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Precipitation nowcasting is of great importance for weather forecast users, for activities ranging from outdoor activities and sports competitions to airport traffic management. In contrast to long-term precipitation forecasts which are…

Reliable nowcasting of extreme precipitation remains difficult because convective systems are strongly nonlinear, multiscale, and nonstationary in 3D. Radar is the backbone of nowcasting, yet existing methods struggle to predict extremes:…

High-resolution nowcasting is an essential tool needed for effective adaptation to climate change, particularly for extreme weather. As Deep Learning (DL) techniques have shown dramatic promise in many domains, including the geosciences, we…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-12-30 Shreya Agrawal , Luke Barrington , Carla Bromberg , John Burge , Cenk Gazen , Jason Hickey

Precipitation nowcasting, which aims to precisely predict the short-term rainfall intensity of a local region, is gaining increasing attention in the artificial intelligence community. Existing deep learning-based algorithms use a single…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-11-26 Yuan Cao , Qiuying Li , Hongming Shan , Zhizhong Huang , Lei Chen , Leiming Ma , Junping Zhang

Precipitation nowcasting, predicting future radar echo sequences from current observations, is a critical yet challenging task due to the inherently chaotic and tightly coupled spatio-temporal dynamics of the atmosphere. While recent…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-17 Thao Nguyen , Jiaqi Ma , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Souhaib Ben Taieb , Salman Khan

Precipitation nowcasting is an important task for weather forecasting. Many recent works aim to predict the high rainfall events more accurately with the help of deep learning techniques, but such events are relatively rare. The rarity is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-17 Ashesh , Buo-Fu Chen , Treng-Shi Huang , Boyo Chen , Chia-Tung Chang , Hsuan-Tien Lin

Accurate and timely rainfall nowcasting is crucial for disaster mitigation and water resource management. Despite recent advances in deep learning, precipitation prediction remains challenging due to limitations in effectively leveraging…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-20 Sanjeev Panta , Rhett M Morvant , Xu Yuan , Li Chen , Nian-Feng Tzeng

Deep learning has significantly improved the accuracy of precipitation nowcasting. However, most existing multimodal models typically use simple channel concatenation or interpolation methods for data fusion, which often overlook the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-17 Henan Wang , Shengwu Xiong , Yifang Zhang , Wenjie Yin , Chen Zhou , Yuqiang Zhang , Pengfei Duan

This study presents a transfer-learning framework based on Convolutional Gated Recurrent Units (ConvGRU) for short-term rainfall prediction in the Weather4Cast 2025 competition. A single SEVIRI infrared channel (10.8 {\mu}m wavelength) is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-17 Anushree Bhuskute , Kaushik Gopalan , Jeet Shah

Precipitation nowcasting based on radar echoes plays a crucial role in monitoring extreme weather and supporting disaster prevention. Although deep learning approaches have achieved significant progress, they still face notable limitations.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-28 Kaiyi Xu , Junchao Gong , Wenlong Zhang , Ben Fei , Lei Bai , Wanli Ouyang

Accurately predicting short-term precipitation is critical for weather-sensitive applications such as disaster management, aviation, and urban planning. Traditional numerical weather prediction can be computationally intensive at high…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Sumit Mamtani , Maitreya Sonawane

Accurately forecasting the weather is an important task, as many real-world processes and decisions depend on future meteorological conditions. The NeurIPS 2022 challenge entitled Weather4cast poses the problem of predicting rainfall events…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-12-06 Yury Belousov , Sergey Polezhaev , Brian Pulfer

Precipitation nowcasting, the high-resolution forecasting of precipitation up to two hours ahead, supports the real-world socio-economic needs of many sectors reliant on weather-dependent decision-making. State-of-the-art operational…

In climate science and meteorology, high-resolution local precipitation (rain and snowfall) predictions are limited by the computational costs of simulation-based methods. Statistical downscaling, or super-resolution, is a common workaround…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-06-21 Prakhar Srivastava , Ruihan Yang , Gavin Kerrigan , Gideon Dresdner , Jeremy McGibbon , Christopher Bretherton , Stephan Mandt

Precipitation nowcasting is to predict the future rainfall intensity over a short period of time, which mainly relies on the prediction of radar echo sequences. Though convolutional neural network (CNN) and recurrent neural network (RNN)…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-06 Ziao Yang , Xiangrui Yang , Qifeng Lin

Convective storms are one of the severe weather hazards found during the warm season. Doppler weather radar is the only operational instrument that can frequently sample the detailed structure of convective storm which has a small spatial…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-01-06 Lei Han , Juanzhen Sun , Wei Zhang

Climate change has led to an increase in frequency of extreme weather events. Early warning systems can prevent disasters and loss of life. Managing such events remain a challenge for both public and private institutions. Precipitation…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-12-13 Ajitabh Kumar

Climate change is increasing the frequency of extreme precipitation events, making weather disasters such as flooding and landslides more likely. The ability to accurately nowcast precipitation is therefore becoming more critical for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Daniel Seal , Rossella Arcucci , Salva Rühling-Cachay , César Quilodrán-Casas

We propose the use of a stochastic variational frame prediction deep neural network with a learned prior distribution trained on two-dimensional rain radar reflectivity maps for precipitation nowcasting with lead times of up to 2 1/2 hours.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-05-14 Alexander Bihlo

Accurate and timely estimation of precipitation is critical for issuing hazard warnings (e.g., for flash floods or landslides). Current remotely sensed precipitation products have a few hours of latency, associated with the acquisition and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-20 Mohammad Reza Ehsani , Ariyan Zarei , Hoshin V. Gupta , Kobus Barnard , Ali Behrangi
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