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Automatic extraction of cause-effect relationships from natural language texts is a challenging open problem in Artificial Intelligence. Most of the early attempts at its solution used manually constructed linguistic and syntactic rules on…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2016-05-26 Nabiha Asghar

The safe deployment of large language models (LLMs) in high-stakes fields like biomedicine, requires them to be able to reason about cause and effect. We investigate this ability by testing 13 open-source LLMs on a fundamental task:…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Sydney Anuyah , Sneha Shajee-Mohan , Ankit-Singh Chauhan , Sunandan Chakraborty

Causality has been recently introduced in databases, to model, characterize and possibly compute causes for query results (answers). Connections between queryanswer causality, consistency-based diagnosis, database repairs (wrt. integrity…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2016-02-23 Babak Salimi , Leopoldo Bertossi

We analyze the causal-observational languages that were introduced in Barbero and Sandu (2018), which allow discussing interventionist counterfactuals and functional dependencies in a unified framework. In particular, we systematically…

逻辑 · 数学 2020-04-03 Fausto Barbero , Fan Yang

Despite alarm over the reliance of machine learning systems on so-called spurious patterns, the term lacks coherent meaning in standard statistical frameworks. However, the language of causality offers clarity: spurious associations are due…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-02-18 Divyansh Kaushik , Eduard Hovy , Zachary C. Lipton

Medical foundation models generate narrative explanations but cannot quantify intervention effects, detect evidence conflicts, or validate literature claims, limiting clinical auditability. We propose causal compilation, a paradigm that…

Causality and causal inference have emerged as core research areas at the interface of modern statistics and domains including biomedical sciences, social sciences, computer science, and beyond. The field's inherently interdisciplinary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Carlos Cinelli , Avi Feller , Guido Imbens , Edward Kennedy , Sara Magliacane , Jose Zubizarreta

Causal discovery from observational data is a challenging task that can only be solved up to a set of equivalent solutions, called an equivalence class. Such classes, which are often large in size, encode uncertainties about the orientation…

The records of a clinical encounter can be extensive and complex, thus placing a premium on tools that can extract and summarize relevant information. This paper introduces the task of generating discharge summaries for a clinical…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-04-29 Han-Chin Shing , Chaitanya Shivade , Nima Pourdamghani , Feng Nan , Philip Resnik , Douglas Oard , Parminder Bhatia

Causal questions inquire about causal relationships between different events or phenomena. They are important for a variety of use cases, including virtual assistants and search engines. However, many current approaches to causal question…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Lukas Blübaum , Stefan Heindorf

Current pre-trained language models have enabled remarkable improvements in downstream tasks, but it remains difficult to distinguish effects of statistical correlation from more systematic logical reasoning grounded on understanding of the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Jiaxuan Li , Lang Yu , Allyson Ettinger

Causal world models are systems that can answer counterfactual questions about an environment of interest, i.e. predict how it would have evolved if an arbitrary subset of events had been realized differently. It requires understanding the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-05-21 Gaël Gendron , Jože M. Rožanec , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie

Many causal models of interest in epidemiology involve longitudinal exposures, confounders and mediators. However, repeated measurements are not always available or used in practice, leading analysts to overlook the time-varying nature of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Lola Etievant , Vivian Viallon

We present a conditional text generation framework that posits sentential expressions of possible causes and effects. This framework depends on two novel resources we develop in the course of this work: a very large-scale collection of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-07-22 Zhongyang Li , Xiao Ding , Ting Liu , J. Edward Hu , Benjamin Van Durme

Matching for causal inference is a well-studied problem, but standard methods fail when the units to match are text documents: the high-dimensional and rich nature of the data renders exact matching infeasible, causes propensity scores to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-15 Reagan Mozer , Luke Miratrix , Aaron Russell Kaufman , L. Jason Anastasopoulos

We provide a unified operational framework for the study of causality, non-locality and contextuality, in a fully device-independent and theory-independent setting. We define causaltopes, our chosen portmanteau of "causal polytopes", for…

量子物理 · 物理学 2023-07-31 Stefano Gogioso , Nicola Pinzani

Causal knowledge is vital for effective reasoning in science, as causal relations, unlike correlations, allow one to reason about the outcomes of interventions. Algorithms that can discover causal relations from observational data are based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-12 Anish Dhir , Ciarán M. Lee

The ability to learn and act in novel situations is still a prerogative of animate intelligence, as current machine learning methods mostly fail when moving beyond the standard i.i.d. setting. What is the reason for this discrepancy? Most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-04 Niki Kilbertus , Giambattista Parascandolo , Bernhard Schölkopf

Counterfactual reasoning, a hallmark of intelligence, consists of three steps: inferring latent variables from observations (abduction), constructing alternatives (interventions), and predicting their outcomes (prediction). This skill is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-03 Aniket Vashishtha , Qirun Dai , Hongyuan Mei , Amit Sharma , Chenhao Tan , Hao Peng

Conceptual analysis -- proposing definitions and refining them through counterexamples -- is central to philosophical methodology. We study whether language models can perform this task through iterated analysis and repair chains: one model…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-06 Daniel Drucker , Kyle Mahowald