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Current approaches for time series forecasting, whether in the time or frequency domain, predominantly use deep learning models based on linear layers or transformers. They often encode time series data in a black-box manner and rely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Cheng He , Xijie Liang , Zengrong Zheng , Patrick P. C. Lee , Xu Huang , Zhaoyi Li , Hong Xie , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

This paper focuses on the problem of semi-supervised domain adaptation for time-series forecasting, which is underexplored in literatures, despite being often encountered in practice. Existing methods on time-series domain adaptation mainly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Zijian Li , Ruichu Cai , Tom Z. J Fu , Zhifeng Hao , Kun Zhang

Cross-domain time series forecasting is a valuable task in various web applications. Despite its rapid advancement, achieving effective generalization across heterogeneous time series data remains a significant challenge. Existing methods…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Tingyue Pan , Mingyue Cheng , Shilong Zhang , Zhiding Liu , Xiaoyu Tao , Yucong Luo , Jintao Zhang , Qi Liu

In the transformative landscape of smart cities, the integration of the cutting-edge web technologies into time series forecasting presents a pivotal opportunity to enhance urban planning, sustainability, and economic growth. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-10 Ziyi Zhang , Shaogang Ren , Xiaoning Qian , Nick Duffield

Multivariate time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in contemporary web technologies. In contrast to conventional methods that involve creating dedicated models for specific time series application domains, this research advocates for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-26 Xu Liu , Junfeng Hu , Yuan Li , Shizhe Diao , Yuxuan Liang , Bryan Hooi , Roger Zimmermann

Despite the high performance of neural network-based time series forecasting methods, the inherent challenge in explaining their predictions has limited their applicability in certain application areas. Due to the difficulty in identifying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-09 Ozan Ozyegen , Juyoung Wang , Mucahit Cevik

Time series forecasting models often lack interpretability, limiting their adoption in domains requiring explainable predictions. We propose \textsc{FreqLens}, an interpretable forecasting framework that discovers and attributes predictions…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Chi-Sheng Chen , Xinyu Zhang , En-Jui Kuo , Guan-Ying Chen , Qiuzhe Xie , Fan Zhang

Most existing multivariate time series forecasting methods adopt an all-to-all paradigm that feeds all variable histories into a unified model to predict their future values without distinguishing their individual roles. However, this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Xingyu Zhang , Hanyun Du , Zeen Song , Siyu Zhao , Changwen Zheng , Wenwen Qiang

Conformal prediction is a powerful post-hoc framework for uncertainty quantification that provides distribution-free coverage guarantees. However, these guarantees crucially rely on the assumption of exchangeability. This assumption is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-18 M. Stocker , W. Małgorzewicz , M. Fontana , S. Ben Taieb

The data distribution commonly evolves over time leading to problems such as concept drift that often decrease classifier performance. Current techniques are not adequate for this problem because they either require detailed knowledge of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-13 Johannes Schneider

Industrial time-series, as a structural data responds to production process information, can be utilized to perform data-driven decision-making for effective monitoring of industrial production process. However, there are some challenges…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-22 Chao Min , Guoquan Wen , Jiangru Yuan , Jun Yi , Xing Guo

With the growing availability of multi-domain time series data, there is an increasing demand for general forecasting models pre-trained on multi-source datasets to support diverse downstream prediction scenarios. Existing time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-09 Yihang Wang , Yuying Qiu , Peng Chen , Kai Zhao , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Lujia Pan , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Time series modeling for predictive purpose has been an active research area of machine learning for many years. However, no sufficiently comprehensive and meanwhile substantive survey was offered so far. This survey strives to meet this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Fatoumata Dama , Christine Sinoquet

Learning guarantees often rely on assumptions of i.i.d. data, which will likely be violated in practice once predictors are deployed to perform real-world tasks. Domain adaptation approaches thus appeared as a useful framework yielding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-29 Joao Monteiro , Xavier Gibert , Jianqiao Feng , Vincent Dumoulin , Dar-Shyang Lee

Recent breakthroughs in natural language processing and computer vision, driven by efficient pre-training on large datasets, have enabled foundation models to excel on a wide range of tasks. However, this potential has not yet been fully…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-03 Özgün Turgut , Philip Müller , Martin J. Menten , Daniel Rueckert

Multivariate time-series forecasting holds immense value across diverse applications, requiring methods to effectively capture complex temporal and inter-variable dynamics. A key challenge lies in uncovering the intrinsic patterns that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Liang Yu , Lai Tu , Xiang Bai

Conventional deep models have achieved unprecedented success in time series forecasting. However, facing the challenge of cross-domain generalization, existing studies utilize statistical prior as prompt engineering fails under the huge…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-26 Xiangkai Ma , Xiaobin Hong , Mingkai Lin , Han Zhang , Wenzhong Li , Sanglu Lu

Multi-variate time series forecasting is an important problem with a wide range of applications. Recent works model the relations between time-series as graphs and have shown that propagating information over the relation graph can improve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-04 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Lingkai Kong , Alexander Rodriguez , Chao Zhang , B Aditya Prakash

Time series data is prevalent in a wide variety of real-world applications and it calls for trustworthy and explainable models for people to understand and fully trust decisions made by AI solutions. We consider the problem of building…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-25 Tsung-Yu Hsieh , Suhang Wang , Yiwei Sun , Vasant Honavar

In various applications, probabilistic forecasts are required to quantify the inherent uncertainty associated with the forecast. However, numerous modern forecasting methods are still designed to create deterministic forecasts. Transforming…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-06 Kaleb Phipps , Benedikt Heidrich , Marian Turowski , Moritz Wittig , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer
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