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The primary aim of this research was to find a model that best predicts which fallen angel bonds would either potentially rise up back to investment grade bonds and which ones would fall into bankruptcy. To implement the solution, we…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-12-12 Harrison Mateika , Juannan Jia , Linda Lillard , Noah Cronbaugh , Will Shin

Renowned method of log-periodic power law(LPPL) is one of the few ways that a financial market crash could be predicted. Alongside with LPPL, this paper propose a novel method of stock market crash using white box model derived from simple…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-27 HyeonJun Kim

We present an advance bubble detection methodology based on the Log Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) confidence indicator for the early causal identification of positive and negative bubbles in the Chinese stock market using the daily…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-08-26 Min Shu , Wei Zhu

Forecasting central bank policy decisions remains a persistent challenge for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers due to the wide-reaching impact of monetary actions. In particular, anticipating shifts in the U.S. federal…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-07-01 Fiona Xiao Jingyi , Lili Liu

Accurate volatility forecasting is essential in banking, investment, and risk management, because expectations about future market movements directly influence current decisions. This study proposes a hybrid modelling framework that…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-12-16 Anna Perekhodko , Robert Ślepaczuk

This work presents a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) for the prediction of next-day stock fluctuations using company-specific news headlines. Experiments to evaluate model performance using various configurations of word-embeddings and…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-06-23 Jonathan Readshaw , Stefano Giani

Predicting stock prices presents challenges in financial forecasting. While traditional approaches such as ARIMA and RNNs are prevalent, recent developments in Large Language Models (LLMs) offer alternative methodologies. This paper…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-23 Pei-Jun Liao , Hung-Shin Lee , Yao-Fei Cheng , Li-Wei Chen , Hung-yi Lee , Hsin-Min Wang

The stock market has been established since the 13th century, but in the current epoch of time, it is substantially more practicable to anticipate the stock market than it was at any other point in time due to the tools and data that are…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-10-27 Ryan Chipwanya

Time series forecasting is a challenging problem particularly when a time series expresses multiple seasonality, nonlinear trend and varying variance. In this work, to forecast complex time series, we propose ensemble learning which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-03 Grzegorz Dudek

This research focuses on utilizing natural language processing techniques to predict stock price fluctuations, with a specific interest in early detection of economic, political, social, and technological changes that can be leveraged for…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-10-10 Krutika Sarode , Shashidhar Reddy Javaji , Vishal Kalakonnavar

In recent years, machine learning (ML) has brought effective approaches and novel techniques to economic decision, investment forecasting, and risk management, etc., coping the variable and intricate nature of economic and financial…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-12-25 Huajian Li , Longjian Li , Jiajian Liang , Weinan Dai

Stock prediction has always been attractive area for researchers and investors since the financial gains can be substantial. However, stock prediction can be a challenging task since stocks are influenced by a multitude of factors whose…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-02-26 Marko Poženel , Dejan Lavbič

Modeling investor behavior is crucial to identifying behavioral coaching opportunities for financial advisors. With the help of natural language processing (NLP) we analyze an unstructured (textual) dataset of financial advisors' summary…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-13 Cynthia Pagliaro , Dhagash Mehta , Han-Tai Shiao , Shaofei Wang , Luwei Xiong

The stock market is a network which provides a platform for almost all major economic transactions. While investing in the stock market is a good idea, investing in individual stocks may not be, especially for the casual investor. Smart…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-08-30 Om Mane , Saravanakumar kandasamy

This paper considers a portfolio trading strategy formulated by algorithms in the field of machine learning. The profitability of the strategy is measured by the algorithm's capability to consistently and accurately identify stock indices…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-04-08 James Brofos

The stock market plays a pivotal role in economic development, yet its intricate volatility poses challenges for investors. Consequently, research and accurate predictions of stock price movements are crucial for mitigating risks.…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-01 Zhuangwei Shi

This research proposes a cutting-edge ensemble deep learning framework for stock price prediction by combining three advanced neural network architectures: The particular areas of interest for the research include but are not limited to:…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-31 Anindya Sarkar , G. Vadivu

Stock price prediction is a complicated and interesting task. Noisy trends make stock pricing sensitive and complicated while the economical motivation behind, keeps it interesting for researchers and investors. In this paper we are to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-19 Negin Bagherpour

Multi-step stock index forecasting is vital in finance for informed decision-making. Current forecasting methods on this task frequently produce unsatisfactory results due to the inherent data randomness and instability, thereby…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-19 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

Predicting the S&P 500 index volatility is crucial for investors and financial analysts as it helps assess market risk and make informed investment decisions. Volatility represents the level of uncertainty or risk related to the size of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-25 Natalia Roszyk , Robert Ślepaczuk