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In this paper we propose a copula contagion mixture model for correlated default times. The model includes the well known factor, copula, and contagion models as its special cases. The key advantage of such a model is that we can study the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-10-21 Harry Zheng

Ideas by Statistical Mechanics (ISM) is a generic program to model evolution and propagation of ideas/patterns throughout populations subjected to endogenous and exogenous interactions. The program is based on the author's work in…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Lester Ingber

Co-simulation is a promising approach for the modelling and simulation of complex systems, that makes use of mature simulation tools in the respective domains. It has been applied in wildly different domains, oftentimes without a…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-01-21 Gerald Schweiger , Claudio Gomes , Georg Engel , Josef-Peter Schoeggl , Alfred Posch , Irene Hafner , Thierry Nouidu

High dimensional and heterogeneous count data are collected in various applied fields. In this paper, we look closely at high-resolution sequencing data on the microbiome, which have enabled researchers to study the genomes of entire…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-12 Veronica Vinciotti , Pariya Behrouzi , Reza Mohammadi

We present an approach for modeling and imputation of nonignorable missing data. Our approach uses Bayesian data integration to combine (1) a Gaussian copula model for all study variables and missingness indicators, which allows arbitrary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Jerome P. Reiter , Daniel R. Kowal

A new class of copulas, termed the MGL copula class, is introduced. The new copula originates from extracting the dependence function of the multivariate generalized log-Moyal-gamma distribution whose marginals follow the univariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-23 Zhengxiao Li , Jan Beirlant , Liang Yang

We introduce a general approach for modeling the dynamic of multivariate time series when the data are of mixed type (binary/count/continuous). Our method is quite flexible and conditionally on past values, each coordinate at time $t$ can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-05 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

A survival dataset describes a set of instances (e.g. patients) and provides, for each, either the time until an event (e.g. death), or the censoring time (e.g. when lost to follow-up - which is a lower bound on the time until the event).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-22 Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Michael Cooper , Russell Greiner , Rahul G. Krishnan

A standard assumption for causal inference about the joint effects of time-varying treatment is that one has measured sufficient covariates to ensure that within covariate strata, subjects are exchangeable across observed treatment values,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-04 Andrew Ying , Wang Miao , Xu Shi , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Copulas are a powerful tool for modeling multivariate distributions as they allow to separately estimate the univariate marginal distributions and the joint dependency structure. However, known parametric copulas offer limited flexibility…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Tim Janke , Mohamed Ghanmi , Florian Steinke

In biomedical settings, multitype recurrent events such as stroke and heart failure occur frequently, often concluding with a terminal event such as death. Understanding the links between these recurring and terminal events is fundamental…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-15 Mithun Kumar Acharjee , AKM Fazlur Rahman

We study copula-based collective risk models when the dependence structure is defined by a Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula. By leveraging a one-to-one correspondence between the class of FGM copulas and multivariate symmetric…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Christopher Blier-Wong , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

Conditional copulas are flexible statistical tools that couple joint conditional and marginal conditional distributions. In a linear regression setting with more than one covariate and two dependent outcomes, we propose the use of additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-31 Avideh Sabeti , Mian Wei , Radu V. Craiu

Motivated by challenges in the analysis of biomedical data and observational studies, we develop statistical boosting for the general class of bivariate distributional copula regression with arbitrary marginal distributions, which is suited…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-05 Guillermo Briseño Sanchez , Nadja Klein , Hannah Klinkhammer , Andreas Mayr

We follow a long path for Credit Derivatives and Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) in particular, from the introduction of the Gaussian copula model and the related implied correlations to the introduction of arbitrage-free dynamic…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-02-17 Damiano Brigo , Andrea Pallavicini , Roberto Torresetti

In this manuscript, we consider a finite multivariate nonparametric mixture model where the dependence between the marginal densities is modeled using the copula device. Pseudo EM stochastic algorithms were recently proposed to estimate all…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-12-14 Michael Levine , Gildas Mazo

Marginal structural models were introduced in order to provide estimates of causal effects from interventions based on observational studies in epidemiological research. The key point is that this can be understood in terms of Girsanov's…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-07-15 Kjetil Røysland

In this paper, we obtain general representations for the joint distributions and copulas of arbitrary dependent random variables absolutely continuous with respect to the product of given one-dimensional marginal distributions. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Victor H. de la Peña , Rustam Ibragimov , Shaturgun Sharakhmetov

A semi-analytic method is proposed for the generation of realizations of a multivariate process of a given linear correlation structure and marginal distribution. This is an extension of a similar method for univariate processes,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-03-14 Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Efthimia Bora-Senta

One approach for constructing copula functions is by multiplication. Given that products of cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) are also CDFs, an adjustment to this multiplication will result in a copula model, as discussed by…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-10 Ricardo Silva