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Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) provide strong internal validity compared with observational studies. However, selection bias threatens the external validity of randomized trials. Thus, RCT results may not apply to either broad public…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-26 Ziyue Chen , Eloise Kaizar

Complex survey data are usually collected following complex sampling designs. Accounting for the sampling design is essential to obtain unbiased estimates and valid inferences when analyzing complex survey data. The area under the receiver…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Amaia Iparragirre , Thomas Lumley , Irantzu Barrio

While the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) is a commonly used approach for treatment comparisons in observational data, the resulting estimates may be subject to bias and excessively large variance when there is lack of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-13 Zhiqiang Cao , Lama Ghazi , Claudia Mastrogiacomo , Laura Forastiere , F. Perry Wilson , Fan Li

A high-quality experimental dataset is often much smaller than a corresponding observational dataset. When this holds with possibly biased measurements of the outcome of interest in the latter, we propose an estimation and inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Harrison H Li

How should researchers adjust for covariates? We show that if the propensity score is estimated using a specific covariate balancing approach, inverse probability weighting (IPW), augmented inverse probability weighting (AIPW), and inverse…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-23 Tymon Słoczyński , S. Derya Uysal , Jeffrey M. Wooldridge

Average Treatment Effect (ATE) estimation is a well-studied problem in causal inference. However, it does not necessarily capture the heterogeneity in the data, and several approaches have been proposed to tackle the issue, including…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Raghavendra Addanki , Siddharth Bhandari

As an important problem in causal inference, we discuss the identification and estimation of treatment effects (TEs) under limited overlap; that is, when subjects with certain features belong to a single treatment group. We use a latent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-22 Pengzhou Wu , Kenji Fukumizu

When estimating a Global Average Treatment Effect (GATE) under network interference, units can have widely different relationships to the treatment depending on a combination of the structure of their network neighborhood, the structure of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-13 Kevin Han , Johan Ugander

This paper develops a performant Bayesian approach to conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation in regression discontinuity designs (RDD), an increasingly prevalent form of quasi-experiment that facilitates causal inference.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-18 Rafael Alcantara , P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert F. Lopes

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are often underpowered to detect treatment heterogeneity in subgroups defined by cross-classifications of multiple covariates, due to sparse sample sizes in some strata. External RCT data can help, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Youqi Yang , Walter Dempsey , Bhramar Mukherjee

Accurately predicting conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) is crucial in personalized medicine and digital platform analytics. Since the treatments of interest often cannot be directly randomized, observational data is leveraged to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Miruna Oprescu , Nathan Kallus

In this paper we present a technique for using the bootstrap to estimate the operating characteristics and their variability for certain types of ensemble methods. Bootstrapping a model can require a huge amount of work if the training data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-26 Anthony Gamst , Jay-Calvin Reyes , Alden Walker

This study introduces a new approach to power analysis in the context of estimating a local average treatment effect (LATE), where the study subjects exhibit noncompliance with treatment assignment. As a result of distributional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-10 Kirk Bansak

The growing availability of large health databases has expanded the use of observational studies for comparative effectiveness research. Unlike randomized trials, observational studies must adjust for systematic differences in patient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Haidong Lu , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

We develop a Gaussian-process mixture model for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation that leverages the use of transformed outcomes. The approach we will present attempts to improve point estimation and uncertainty quantification…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-19 Abbas Zaidi , Sayan Mukherjee

Survival outcomes are common in comparative effectiveness studies and require unique handling because they are usually incompletely observed due to right-censoring. A ``once for all'' approach for causal inference with survival outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-21 Shuxi Zeng , Fan Li , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) frequently utilize covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR) (e.g., stratified block randomization) and commonly suffer from imperfect compliance. This paper studies the identification and inference for the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-02 Federico A. Bugni , Mengsi Gao , Filip Obradovic , Amilcar Velez

This paper focuses on the bootstrap for network dependent processes under the conditional $\psi$-weak dependence. Such processes are distinct from other forms of random fields studied in the statistics and econometrics literature so that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-01 Denis Kojevnikov

In this paper, we introduce a unified estimator to analyze various treatment effects in causal inference, including but not limited to the average treatment effect (ATE) and the quantile treatment effect (QTE). The proposed estimator is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Kuan-Hsun Wu , Li-Pang Chen

Practical inference procedures for quantile regression models of panel data have been a pervasive concern in empirical work, and can be especially challenging when the panel is observed over many time periods and temporal dependence needs…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-25 Antonio F. Galvao , Carlos Lamarche , Thomas Parker