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相关论文: Probabilistic Forecasting Method for Offshore Wind…

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Score-based diffusion models, which generate new data by learning to reverse a diffusion process that perturbs data from the target distribution into noise, have achieved remarkable success across various generative tasks. Despite their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-23 Gen Li , Yuling Yan

Coastal flooding poses increasing threats to communities worldwide, necessitating accurate and hyper-local inundation forecasting for effective emergency response. However, real-world deployment of forecasting systems is often constrained…

Low-fidelity analytical models of turbine wakes have traditionally been used for wind farm planning, performance evaluation, and demonstrating the utility of advanced control algorithms in increasing the annual energy production. In…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-08-26 Aditya H. Bhatt , Federico Bernardoni , Stefano Leonardi , Armin Zare

A two-stage stochastic optimization model for the design of the closed-loop cable layout of an Offshore Wind Farm (OWF) is presented. The model consists on a Mixed Integer Linear Program (MILP) with scenario numeration incorporation to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-12-30 Juan-Andrés Pérez-Rúa , Sara Lumbreras , Andrés Ramos , Nicolaos A. Cutululis

This work proposes a method of wind farm scenario generation to support real-time optimization tools and presents key findings therein. This work draws upon work from the literature and presents an efficient and scalable method for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-18 Trevor Werho , Junshan Zhang , Vijay Vittal , Yonghong Chen , Anupam Thatte , Long Zhao

Wind power forecasting is essential to power system operation and electricity markets. As abundant data became available thanks to the deployment of measurement infrastructures and the democratization of meteorological modelling, extensive…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-30 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

Offshore wind power in the North Sea is considered a main pillar in Europe's future energy system. A key challenge lies in determining the optimal spatial capacity allocation of offshore wind parks in combination with the dimensioning and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-01 David Kröger , Jan Peper , Nils Offermann , Christian Rehtanz

We propose a data-driven method to solve a stochastic optimal power flow (OPF) problem based on limited information about forecast error distributions. The objective is to determine power schedules for controllable devices in a power…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-01-22 Yi Guo , Kyri Baker , Emiliano Dall'Anese , Zechun Hu , Tyler Summers

We provide the first polynomial-time convergence guarantees for the probability flow ODE implementation (together with a corrector step) of score-based generative modeling. Our analysis is carried out in the wake of recent results obtaining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-22 Sitan Chen , Sinho Chewi , Holden Lee , Yuanzhi Li , Jianfeng Lu , Adil Salim

The increasing integration of renewable energy, particularly offshore wind, introduces significant uncertainty into hybrid AC-HVDC systems due to forecast errors and power fluctuations. Conventional control strategies typically rely on…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-30 Hongjin Du , Rahul Rane , Weijie Xia , Pedro P. Vergara , Aleksandra Lekić

Precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause disasters such as flooding, mudslides, and landslides. Predicting such precipitation in advance is crucial, giving people time to prepare and defend against these precipitation-induced…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Cheng Huang , Pan Mu , Cong Bai , Peter AG Watson

The simulation of stochastic wind loads is necessary for many applications in wind engineering. The proper orthogonal decomposition (POD)-based spectral representation method is a popular approach used for this purpose due to its…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2023-05-11 Thays Guerra Araujo Duarte , Srinivasan Arunachalam , Arthriya Subgranon , Seymour M J Spence

In response to the damage to electric power transmission systems caused by typhoon disasters in coastal areas, a planning-targeted resilience assessment framework that considers the impact of multiple factors is established to accurately…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-09-07 Rui Yang , Yang Li

Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable. We reformulate wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Matteo Peduto , Qidong Yang , Jonathan Giezendanner , Devis Tuia , Sherrie Wang

Wind is one kind of high-efficient, environmentally-friendly and cost-effective energy source. Wind power, as one of the largest renewable energy in the world, has been playing a more and more important role in supplying electricity. Though…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-02 Wei Fan , Yanjie Fu , Shun Zheng , Jiang Bian , Yuanchun Zhou , Hui Xiong

Score-based generative models are a popular class of generative modelling techniques relying on stochastic differential equations (SDE). From their inception, it was realized that it was also possible to perform generation using ordinary…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-13 Joe Benton , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

To address the systematic underestimation of typhoon intensity in artificial intelligence weather prediction (AIWP) models, we propose the Intelligent Shanghai Typhoon Model (ISTM): a unified regional-to-typhoon generative probabilistic…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-08-26 Zeyi Niu , Wei Huang , Sirong Huang , Bo Qin , Mengqi Yang , Haofei Sun , Zhaoyang Huo , Haixia Xiao

We propose a framework for probabilistic forecasting of dynamical systems based on generative modeling. Given observations of the system state over time, we formulate the forecasting problem as sampling from the conditional distribution of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-29 Yifan Chen , Mark Goldstein , Mengjian Hua , Michael S. Albergo , Nicholas M. Boffi , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Increasing attention has been paid to resources on islands, thus microgrids on islands need to be invested. Different from onshore microgrids, offshore microgrids (OM) are usually abundant in ocean renewable energy (ORE), such as offshore…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-05 Zhimeng Wang , Ang Xuan , Xinwei Shen , Yunfei Du , Hongbin Sun

We consider a sequential decision making process, such as renewable energy trading or electrical production scheduling, whose outcome depends on the future realization of a random factor, such as a meteorological variable. We assume that…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-07-01 Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi