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Subgroup analysis is a frequently used tool for evaluating heterogeneity of treatment effect and heterogeneity in treatment harm across observed baseline patient characteristics. While treatment efficacy and adverse event measures are often…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-14 Nicholas C. Henderson , Ravi Varadhan

An important goal of precision medicine is to personalize medical treatment by identifying individuals who are most likely to benefit from a specific treatment. The Likely Responder (LR) framework, which identifies a subpopulation where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-13 Annan Deng , Carole Siegel , Hyung G. Park

Approving and assessing new drugs is complex because multiple criteria must be considered simultaneously. A common approach is benefit-risk analysis, often conducted within a Bayesian framework to account for uncertainty and combine data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Konstantinos Vamvourellis , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Lawrence Phillips

Regression Discontinuity Design (RDD) is a popular framework for estimating a causal effect in settings where treatment is assigned if an observed covariate exceeds a fixed threshold. We consider estimation and inference in the common…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-04-16 Kevin Tao , Y. Samuel Wang , David Ruppert

A key question in causal inference analyses is how to find subgroups with elevated treatment effects. This paper takes a machine learning approach and introduces a generative model, Causal Rule Sets (CRS), for interpretable subgroup…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-05-21 Tong Wang , Cynthia Rudin

Finding patient subgroups with similar characteristics is crucial for personalized decision-making in various disciplines such as healthcare and policy evaluation. While most existing approaches rely on unsupervised clustering methods,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-06 Luwei Wang , Nazir Lone , Sohan Seth

Heterogeneity is a fundamental characteristic of cancer. To accommodate heterogeneity, subgroup identification has been extensively studied and broadly categorized into unsupervised and supervised analysis. Compared to unsupervised…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-25 Xing Qin , Xu Liu , Shuangge Ma , Mengyun Wu

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava

Modern epidemiological analytics increasingly use machine learning models that offer strong prediction but often lack calibrated uncertainty. Bayesian methods provide principled uncertainty quantification, yet are viewed as difficult to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Debashis Chatterjee

Background: Mendelian randomization (MR) is a useful approach to causal inference from observational studies when randomised controlled trials are not feasible. However, study heterogeneity of two association studies required in MR is often…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-16 Linyi Zou , Hui Guo , Carlo Berzuini

Regression discontinuity design (RDD) is widely adopted for causal inference under intervention determined by a continuous variable. While one is interested in treatment effect heterogeneity by subgroups in many applications, RDD typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-11 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Takuya Ishihara , Daisuke Kurisu

Gathering labeled data to train well-performing machine learning models is one of the critical challenges in many applications. Active learning aims at reducing the labeling costs by an efficient and effective allocation of costly labeling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-03 Daniel Kottke , Marek Herde , Christoph Sandrock , Denis Huseljic , Georg Krempl , Bernhard Sick

An important task in drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. Identifying predictive covariates, which influence the treatment effect and can be used to define subgroups of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-27 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Katja Ickstadt

In this paper, we develop a graphical modeling framework for the inference of networks across multiple sample groups and data types. In medical studies, this setting arises whenever a set of subjects, which may be heterogeneous due to…

Subgroup selection in clinical trials is essential for identifying patient groups that react differently to a treatment, thereby enabling personalised medicine. In particular, subgroup selection can identify patient groups that respond…

Precision medicine is an emerging field that takes into account individual heterogeneity to inform better clinical practice. In clinical trials, the evaluation of treatment effect heterogeneity is an important component, and recently, many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-24 Yuejia Xu , Angela M. Wood , Brian D. M. Tom

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Commonly, clinical trials report effects not only for the full study population but also for patient subgroups. Meta-analyses of subgroup-specific effects and treatment-by-subgroup interactions may be inconsistent, especially when trials…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Renato Panaro , Christian Röver , Tim Friede

Automated mammography screening plays an important role in early breast cancer detection. However, current machine learning models, developed on some training datasets, may exhibit performance degradation and bias when deployed in…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Amit Kumar Kundu , Florence X. Doo , Vaishnavi Patil , Amitabh Varshney , Joseph Jaja

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Nevertheless, in studies that are aimed at examining adverse effects of interventions, such trials are often impractical because of ethical and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-20 Anthony D. Scotina , Andrew R. Zullo , Robert J. Smith , Roee Gutman
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