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Clinical machine learning applications are often plagued with confounders that are clinically irrelevant, but can still artificially boost the predictive performance of the algorithms. Confounding is especially problematic in mobile health…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-11-29 Elias Chaibub Neto

Response-adaptive randomisation (RAR) can considerably improve the chances of a successful treatment outcome for patients in a clinical trial by skewing the allocation probability towards better performing treatments as data accumulates.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-03-14 Sofia S. Villar , Jack Bowden , James Wason

We present new sampling methods in finite population that allow to control the joint inclusion probabilities of units and especially the spreading of sampled units in the population. They are based on the use of renewal chains and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-12 Yves Tillé , Lionel Qualité , Matthieu Wilhelm

Balancing influential covariates is crucial for valid treatment comparisons in clinical studies. While covariate-adaptive randomization is commonly used to achieve balance, its performance can be inadequate when the number of baseline…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Ziqing Guo , Yang Liu , Lucy Xia

Clinical trials usually target average treatment effects, but treatment decisions are made for individuals. This tension motivates a common criticism of evidence-based medicine: a treatment that is beneficial on average may be inappropriate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Zach Shahn , Mats Stensrud

A benefit of randomized experiments is that covariate distributions of treatment and control groups are balanced on average, resulting in simple unbiased estimators for treatment effects. However, it is possible that a particular…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-01 Zach Branson , Luke Miratrix

Randomized experiments have been the gold standard for assessing the effectiveness of a treatment or policy. The classical complete randomization approach assigns treatments based on a prespecified probability and may lead to inefficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Waverly Wei , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

Group sequential designs in clinical trials allow for interim efficacy and futility monitoring. Adjustment for baseline covariates can increase power and precision of estimated effects. However, inconsistently applying covariate adjustment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-11 Marlena S. Bannick , Sonya L. Heltshe , Noah Simon

We develop a new approach for quantifying uncertainty in finite populations, by using design distributions to calibrate sensitivity parameters in finite population identified sets. This yields uncertainty intervals that can be interpreted…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-12 Brendan Kline , Matthew A. Masten

Recent observations, especially in cancer immunotherapy clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes, show that the commonly used proportial hazard assumption is often not justifiable, hampering an appropriate analyse of the data by hazard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Marc Ditzhaus , Menggang Yu , Jin Xu

Randomized trials are considered the gold standard for making informed decisions in medicine, yet they often lack generalizability to the patient populations in clinical practice. Observational studies, on the other hand, cover a broader…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , Javier Abad , Konstantin Donhauser , Fanny Yang

Investigators are increasingly using novel methods for extending (generalizing or transporting) causal inferences from a trial to a target population. In many generalizability and transportability analyses, the trial and the observational…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-20 Yu-Han Chiu , Issa J. Dahabreh

Suppose a researcher observes individuals within a county within a state. Given concerns about correlation across individuals, it is common to group observations into clusters and conduct inference treating observations across clusters as…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-24 Yong Cai

Interference occurs between individuals when the treatment (or exposure) of one individual affects the outcome of another individual. Previous work on causal inference methods in the presence of interference has focused on the setting where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Wen Wei Loh , Michael G. Hudgens , John D. Clemens , Mohammad Ali , Michael E. Emch

Blood-based biomarkers underpin clinical diagnosis and management, yet their interpretation relies largely on fixed population reference intervals that ignore stable, intra-patient variability. As such, population-based interpretation can…

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCT)s are relied upon to assess new treatments, but suffer from limited power to guide personalized treatment decisions. On the other hand, observational (i.e., non-experimental) studies have large and diverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-07 Zeshan Hussain , Ming-Chieh Shih , Michael Oberst , Ilker Demirel , David Sontag

This paper studies inference in cluster randomized trials where treatment status is determined according to a "matched pairs" design. Here, by a cluster randomized experiment, we mean one in which treatment is assigned at the level of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-14 Yuehao Bai , Jizhou Liu , Azeem M. Shaikh , Max Tabord-Meehan

Scientific experimentation is largely driven by statistical hypothesis testing to determine significant differences in interventions. Traditionally, experimenters allocate samples uniformly between each intervention. However, such an…

In many classification settings, the class of primary interest is underrepresented, leading to imbalanced data problems that arise in applications such as rare disease detection and fraud identification. In these contexts, identifying a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Daniel Fraiman , Ricardo Fraiman

This note investigates a number of scenarios in which unadjusted testing following a blinded sample size re-estimation leads to type I error violations. For superiority testing, this occurs in certain small-sample borderline cases. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-18 Ekkehard Glimm , Jürgen Läuter