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This paper addresses the integration of additional information sources into a Bayesian optimization framework while ensuring that safety constraints are satisfied. The interdependencies between these information sources are modeled using an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Jannis O. Luebsen , Annika Eichler

A Bayesian framework is attractive in the context of prediction, but a fast recursive update of the predictive distribution has apparently been out of reach, in part because Monte Carlo methods are generally used to compute the predictive.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-11 P. Richard Hahn , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

We study methods for simultaneous analysis of many noisy and biased estimates, each paired with an even noisier estimate of its own bias. The analyst's goal is to construct short calibrated intervals for each parameter. The standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-11 Wanyi Ling , Sida Li , Junming Guan , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Bayesian optimization is a popular tool for data-efficient optimization of expensive objective functions. In real-life applications like engineering design, the designer often wants to take multiple objectives as well as input uncertainty…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 J. Qing , I. Couckuyt , T. Dhaene

We develop an efficient Bayesian sequential inference framework for factor analysis models observed via various data types, such as continuous, binary and ordinal data. In the continuous data case, where it is possible to marginalise over…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-28 Konstantinos Vamvourellis , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Irini Moustaki

Privacy has become a major concern in machine learning. In fact, the federated learning is motivated by the privacy concern as it does not allow to transmit the private data but only intermediate updates. However, federated learning does…

This paper introduces the Bayesian Inference Engine (BIE), a general parallel, optimised software package for parameter inference and model selection. This package is motivated by the analysis needs of modern astronomical surveys and the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-04 Martin D. Weinberg

We study the stability of posterior predictive inferences to the specification of the likelihood model and perturbations of the data generating process. In modern big data analyses, useful broad structural judgements may be elicited from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Jack Jewson , Jim Q. Smith , Chris Holmes

Both providers and consumers of distributed storage services benefit from the quantification of the severity of consistency violations. However, existing methods fail to capture a typical pattern of violation - the disorder among operations…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2019-02-19 Yu Huang , Hengfeng Wei , Maosen Huang , Lingzhi Ouyang

Bayesian inference is applied directly to the problem of unfolding. The outcome is a posterior probability density for the spectrum before smearing, defined in the multi-dimensional space of all possible spectra. Regularization consists in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-06-01 Georgios Choudalakis

When dealing with Bayesian inference the choice of the prior often remains a debatable question. Empirical Bayes methods offer a data-driven solution to this problem by estimating the prior itself from an ensemble of data. In the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-13 Ilja Klebanov , Alexander Sikorski , Christof Schütte , Susanna Röblitz

The single-scatter approximation is fundamental in many tomographic imaging problems including x-ray scatter imaging and optical scatter imaging for certain media. In all cases, noisy measurements are affected by both local scatter events…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-21 Michael R. Walker , Joseph A. O'Sullivan

Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-04-03 Jaewoo Park , Murali Haran

We study continual mean estimation, where data vectors arrive sequentially and the goal is to maintain accurate estimates of the running mean. We address this problem under user-level differential privacy, which protects each user's entire…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Nikita P. Kalinin , Ali Najar , Valentin Roth , Christoph H. Lampert

We consider Bayesian optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function, where we also have access to cheaper approximations of the objective. In general, such approximations arise in applications such as reinforcement…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-16 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

When data are stored across multiple locations, directly pooling all the data together for statistical analysis may be impossible due to communication costs and privacy concerns. Distributed computing systems allow the analysis of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-27 Xian Li , Xuan Liang , A. H. Welsh , Tao Zou

We study the properties of variational Bayes approximations for exponential family models with missing values. It is shown that the iterative algorithm for obtaining the variational Bayesian estimator converges locally to the true value…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-19 Bo Wang , D. Titterington

Computing the exact likelihood of data in large Bayesian networks consisting of thousands of vertices is often a difficult task. When these models contain many deterministic conditional probability tables and when the observed values are…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-06-26 Ydo Wexler , Dan Geiger

In this paper, we aim to design and analyze distributed Bayesian estimation algorithms for sensor networks. The challenges we address are to (i) derive a distributed provably-correct algorithm in the functional space of probability…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-25 Parth Paritosh , Nikolay Atanasov , Sonia Martinez

Bayes' Theorem confers inherent limitations on the accuracy of screening tests as a function of disease prevalence. We have shown in previous work that a testing system can tolerate significant drops in prevalence, up until a certain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-01 Jacques Balayla