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This paper presents the construction of a particle filter, which incorporates elements inspired by genetic algorithms, in order to achieve accelerated adaptation of the estimated posterior distribution to changes in model parameters.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-15 Karol Gellert , Erik Schlögl

Symmetric alpha-stable (S alpha S) distributions with alpha<2 lack finite classical Fisher information. Building on Johnson's framework, we define Mixed Fractional Information (MFI) via the initial rate of relative entropy dissipation…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 William Cook

This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in the joint distribution of independent categorical variables. The procedures introduced rely on model selection and are based on a penalized least-squares criterion.…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-01-08 Nathalie Akakpo

The stochastic nature of time delays and sampling intervals in Networked Control Systems poses significant challenges for controller synthesis and analysis, often leading to conservative designs and degraded performance. This work presents…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-01 Matheus Wagner , Marcelo M. Morato , Antônio Augusto Fröhlich , Julio E. Normey-Rico

We propose a nonlinear filtering framework for approaching the problems of channel state tracking and spatiotemporal channel gain prediction in mobile wireless sensor networks, in a Bayesian setting. We assume that the wireless channel…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-02-09 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Athina P. Petropulu

We investigate the online detection of changepoints in the distribution of a sequence of observations using degenerate U-statistic-type processes. We study weighted versions of: an ordinary, CUSUM-type scheme, a Page-CUSUM-type scheme, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horvath , Lorenzo Trapani

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems under the assumption that we observe a single time series from the slow process only. We construct estimators for both averaging and homogenization…

概率论 · 数学 2018-09-13 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We introduce a novel approach for detecting distribution shifts that negatively impact the performance of machine learning models in continuous production environments, which requires no access to ground truth data labels. It builds upon…

Supervised learning models are one of the most fundamental classes of models. Viewing supervised learning from a probabilistic perspective, the set of training data to which the model is fitted is usually assumed to follow a stationary…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-09-14 Kungang Zhang , Anh T. Bui , Daniel W. Apley

We consider the fundamental problem of matching a template to a signal. We do so by M-estimation, which encompasses procedures that are robust to gross errors (i.e., outliers). Using standard results from empirical process theory, we derive…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-10 Ery Arias-Castro , Lin Zheng

This paper aims at tackling the problem of signal detection in flat-fading channels. In this context, receivers based on the expectation propagation framework appear to be very promising although presenting some critical issues. We develop…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-06-01 Elisa Conti , Amina Piemontese , Giulio Colavolpe , Armando Vannucci

This paper considers the problem of robust adaptive efficient estimating of a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with the dependent noises given by a general square integrable semimartingale with a conditionally…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-24 Evgeny Pchelintsev , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

We develop a divergence-minimization (DM) framework for robust and efficient inference in latent-mixture models. By optimizing a residual-adjusted divergence, the DM approach recovers EM as a special case and yields robust alternatives…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-25 Lei Li , Anand N. Vidyashankar

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

This work examines the close interplay between cooperation and adaptation for distributed detection schemes over fully decentralized networks. The combined attributes of cooperation and adaptation are necessary to enable networks of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Vincenzo Matta , Paolo Braca , Stefano Marano , Ali H. Sayed

We introduce a new class of estimators for the linear response of steady states of stochastic dynamics. We generalize the likelihood ratio approach and formulate the linear response as a product of two martingales, hence the name…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-12-02 Petr Plechac , Gabriel Stoltz , Ting Wang

In the sequential change-point detection literature, most research specifies a required frequency of false alarms at a given pre-change distribution $f_{\theta}$ and tries to minimize the detection delay for every possible post-change…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Yajun Mei

This paper introduces a martingale that characterizes two properties of evolving forecast distributions. Ideal forecasts of a future event behave as martingales, sequen- tially updating the forecast to leverage the available information as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-17 Dean P. Foster , Robert A. Stine

We present a unified technique for sequential estimation of convex divergences between distributions, including integral probability metrics like the kernel maximum mean discrepancy, $\varphi$-divergences like the Kullback-Leibler…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-14 Tudor Manole , Aaditya Ramdas

This paper introduces an adaptive time splitting technique for the solution of stiff evolutionary PDEs that guarantees an effective error control of the simulation, independent of the fastest physical time scale for highly unsteady…

数值分析 · 数学 2012-04-10 Stéphane Descombes , Max Duarte , Thierry Dumont , Violaine Louvet , Marc Massot