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Safe deployment of autonomous robots in diverse scenarios requires agents that are capable of efficiently adapting to new environments while satisfying constraints. In this work, we propose a practical and theoretically-justified approach…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-02-17 Thomas Lew , Apoorva Sharma , James Harrison , Andrew Bylard , Marco Pavone

Although Large Language Models (LLMs) perform well in general fields, they exhibit a confidence distortion problem on multi-choice question-answering (MCQA), particularly as the number of answer choices increases. Specifically, on MCQA with…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Zicheng Xu , Guanchu Wang , Guangyao Zheng , Yu-Neng Chuang , Alexander Szalay , Xia Hu , Vladimir Braverman

LLMs enable qualitative coding at large scale, but assessing reliability remains challenging where human experts seldom agree. We investigate confidence-diversity calibration as a quality assessment framework for accessible coding tasks…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-19 Zhilong Zhao , Yindi Liu

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

Feature selection represents a measure to reduce the complexity of high-dimensional datasets and gain insights into the systematic variation in the data. This aspect is of specific importance in domains that rely on model interpretability,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-07 Anna Jenul , Stefan Schrunner , Jürgen Pilz , Oliver Tomic

Bayesian neural networks with latent variables are scalable and flexible probabilistic models: They account for uncertainty in the estimation of the network weights and, by making use of latent variables, can capture complex noise patterns…

Accurately quantifying uncertainty in large language models (LLMs) is crucial for their reliable deployment, especially in high-stakes applications. Current state-of-the-art methods for measuring semantic uncertainty in LLMs rely on strict…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-31 Yashvir S. Grewal , Edwin V. Bonilla , Thang D. Bui

Large language models often produce confident but incorrect outputs, creating a critical need for reliable uncertainty quantification with formal abstention guarantees. We introduce information-lift certificates that compare model…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-20 Sanjeda Akter , Ibne Farabi Shihab , Anuj Sharma

We introduce BSDetector, a method for detecting bad and speculative answers from a pretrained Large Language Model by estimating a numeric confidence score for any output it generated. Our uncertainty quantification technique works for any…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-05 Jiuhai Chen , Jonas Mueller

An important goal of precision medicine is to personalize medical treatment by identifying individuals who are most likely to benefit from a specific treatment. The Likely Responder (LR) framework, which identifies a subpopulation where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Annan Deng , Carole Siegel , Hyung G. Park

We explore Bayesian reasoning as a means to quantify uncertainty in neural networks for question answering. Starting with a multilayer perceptron on the Iris dataset, we show how posterior inference conveys confidence in predictions. We…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-12-22 Riccardo Di Sipio

Ensuring trustworthiness is fundamental to the development of artificial intelligence (AI) that is considered societally responsible, particularly in cancer diagnostics, where a misdiagnosis can have dire consequences. Current digital…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-01-03 Xiaoge Zhang , Tao Wang , Chao Yan , Fedaa Najdawi , Kai Zhou , Yuan Ma , Yiu-ming Cheung , Bradley A. Malin

This paper introduces an efficient sub-model ensemble framework aimed at enhancing the interpretability of medical deep learning models, thus increasing their clinical applicability. By generating uncertainty maps, this framework enables…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-11 Weijie Chen , Alan McMillan

It is difficult to accurately label ambiguous and complex shaped targets manually by binary masks. The weakness of binary mask under-expression is highlighted in medical image segmentation, where blurring is prevalent. In the case of…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-01-04 Lin Wang , Lie Ju , Xin Wang , Wanji He , Donghao Zhang , Yelin Huang , Zhiwen Yang , Xuan Yao , Xin Zhao , Xiufen Ye , Zongyuan Ge

In healthcare tabular predictions, classical models with feature engineering often outperform neural approaches. Recent advances in Large Language Models enable the integration of domain knowledge into feature engineering, offering a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Zizheng Zhang , Yiming Li , Justin Xu , Jinyu Wang , Rui Wang , Lei Song , Jiang Bian , David W Eyre , Jingjing Fu

Quantifying uncertainty of predictions has been identified as one way to develop more trustworthy artificial intelligence (AI) models beyond conventional reporting of performance metrics. When considering their role in a clinical decision…

This paper surveys uncertainty-aware explainable artificial intelligence (UAXAI), examining how uncertainty is incorporated into explanatory pipelines and how such methods are evaluated. Across the literature, three recurring approaches to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Helena Löfström , Tuwe Löfström , Anders Hjort , Fatima Rabia Yapicioglu

Confidence estimation, a task that aims to evaluate the trustworthiness of the model's prediction output during deployment, has received lots of research attention recently, due to its importance for the safe deployment of deep models.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-14 Haoxuan Qu , Yanchao Li , Lin Geng Foo , Jason Kuen , Jiuxiang Gu , Jun Liu

In recent years, large-scale language models (LLMs) have gained attention for their impressive text generation capabilities. However, these models often face the challenge of "hallucination," which undermines their reliability. In this…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Yuchen Yang , Houqiang Li , Yanfeng Wang , Yu Wang

Most estimators collapse all uncertainty modes into a single confidence score, preventing reliable reasoning about when to allocate more compute or adjust inference. We introduce Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Selection, a lightweight…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 Divake Kumar , Patrick Poggi , Sina Tayebati , Devashri Naik , Nilesh Ahuja , Amit Ranjan Trivedi