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We consider the problem in regression analysis of identifying subpopulations that exhibit different patterns of response, where each subpopulation requires a different underlying model. Unlike statistical cohorts, these subpopulations are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-25 Alexander New , Curt Breneman , Kristin P. Bennett

This work aims at providing a new model for time series classification based on learning from just one example. We assume that time series can be well characterized as a parametric random process, a sort of Hidden semi-Markov Model…

To improve the physical understanding and the predictions of complex dynamic systems, such as ocean dynamics and weather predictions, it is of paramount interest to identify interpretable models from coarsely and off-grid sampled…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-05-04 Gert-Jan Both , Georges Tod , Remy Kusters

State-space models (SSMs) are a powerful statistical tool for modelling time-varying systems via a latent state. In these models, the latent state is never directly observed. Instead, a sequence of data points related to the state are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-06-22 Benjamin Cox , Victor Elvira

Tabular datasets with low-sample-size or many variables are prevalent in biomedicine. Practitioners in this domain prefer linear or tree-based models over neural networks since the latter are harder to interpret and tend to overfit when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Junchen Yang , Ofir Lindenbaum , Yuval Kluger

Identifying the governing equations of a nonlinear dynamical system is key to both understanding the physical features of the system and constructing an accurate model of the dynamics that generalizes well beyond the available data. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-16 Peter Y. Lu , Joan Ariño , Marin Soljačić

Compartmental models are valuable tools for investigating infectious diseases. Researchers building such models typically begin with a simple structure where compartments correspond to individuals with different epidemiological statuses,…

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Compartmental models are used in epidemiology to capture the evolution of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 in a population by assigning members of it to compartments with labels such as susceptible, infected, and recovered. In a…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2024-02-15 Tim Leys , Guillermo A. Perez

Dynamical systems modeling is a core pillar of scientific inquiry across natural and life sciences. Increasingly, dynamical system models are learned from data, rendering identifiability a paramount concept. For systems that are not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Cecilia Casolo , Sören Becker , Niki Kilbertus

This paper deals with the problem of estimating variables in nonlinear models for the spread of disease and its application to the COVID-19 epidemic. First unconstrained methods are revisited and they are shown to correspond to the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-08-20 Mauricio C. de Oliveira

Sparse coding aims to model data vectors as sparse linear combinations of basis elements, but a majority of related studies are restricted to continuous data without spatial or temporal structure. A new model-based sparse coding (MSC)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-24 Xin Xing , Rui Xie , Wenxuan Zhong

Many conventional statistical procedures are extremely sensitive to seemingly minor deviations from modeling assumptions. This problem is exacerbated in modern high-dimensional settings, where the problem dimension can grow with and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-27 Simon S. Du , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo

Irregularly-sampled time series occur in many domains including healthcare. They can be challenging to model because they do not naturally yield a fixed-dimensional representation as required by many standard machine learning models. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Steven Cheng-Xian Li , Benjamin M. Marlin

We consider the problem of high-dimensional classification between the two groups with unequal covariance matrices. Rather than estimating the full quadratic discriminant rule, we propose to perform simultaneous variable selection and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-01 Irina Gaynanova , Tianying Wang

Deep neural networks have emerged as powerful tools for learning operators defined over infinite-dimensional function spaces. However, existing theories frequently encounter difficulties related to dimensionality and limited…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Jianfei Li , Shuo Huang , Han Feng , Ding-Xuan Zhou , Gitta Kutyniok

Many statistical inference problems correspond to recovering the values of a set of hidden variables from sparse observations on them. For instance, in a planted constraint satisfaction problem such as planted 3-SAT, the clauses are sparse…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-07-20 Siqi Liu , Sidhanth Mohanty , Prasad Raghavendra

Standard Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) implicitly assume that the conditional independence among variables is common to all observations in the sample. However, in practice, observations are usually collected form heterogeneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-01-26 Abel Rodriguez , Alex Lenkoski , Adrian Dobra

Mathematical models of biological populations commonly use discrete structure classes to capture trait variation among individuals (e.g. age, size, phenotype, intracellular state). Upscaling these discrete models into continuum descriptions…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-03-18 Eleonora Agostinelli , Keith L. Chambers , Helen M. Byrne , Mohit P. Dalwadi