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Disturbances in space weather can negatively affect several fields, including aviation and aerospace, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are the most…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-05-07 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva

Time series forecasting holds significant importance across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Despite the widespread use of linear networks due to their low computational cost and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-02 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jianxin Liao

Spatiotemporal forecasting has various applications in neuroscience, climate and transportation domain. Traffic forecasting is one canonical example of such learning task. The task is challenging due to (1) complex spatial dependency on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-26 Yaguang Li , Rose Yu , Cyrus Shahabi , Yan Liu

In this paper, we present Pangu-Weather, a deep learning based system for fast and accurate global weather forecast. For this purpose, we establish a data-driven environment by downloading $43$ years of hourly global weather data from the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-11-07 Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Hengheng Zhang , Xin Chen , Xiaotao Gu , Qi Tian

Compute-optimal scaling laws are relatively well studied for NLP and CV, where objectives are typically single-step and targets are comparatively homogeneous. Weather forecasting is harder to characterize in the same framework:…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-08 Alexander Kiefer , Prasanna Balaprakash , Xiao Wang

We introduce a universal diffusion-based downscaling framework that lifts deterministic low-resolution weather forecasts into probabilistic high-resolution predictions without any model-specific fine-tuning. A single conditional diffusion…

Mobile robot platforms are increasingly being used to automate information gathering tasks such as environmental monitoring. Efficient target tracking in dynamic environments is critical for applications such as search and rescue and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-07 Sanjeev Ramkumar Sudha , Marija Popović , Erlend M. Coates

Technological developments and open data policies have made large, global environmental datasets accessible to everyone. For analysing such datasets, including spatiotemporal correlations using traditional models based on Gaussian processes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-01 Marius Appel , Edzer Pebesma

Deep learning has revolutionized weather forecasting, but many challenges remain, including climate modeling. Moreover, the current landscape remains fragmented: highly specialized models are typically trained individually for distinct…

We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

Motion forecasting for agents in autonomous driving is highly challenging due to the numerous possibilities for each agent's next action and their complex interactions in space and time. In real applications, motion forecasting takes place…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Nan Song , Bozhou Zhang , Xiatian Zhu , Li Zhang

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in transportation, logistics, and supply chain management. However, current methods struggle with large, complex datasets. We propose a dynamic, multi-modal approach that integrates the strengths of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Geethan Sannidhi , Chidaksh Ravuru , Venkataramana Runkana

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

A 'nowcast' is a type of weather forecast which makes predictions in the very short term, typically less than two hours - a period in which traditional numerical weather prediction can be limited. This type of weather prediction has…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-05-12 Rachel Prudden , Samantha Adams , Dmitry Kangin , Niall Robinson , Suman Ravuri , Shakir Mohamed , Alberto Arribas

We propose TerraFlow, a novel approach to multimodal, multitemporal learning for Earth observation. TerraFlow builds on temporal training objectives that enable sequence-aware learning across space, time, and modality, while remaining…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-16 Nazar Puriy , Johannes Jakubik , Benedikt Blumenstiel , Konrad Schindler

Due to climate change the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events, which contribute to urban flooding, are expected to increase in many places. These floods can damage transport infrastructure and disrupt mobility, highlighting…

Wind power ramp events are difficult to forecast due to strong variability, multi-scale dynamics, and site-specific meteorological effects. This paper proposes an event-first, frequency-aware forecasting paradigm that directly predicts ramp…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-09 Purbak Sengupta , Sambeet Mishra , Sonal Shreya

Accurate global medium-range weather forecasting is fundamental to Earth system science. Most existing Transformer-based forecasting models adopt vision-centric architectures that neglect the Earth's spherical geometry and zonal…

Precipitation plays a critical role in the Earth's hydrological cycle, directly affecting ecosystems, agriculture, and water resource management. Accurate precipitation estimation and prediction are crucial for understanding climate…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-04-16 Zhenyu Yu , Hanqing Chen , Mohd Yamani Idna Idris , Pei Wang

In recent years, there has been growing interest in using Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) derived from Global Positioning System (GPS) signal delays to predict rainfall. However, the occurrence of rainfall is dependent on a myriad of…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-01-08 Shilpa Manandhar , Soumyabrata Dev , Yee Hui Lee , Yu Song Meng , Stefan Winkler