, and unstable parameter estimation. To address…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-22 Sijie Ruan , Jinyu Li , Jia Wei , Zenghao Xu , Jie Bao , Junshi Xu , Junyang Qiu , Shuliang Wang , Xiaoxiao Wang , Hanning Yuan

We propose a new data-centric synchronization framework for carrying out of machine learning (ML) tasks in a distributed environment. Our framework exploits the iterative nature of ML algorithms and relaxes the application agnostic bulk…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2015-08-06 Naman Goel , Divyakant Agrawal , Sanjay Chawla , Ahmed Elmagarmid

Pipeline parallelism enables training models that exceed single-device memory, but practical throughput remains limited by pipeline bubbles. Although parameter freezing can improve training throughput by adaptively skipping backward…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Seonghye Cho , Jaemin Han , Hyunjin Kim , Euisoo Jung , Jae-Gil Lee