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Prediction markets mobilize financial incentives to forecast binary event outcomes through the aggregation of dispersed beliefs and heterogeneous information. Their growing popularity and demonstrated predictive accuracy in political…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-29 Bridget Smart , Ebba Mark , Anne Bastian , Josefina Waugh

We describe a simple model for speculative trading based on adaptive behavior of economic agents.The adaptive behavior is expressed through a feedback mechanism for changing agents' stock-to-bond ratios, depending on the past performance of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2018-09-26 Misha Perepelitsa

Platform giants in China have operated with persistently compressed margins in highly concentrated markets for much of the past decade, despite market shares exceeding 60\% in core segments. Standard theory predicts otherwise: either the…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-23 Liang Chen

Pricing algorithms have demonstrated the capability to learn tacit collusion that is largely unaddressed by current regulations. Their increasing use in markets, including oligopolistic industries with a history of collusion, calls for…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-02-26 Paul Friedrich , Barna Pásztor , Giorgia Ramponi

We introduce an agent-based model, in which agents set their prices to maximize profit. At steady state the market self-organizes into three groups: excess producers, consumers and balanced agents, with prices determined by their own…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-01-03 Bin Li , K. Y. Michael Wong , Amos H. M. Chan , Tsz Yan So , Hermanni Heimonen , Junyi Wei , David Saad

We call an investment strategy survival, if an agent who uses it maintains a non-vanishing share of market wealth over the infinite time horizon. In a discrete-time multi-agent model with endogenous asset prices determined through a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-26 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

Securities markets are quintessential complex adaptive systems in which heterogeneous agents compete in an attempt to maximize returns. Species of trading agents are also subject to evolutionary pressure as entire classes of strategies…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-12-23 David Rushing Dewhurst , Yi Li , Alexander Bogdan , Jasmine Geng

Collusion in market pricing is a concept associated with human actions to raise market prices through artificially limited supply. Recently, the idea of algorithmic collusion was put forward, where the human action in the pricing process is…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-29 Suzie Grondin , Arthur Charpentier , Philipp Ratz

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

Prediction markets are often used as mechanisms to aggregate information about a future event, for example, whether a candidate will win an election. The event is typically assumed to be exogenous. In reality, participants may influence the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-07-28 Mithun Chakraborty , Sanmay Das

We consider a financial market model which consists of a financial asset and a large number of interacting agents classified into many types. Different types of agents are heterogeneous in their price expectations. Each agent can change its…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-02 Biao Wu

Industrial symbiosis fosters circularity by enabling firms to repurpose residual resources, yet its emergence is constrained by socio-spatial frictions that shape costs, matching opportunities, and market efficiency. Existing models often…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-17 Matthieu Mastio , Paul Saves , Benoit Gaudou , Nicolas Verstaevel

In economics, there are many ways to describe the interaction between a "seller" and a "buyer". The most common one, with which we interact almost every day, is selling for a fixed price. This option is perfect for selling a mass product,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2024-07-10 O. A. Malafeyev , I. E. Khomenko

In complex systems, many different parts interact in non-obvious ways. Traditional research focuses on a few or a single aspect of the problem so as to analyze it with the tools available. To get a better insight of phenomena that emerge…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2015-04-03 Klaus Jaffe

We study two-sided matching markets in which one side of the market (the players) does not have a priori knowledge about its preferences for the other side (the arms) and is required to learn its preferences from experience. Also, we assume…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-23 Lydia T. Liu , Feng Ruan , Horia Mania , Michael I. Jordan

This paper is concerned with the determination of pricing strategies for a firm that in each period of a finite horizon receives replenishment quantities of a single product which it sells in two markets, e.g., a long-distance market and an…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-09-25 Wen , Chen , Adam Fleischhacker , Michael N. Katehakis

We define and study a rather complex market model, inspired from the Santa Fe artificial market and the Minority Game. Agents have different strategies among which they can choose, according to their relative profitability, with the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

The rise of algorithmic pricing in online retail platforms has attracted significant interest in how autonomous software agents interact under competition. This article explores the potential emergence of algorithmic collusion -…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-04-24 Martin Bichler , Julius Durmann , Matthias Oberlechner

Market manipulation is a strategy used by traders to alter the price of financial securities. One type of manipulation is based on the process of buying or selling assets by using several trading strategies, among them spoofing is a popular…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2015-11-04 Enrique Martínez-Miranda , Peter McBurney , Matthew J. Howard

We develop a model of algorithmic pricing that shuts down every channel for explicit or implicit collusion while still generating collusive outcomes. We analyze the dynamics of a duopoly market where both firms use pricing algorithms…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-13 Inkoo Cho , Noah Williams