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The synthetic control method (SCM) is a popular approach for estimating the impact of a treatment on a single unit in panel data settings. The "synthetic control" is a weighted average of control units that balances the treated unit's…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-24 Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller , Jesse Rothstein

Synthetic control methods (SCMs) are a canonical approach used to estimate treatment effects from panel data in the internet economy. We shed light on a frequently overlooked but ubiquitous assumption made in SCMs of "overlap": a treated…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-26 Daniel Ngo , Keegan Harris , Anish Agarwal , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Baseline estimation is critical to Demand Response (DR) settlement in electricity markets, yet existing machine learning methods remain limited in predictive performance, while methodologies from causal inference and counterfactual…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Jonas Sievers , Mardavij Roozbehani

The synthetic control method (SCM) estimates causal effects in panel data with a single-treated unit by constructing a counterfactual outcome as a weighted combination of untreated control units that matches the pre-treatment trajectory. In…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Yuxin Wang , Dennis Frauen , Emil Javurek , Konstantin Hess , Yuchen Ma , Stefan Feuerriegel

Recent advances in causal inference have seen the development of methods which make use of the predictive power of machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we develop novel double machine learning (DML) procedures for panel data in which…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-03 Paul S. Clarke , Annalivia Polselli

The System Level Synthesis (SLS) approach facilitates distributed control of large cyberphysical networks in an easy-to-understand, computationally scalable way. We present an overview of the SLS approach and its associated extensions in…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-01 Jing Shuang Li , Carmen Amo Alonso , John C. Doyle

Difference-in-Differences (DiD) and Synthetic Control (SC) are widely used methods for causal inference in panel data, each with distinct strengths and limitations. We propose a novel method for short-panel causal inference that integrates…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-26 Yixiao Sun , Haitian Xie , Yuhang Zhang

We present the Distributed and Localized Model Predictive Control (DLMPC) algorithm for large-scale structured linear systems, wherein only local state and model information needs to be exchanged between subsystems for the computation and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-14 Carmen Amo Alonso , Nikolai Matni

Despite their popularity, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are not always available for the purposes of advertising measurement. Non-experimental data is thus required. However, Facebook and other ad platforms use complex and evolving…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-05 Brett R. Gordon , Robert Moakler , Florian Zettelmeyer

Digital advertising increasingly relies on visual content, yet marketers lack rigorous methods for understanding how specific visual attributes causally affect consumer engagement. This paper addresses a fundamental methodological…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Yizhi Liu , Balaji Padmanabhan , Siva Viswanathan

Extracting image semantics effectively and assigning corresponding labels to multiple objects or attributes for natural images is challenging due to the complex scene contents and confusing label dependencies. Recent works have focused on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-26 Leilei Ma , Dengdi Sun , Lei Wang , Haifeng Zhao , Bin Luo

The double machine learning (DML) method combines the predictive power of machine learning with statistical estimation to conduct inference about the structural parameter of interest. This paper presents the R package `xtdml`, which…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-19 Annalivia Polselli

Bayesian dynamic borrowing (BDB) and synthetic control methods (SCM) are both used in clinical trial design when recruitment, retention, or allocation is a challenge. The performance of these approaches has not previously been directly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Nicole Cizauskas , Foteini Strimenopoulou , Svetlana S. Cherlin , James M. S. Wason

Confounding bias is a key challenge in causal effect estimation from observational data. Double Machine Learning (DML) addresses this issue by estimating treatment and outcome nuisance functions, constructing treatment and outcome…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Guodu Xiang , Kui Yu , Yujie Wang , Richang Hong , Fuyuan Cao , Jiye Liang

The synthetic control method is a an econometric tool to evaluate causal effects when only one unit is treated. While initially aimed at evaluating the effect of large-scale macroeconomic changes with very few available control units, it…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-06-22 Marianne Bléhaut , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Jérémy L'Hour , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

The synthetic control method (SCM) is a popular approach for estimating the impact of a treatment on a single unit with panel data. Two challenges arise with higher frequency data (e.g., monthly versus yearly): (1) achieving excellent…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-16 Liyang Sun , Eli Ben-Michael , Avi Feller

Double machine learning (DML) has become an increasingly popular tool for automated variable selection in high-dimensional settings. Even though the ability to deal with a large number of potential covariates can render…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-05-25 Paul Hünermund , Beyers Louw , Itamar Caspi

Panel data methods are widely used in empirical analysis to address unobserved heterogeneity, but causal inference remains challenging when treatments are endogenous and confounding variables high-dimensional and potentially nonlinear.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-24 Anna Baiardi , Paul S. Clarke , Andrea A. Naghi , Annalivia Polselli

This paper introduces a novel deep metric learning-based semi-supervised regression (DML-S2R) method for parameter estimation problems. The proposed DML-S2R method aims to mitigate the problems of insufficient amount of labeled samples…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-01-24 Adina Zell , Gencer Sumbul , Begüm Demir

Dynamic discrete choice (DDC) models have found widespread application in marketing. However, estimating these becomes challenging in "big data" settings with high-dimensional state-action spaces. To address this challenge, this paper…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-06 Ahmed Khwaja , Sonal Srivastava
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