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This paper describes the use of flexible Bayesian regression models for estimating a partially identified probability function. Our approach permits efficient sensitivity analysis concerning the posterior impact of priors on the partially…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-10 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Ioanna Manolopoulou

We derive an accounting identity for predictive models that links accuracy with common fairness criteria. The identity shows that for globally calibrated models, the weighted sums of miscalibration within groups and error imbalance across…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Hadi Elzayn , Jacob Goldin

Existing techniques for mitigating dataset bias often leverage a biased model to identify biased instances. The role of these biased instances is then reduced during the training of the main model to enhance its robustness to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-03 Hossein Amirkhani , Mohammad Taher Pilehvar

In some multivariate problems with missing data, pairs of variables exist that are never observed together. For example, some modern biological tools can produce data of this form. As a result of this structure, the covariance matrix is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-13 Max Grazier G'Sell , Shai S. Shen-Orr , Robert Tibshirani

Item nonresponse is frequently encountered in practice. Ignoring missing data can lose efficiency and lead to misleading inference. Fractional imputation is a frequentist approach of imputation for handling missing data. However, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Hejian Sang , Jae Kwang Kim

Semiparametric inference on average causal effects from observational data is based on assumptions yielding identification of the effects. In practice, several distinct identifying assumptions may be plausible; an analyst has to make a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna , Juha Karvanen , Ingeborg Waernbaum

In many applications of causal inference, the treatment received by one unit may influence the outcome of another, a phenomenon referred to as interference. Although there are several frameworks for conducting causal inference in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Matvey Ortyashov , AmirEmad Ghassami

In the context of deep learning research, where model introductions continually occur, the need for effective and efficient evaluation remains paramount. Existing methods often emphasize accuracy metrics, overlooking stability. To address…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-16 Wei Dai , Daniel Berleant

This paper provides a systematic approach to semiparametric identification that is based on statistical information as a measure of its "quality". Identification can be regular or irregular, depending on whether the Fisher information for…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-01 Juan Carlos Escanciano

High fidelity models used in many science and engineering applications couple multiple physical states and parameters. Inverse problems arise when a model parameter cannot be determined directly, but rather is estimated using (typically…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-30 Isaac Sunseri , Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders , Alen Alexanderian

Given the increasing amount and general complexity of time series data in domains such as finance, weather forecasting, and healthcare, there is a growing need for state-of-the-art performance models that can provide interpretable insights…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-10-09 Udo Schlegel , Daniel A. Keim

Assured AI in unrestricted settings is a critical problem. Our framework addresses AI assurance challenges lying at the intersection of domain adaptation, fairness, and counterfactuals analysis, operating via the discovery and intervention…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-19 William Paul , Philippe Burlina

Sensitivity analyses reveal the influence of various modeling choices on the outcomes of statistical analyses. While theoretically appealing, they are overwhelmingly inefficient for complex Bayesian models. In this work, we propose…

Causal inference is fundamental to empirical scientific discoveries in natural and social sciences; however, in the process of conducting causal inference, data management problems can lead to false discoveries. Two such problems are (i)…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2023-05-16 Brit Youngmann , Michael Cafarella , Babak Salimi , Anna Zeng

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

Fuzzy data, prevalent in social sciences and other fields, capture uncertainties arising from subjective evaluations and measurement imprecision. Despite significant advancements in fuzzy statistics, a unified inferential regression-based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-05 Antonio Calcagnì , Przemysław Grzegorzewski , Maciej Romaniuk

The standard constraint-based paradigm for causal discovery with incomplete data -- impute first, test second -- is frequently miscalibrated: any consistent conditional independence (CI) test rejects a true null with probability approaching…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-07 Thomas S. Robinson , Ranjit Lall

Data fusion techniques integrate information from heterogeneous data sources to improve learning, generalization, and decision making across data sciences. In causal inference, these methods leverage rich observational data to improve…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Quinn Lanners , Cynthia Rudin , Alexander Volfovsky , Harsh Parikh

Deploying machine learning in regulated financial environments -- credit risk, fraud detection, and anti-money laundering -- exposes critical vulnerabilities in algorithmic reproducibility. While early financial ML addressed statistical…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Ruizhe Zhou , Xiaoyang Liu , Gaoyuan Du , Yi Zheng , Shouxi Ren , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Dengdu Jiang

In observational studies, identification of ATEs is generally achieved by assuming that the correct set of confounders has been measured and properly included in the relevant models. Because this assumption is both strong and untestable, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-18 Matteo Bonvini , Edward H Kennedy
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