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Chaos is omnipresent in nature, and its understanding provides enormous social and economic benefits. However, the unpredictability of chaotic systems is a textbook concept due to their sensitivity to initial conditions, aperiodic behavior,…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-03-20 Jian Jiang , Long Chen , Lu ke , Bozheng Dou , Yueying Zhu , Yazhou Shi , Huahai Qiu , Bengong Zhang , Tianshou Zhou , Guo-Wei Wei

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Chaos and unpredictability are traditionally synonymous, yet large-scale machine learning methods recently have demonstrated a surprising ability to forecast chaotic systems well beyond typical predictability horizons. However, recent works…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 William Gilpin

Sequence-to-sequence models based on LSTM and GRU are a most popular choice for forecasting time series data reaching state-of-the-art performance. Training such models can be delicate though. The two most common training strategies within…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Philipp Teutsch , Patrick Mäder

Directly learning from examples of varying difficulty levels is often challenging for both humans and machine learning models. A more effective strategy involves exposing learners to examples in a progressive order from easy to difficult.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Guangyu Meng , Qingkai Zeng , John P. Lalor , Hong Yu

This chapter offers a principled approach to the prediction of chaotic systems from data. First, we introduce some concepts from dynamical systems' theory and chaos theory. Second, we introduce machine learning approaches for…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Luca Magri , Andrea Nóvoa , Elise Özalp

The reliable prediction of the temporal behavior of complex systems is key in numerous scientific fields. This strong interest is however hindered by modeling issues: often, the governing equations describing the physics of the system under…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-29 Alessandro Bucci , Onofrio Semeraro , Alexandre Allauzen , Sergio Chibbaro , Lionel Mathelin

Many modern nonlinear control methods aim to endow systems with guaranteed properties, such as stability or safety, and have been successfully applied to the domain of robotics. However, model uncertainty remains a persistent challenge,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-11-20 Andrew J. Taylor , Victor D. Dorobantu , Hoang M. Le , Yisong Yue , Aaron D. Ames

Deducing the states of spatiotemporally chaotic systems (SCSs) as they evolve in time is crucial for various applications. However, it is a dramatic challenge for generally achieving so due to the complexity of non-periodic dynamics and the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-03-04 Longhan Wang , Yifan Sun , Xiangdong Zhang

Recently, a general data driven numerical framework has been developed for learning and modeling of unknown dynamical systems using fully- or partially-observed data. The method utilizes deep neural networks (DNNs) to construct a model for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-18 Victor Churchill , Dongbin Xiu

Learning long-term behaviors in chaotic dynamical systems, such as turbulent flows and climate modelling, is challenging due to their inherent instability and unpredictability. These systems exhibit positive Lyapunov exponents, which…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-04-02 Xiaoyuan Cheng , Yi He , Yiming Yang , Xiao Xue , Sibo Cheng , Daniel Giles , Xiaohang Tang , Yukun Hu

The striking fractal geometry of strange attractors underscores the generative nature of chaos: like probability distributions, chaotic systems can be repeatedly measured to produce arbitrarily-detailed information about the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 William Gilpin

Time-series forecasting is a challenging problem that traditionally requires specialized models custom-trained for the specific task at hand. Recently, inspired by the success of large language models, foundation models pre-trained on vast…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-20 Yuanzhao Zhang , William Gilpin

Curriculum learning-organizing training data from easy to hard-has improved efficiency across machine learning domains, yet remains underexplored for language model pretraining. We present the first systematic investigation of curriculum…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Yang Zhang , Amr Mohamed , Hadi Abdine , Guokan Shang , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Handling regime shifts and non-stationary time series in deep learning systems presents a significant challenge. In the case of online learning, when new information is introduced, it can disrupt previously stored data and alter the model's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-17 Matteo Benati , Alessandro Londei , Denise Lanzieri , Vittorio Loreto

Drawing on ergodic theory, we introduce a novel training method for machine learning based forecasting methods for chaotic dynamical systems. The training enforces dynamical invariants--such as the Lyapunov exponent spectrum and fractal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-26 Jason A. Platt , Stephen G. Penny , Timothy A. Smith , Tse-Chun Chen , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Chaotic dynamics, commonly seen in weather systems and fluid turbulence, are characterized by their sensitivity to initial conditions, which makes accurate prediction challenging. Recent approaches have focused on developing data-driven…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-16 Sunbochen Tang , Themistoklis Sapsis , Navid Azizan

Many real-world applications require machine-learning models to be able to deal with non-stationary data distributions and thus learn autonomously over an extended period of time, often in an online setting. One of the main challenges in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Giuseppe Serra , Ben Werner , Florian Buettner

The problem of safely learning and controlling a dynamical system - i.e., of stabilizing an originally (partially) unknown system while ensuring that it does not leave a prescribed 'safe set' - has recently received tremendous attention in…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-10-10 Jafar Abbaszadeh Chekan , Cedric Langbort
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