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Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

As the climate changes, the severity of wildland fires is expected to worsen. Models that accurately capture fire propagation dynamics greatly help efforts for understanding, responding to and mitigating the damages caused by these fires.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-12 John Burge , Matthew Bonanni , Matthias Ihme , Lily Hu

Predicting the spread of wildfires is essential for effective fire management and risk assessment. With the fast advancements of artificial intelligence (AI), various deep learning models have been developed and utilized for wildfire spread…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-11-25 Jiyeon Kim , Yingjie Hu , Negar Elhami-Khorasani , Kai Sun , Ryan Zhenqi Zhou

Rapid and accurate wildfire detection is crucial for emergency response and environmental management. In airborne and spaceborne missions, real-time algorithms must distinguish between no fire, active fire, and post-fire conditions, and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Mark Moussa , Andre Williams , Seth Roffe , Douglas Morton

Wildfires are an escalating global concern due to the devastating impacts on the environment, economy, and human health, with notable incidents such as the 2019-2020 Australian bushfires and the 2025 California wildfires underscoring the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Weihao Li , Hongjin Zhao , Gao Zhu , Ge-Peng Ji , Nicholas Wilson , Marta Yebra , Nick Barnes

Wildfires have significantly increased in the United States (U.S.), making certain areas harder to live in. This motivates us to jointly analyze active fires and population changes in the U.S. from July 2020 to June 2021. The available data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

Each year, wildfires destroy larger areas of Spain, threatening numerous ecosystems. Humans cause 90% of them (negligence or provoked) and the behaviour of individuals is unpredictable. However, atmospheric and environmental variables…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-06-09 Helena Liz-López , Javier Huertas-Tato , Jorge Pérez-Aracil , Carlos Casanova-Mateo , Julia Sanz-Justo , David Camacho

The level-set method is a prominent approach to modelling the evolution of a fire over time based on a characterised rate of spread. It however does not provide a direct means for assimilating new data and quantifying uncertainty. Fire…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , James Hilton , Stephane Mangeon , Petra Kuhnert

The current projection shows that much of the continental U.S. will have significantly hotter and drier days in the following decades, leading to more wildfire hazards that threaten the safety of power grid. Unfortunately, the U.S. power…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-03 Guanzhou Wei , Feng Qiu , Xiao Liu

Forecasting multivariate time series data, which involves predicting future values of variables over time using historical data, has significant practical applications. Although deep learning-based models have shown promise in this field,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-16 Zahra Fatemi , Minh Huynh , Elena Zheleva , Zamir Syed , Xiaojun Di

Wildfire prediction is important for early warning and resource allocation, yet existing Earth foundation models (Earth FMs) are pretrained for general atmospheric and geophysical objectives rather than wildfire forecasting. To address this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Yangshuang Xu , Yuyang Dai , Liling Chang , Qi Wang , Yushun Dong

Climate change has largely impacted our daily lives. As one of its consequences, we are experiencing more wildfires. In the year 2020, wildfires burned a record number of 8,888,297 acres in the US. To awaken people's attention to climate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-23 Yang Li , Hermawan Mulyono , Ying Chen , Zhiyin Lu , Desmond Chan

Predictive modelling is vital to guide preventive efforts. Whilst large-scale prospective cohort studies and a diverse toolkit of available machine learning (ML) algorithms have facilitated such survival task efforts, choosing the…

This paper proposes a generalised and robust multi-factor Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) based Deep Learning (DL) model to forecast electricity load in distribution networks during wildfire seasons. The flexible modelling methods consider data…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-24 Weijia Yang , Sarah N. Sparrow , David C. H. Wallom

Wildfire forecasting has been one of the most critical tasks that humanities want to thrive. It plays a vital role in protecting human life. Wildfire prediction, on the other hand, is difficult because of its stochastic and chaotic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-01 Thai-Nam Hoang , Sang Truong , Chris Schmidt

Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Ioannis V. Sideris , Urs Germann

The increasing incidence and severity of wildfires underscores the necessity of accurately predicting their behavior. While high-fidelity models derived from first principles offer physical accuracy, they are too computationally expensive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-01 John Burge , Matthew R. Bonanni , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme

This paper investigates two environmental applications related to climate change, where observations consist of bounded counts. The binomial and beta-binomial (BB) models are commonly used for bounded count data, with the BB model offering…

As the impact of wildfires has become increasingly more severe over the last decades, there is continued pressure for improvements in our ability to predict wildland fire behavior over a wide range of conditions. One approach towards this…

Wildfire burned-area mapping is essential for damage assessment, emissions modeling, and understanding fire-climate interactions across diverse ecological regions. Recent geospatial foundation models provide strong general-purpose…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Ali Shibli , Andrea Nascetti , Yifang Ban