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相关论文: ProCause: Generating Counterfactual Outcomes to Ev…

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Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have emerged as powerful foundation models for tabular causal inference, yet their extension to time series remains limited by the absence of synthetic data generators that provide interventional targets.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-09 Dennis Thumm , Ying Chen

Evaluating generative AI models is increasingly resource-intensive due to slow inference, expensive raters, and a rapidly growing landscape of models and benchmarks. We propose ProEval, a proactive evaluation framework that leverages…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-28 Yizheng Huang , Wenjun Zeng , Aditi Kumaresan , Zi Wang

The assessment of process mining techniques using real-life data is often compromised by the lack of ground truth knowledge, the presence of non-essential outliers in system behavior and recording errors in event logs. Using synthetically…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Dominique Sommers , Natalia Sidorova , Boudewijn van Dongen

In biomedical research, repeated measurements within each subject are often processed to remove artifacts and unwanted sources of variation. The resulting data are used to construct derived outcomes that act as proxies for scientific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Zihang Wang , Razieh Nabi , Benjamin B. Risk

We introduce new inference procedures for counterfactual and synthetic control methods for policy evaluation. We recast the causal inference problem as a counterfactual prediction and a structural breaks testing problem. This allows us to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-01-26 Victor Chernozhukov , Kaspar Wüthrich , Yinchu Zhu

Causality is vital for understanding true cause-and-effect relationships between variables within predictive models, rather than relying on mere correlations, making it highly relevant in the field of Explainable AI. In an automated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-28 Arturo Fredes , Jordi Vitria

We consider the task of counterfactual estimation from observational imaging data given a known causal structure. In particular, quantifying the causal effect of interventions for high-dimensional data with neural networks remains an open…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-22 Pedro Sanchez , Sotirios A. Tsaftaris

With the rise of Large Language Models(LLMs), it has become crucial to understand their capabilities and limitations in deciphering and explaining the complex web of causal relationships that language entails. Current methods use either…

Predictive models are being increasingly used to support consequential decision making at the individual level in contexts such as pretrial bail and loan approval. As a result, there is increasing social and legal pressure to provide…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-03-02 Amir-Hossein Karimi , Gilles Barthe , Borja Balle , Isabel Valera

As language models (LMs) deliver increasing performance on a range of NLP tasks, probing classifiers have become an indispensable technique in the effort to better understand their inner workings. A typical setup involves (1) defining an…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-08-01 Charles Jin , Martin Rinard

Counterfactual reasoning allows us to explore hypothetical scenarios in order to explain the impacts of our decisions. However, addressing such inquires is impossible without establishing the appropriate mathematical framework. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Kurt Butler , Marija Iloska , Petar M. Djuric

Randomized experiments have become a cornerstone of evidence-based decision-making in contexts ranging from online platforms to public health. However, in experimental settings with network interference, a unit's treatment can influence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-22 Sadegh Shirani , Yuwei Luo , William Overman , Ruoxuan Xiong , Mohsen Bayati

Causal inference (CI) in observational studies has received a lot of attention in healthcare, education, ad attribution, policy evaluation, etc. Confounding is a typical hazard, where the context affects both, the treatment assignment and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Ankit Sharma , Garima Gupta , Ranjitha Prasad , Arnab Chatterjee , Lovekesh Vig , Gautam Shroff

Recent advances in probabilistic generative modeling have motivated learning Structural Causal Models (SCM) from observational datasets using deep conditional generative models, also known as Deep Structural Causal Models (DSCM). If…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Arash Nasr-Esfahany , Emre Kiciman

Causal reasoning is often challenging with spatial data, particularly when handling high-dimensional inputs. To address this, we propose a neural network (NN) based framework integrated with an approximate Gaussian process to manage spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Ziyang Jiang , Zach Calhoun , Yiling Liu , Lei Duan , David Carlson

High-fidelity Monte Carlo simulations and complex inverse problems, such as mapping smeared experimental observations to ground-truth states, are computationally intensive yet essential for robust data analysis. Conditional Flow Matching…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Zeyu Xia , Tyler Kim , Trevor Reed , Judy Fox , Geoffrey Fox , Adam Szczepaniak

Autoregressive video generation aims at real-time, open-ended synthesis. Yet, cinematic storytelling is not merely the endless extension of a single scene; it requires progressing through evolving events, viewpoint shifts, and discrete shot…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Yihao Meng , Zichen Liu , Hao Ouyang , Qiuyu Wang , Ka Leong Cheng , Yue Yu , Hanlin Wang , Haobo Li , Jiapeng Zhu , Yanhong Zeng , Xing Zhu , Yujun Shen , Qifeng Chen , Huamin Qu

We propose an interactive methodology for generating counterfactual explanations for univariate time series data in classification tasks by leveraging 2D projections and decision boundary maps to tackle interpretability challenges. Our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-21 Udo Schlegel , Julius Rauscher , Daniel A. Keim

Materials process optimization requires reasoning over routes, conditions, tools and causal dependencies, yet most computational formulations flatten synthesis procedures into text or ordered steps. We introduce MatProcBench, a…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Yiming Zhang , Ryo Tamura , Koji Tsuda

Counterfactuals have become a popular technique nowadays for interacting with black-box machine learning models and understanding how to change a particular instance to obtain a desired outcome from the model. However, most existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-29 Philip Naumann , Eirini Ntoutsi