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Large time series models (LTMs) have emerged as powerful tools for universal forecasting, yet they often struggle with the inherent diversity and nonstationarity of real-world time series data, leading to an unsatisfactory trade-off between…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-03 Yunzhong Qiu , Zhiyao Cen , Zhongyi Pei , Chen Wang , Jianmin Wang

Incorporating item-side information, such as category and brand, into sequential recommendation is a well-established and effective approach for improving performance. However, despite significant advancements, current models are generally…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2026-01-01 Jie Luo , Wenyu Zhang , Xinming Zhang , Yuan Fang

Forecasting chaotic time series requires models that can capture the intrinsic geometry of the underlying attractor while remaining computationally efficient. We introduce a novel reservoir computing (RC) framework that integrates…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2025-11-06 S. K. Laha

Recent text-to-video diffusion transformers generate visually compelling frames, yet still struggle with temporal coherence, often producing flickering, drifting, or unstable motion. We show that these failures leave a clear imprint inside…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Nurislam Tursynbek , Zhiqiang Lao , Heather Yu , Gedas Bertasius , Marc Niethammer

Time series forecasting (TSF) is critical across domains such as finance, meteorology, and energy. While extending the lookback window theoretically provides richer historical context, in practice, it often introduces irrelevant noise and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Xiang Ao , Yinyu Tan , Mengru Chen

Time series data are ubiquitous across diverse real-world applications, making time series analysis critically important. Traditional approaches are largely task-specific, offering limited functionality and poor transferability. In recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-18 Jiexia Ye , Yongzi Yu , Weiqi Zhang , Le Wang , Jia Li , Fugee Tsung

How to best develop foundational models for time series forecasting remains an important open question. Tokenization is a crucial consideration in this effort: what is an effective discrete vocabulary for a real-valued sequential input? To…

The data analysis of space-based gravitational wave detectors like Taiji faces significant challenges from non-stationary noise, which compromises the efficacy of traditional frequency-domain analysis. This work proposes a unified framework…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2025-06-23 Minghui Du , Ziren Luo , Peng Xu

Heterogeneity and irregularity of multi-source data sets present a significant challenge to time-series analysis. In the literature, the fusion of multi-source time-series has been achieved either by using ensemble learning models which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-07 Futoon M. Abushaqra , Hao Xue , Yongli Ren , Flora D. Salim

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have achieved remarkable success through large-scale pretraining. However, their design primarily targets real-valued series, limiting their ability to handle general forecasting tasks involving diverse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-25 Lu Han , Yu Liu , Lan Li , Qiwen Deng , Jian Jiang , Yinbo Sun , Zhe Yu , Binfeng Wang , Xingyu Lu , Lintao Ma , Han-Jia Ye , De-Chuan Zhan

Many systems arising in biological applications are subject to periodic forcing. In these systems the forcing parameter is not only time-varying but also known to have a periodic structure. We present an approach to estimating periodic,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2019-11-25 Andrea Arnold , Alun L. Lloyd

Generative models for multivariate time series are essential for data augmentation, simulation, and privacy preservation, yet current state-of-the-art diffusion-based approaches are slow and limited to fixed-length windows. We propose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-10 Siyuan Li , Yifan Sun , Lei Cheng , Lewen Wang , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Jianlong Li , Jiang Bian , Shikai Fang

Engineering problems frequently require solution of governing equations with spatially-varying discontinuous coefficients. Even for linear elliptic problems, mapping large ensembles of coefficient fields to solutions can become a major…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Conlain Kelly , Surya R. Kalidindi

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) promise to be powerful tools for a wide range of applications. However, their internal representations and learned concepts are still not well understood. In this study, we investigate the structure and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-09 Michał Wiliński , Mononito Goswami , Willa Potosnak , Nina Żukowska , Artur Dubrawski

Current time series foundation models (TSFMs) primarily focus on learning prevalent and regular patterns within a predefined time or frequency domain to enable supervised downstream tasks (e.g., forecasting). Consequently, they are often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Hui He , Hezhe Qiao , Yutong Chen , Kun Yi , Guansong Pang

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are increasingly being adopted as highly-capable general-purpose time series representation learners. Although their training corpora are vast, they exclude astronomical time series data. Observations…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-02-19 Weijian Li , Hong-Yu Chen , Nabeel Rehemtulla , Ved G. Shah , Dennis Wu , Dongho Kim , Qinjie Lin , Adam A. Miller , Han Liu

Modern web applications--from real-time content recommendation and dynamic pricing to CDN optimization--increasingly rely on time-series forecasting to deliver personalized experiences to billions of users. Large-scale Transformer-based…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Pranav Subbaraman , Fang Sun , Yue Yao , Huacong Tang , Xiao Luo , Yizhou Sun

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) require diverse, real-world datasets to adapt across varying domains and temporal frequencies. However, current large-scale datasets predominantly focus on low-frequency time series with sampling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-22 Subina Khanal , Seshu Tirupathi , Merim Dzaferagic , Marco Ruffini , Torben Bach Pedersen

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) are a powerful paradigm for time series analysis and are often enhanced by synthetic data augmentation to improve the training data quality. Existing augmentation methods, however, typically rely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Junwei Deng , Chang Xu , Jiaqi W. Ma , Ming Jin , Chenghao Liu , Jiang Bian