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相关论文: A Regression-Based Share Market Prediction Model f…

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The aim of this study is to investigate quantitatively whether share prices deviated from company fundamentals in the stock market crash of 2008. For this purpose, we use a large database containing the balance sheets and share prices of…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-08-07 Taisei Kaizoji , Michiko Miyano

Whether or not stocks are predictable has been a topic of concern for decades.The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) says that it is difficult for investors to make extra profits by predicting stock prices, but this may not be true,…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-07 Yueshan Chen , Xingyu Xu , Tian Lan , Sihai Zhang

Providing a measure of market risk is an important issue for investors and financial institutions. However, the existing models for this purpose are per definition symmetric. The current paper introduces an asymmetric capital asset pricing…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-05-07 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

Financial economic models often assume that investors know (or agree on) the fundamental value of the shares of the firm, easing the passage from the individual to the collective dimension of the financial system generated by the Share…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-09-27 Yuri Biondi , Pierpaolo Giannoccolo , Serge Galam

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has always been a challenging task for the researchers. While the advocates of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) believe that it is impossible to design any predictive framework that can…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-03 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

The waiting time needed for a stock market index to undergo a given percentage change in its value is found to have an up-down asymmetry, which, surprisingly, is not observed for the individual stocks composing that index. To explain this,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Raul Donangelo , Mogens H. Jensen , Ingve Simonsen , Kim Sneppen

Time series forecasting is widely used in a multitude of domains. In this paper, we present four models to predict the stock price using the SPX index as input time series data. The martingale and ordinary linear models require the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-10-23 Aaron Elliot , Cheng Hua Hsu

Data mining methods have been widely applied in financial markets, with the purpose of providing suitable tools for prices forecasting and automatic trading. Particularly, learning methods aim to identify patterns in time series and, based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-01-22 Marcelo S. Lauretto , Barbara B. C. Silva , Pablo M. Andrade

One of the most enticing research areas is the stock market, and projecting stock prices may help investors profit by making the best decisions at the correct time. Deep learning strategies have emerged as a critical technique in the field…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-07-26 Karan Pardeshi , Sukhpal Singh Gill , Ahmed M. Abdelmoniem

Market Mill is a complex dependence pattern leading to nonlinear correlations and predictability in intraday dynamics of stock prices. The present paper puts together previous efforts to build a dynamical model reflecting the market mill…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-13 Sergey Zaitsev , Alexander Zaitsev , Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin

In this paper we seek to demonstrate the predictability of stock market returns and explain the nature of this return predictability. To this end, we introduce investors with different investment horizons into the news-driven, analytic,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2016-03-30 Dimitri Kroujiline , Maxim Gusev , Dmitry Ushanov , Sergey V. Sharov , Boris Govorkov

This paper, for the first time, focuses on the sector-wise analysis of a stock market through multifractal analysis. We have considered Bombay Stock Exchange, India, and identified two time scales, short ($<200$ days) and long time-scale…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-10-19 Suchetana Sadhukhan , Poulomi Sadhukhan

This research presents a comprehensive framework for analyzing liquidity in financial markets, particularly in the context of high-frequency trading. By leveraging advanced machine learning classification techniques, including Logistic…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-08-20 Sid Bhatia , Sidharth Peri , Sam Friedman , Michelle Malen

The stock market is a crucial component of the financial system, but predicting the movement of stock prices is challenging due to the dynamic and intricate relations arising from various aspects such as economic indicators, financial…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-13 Hao Qian , Hongting Zhou , Qian Zhao , Hao Chen , Hongxiang Yao , Jingwei Wang , Ziqi Liu , Fei Yu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou

Financial markets are integral to a country's economic success, yet their complex nature raises challenging issues for predicting their behaviors. There is a growing demand for an integrated system that explores the vast and diverse data in…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-12-10 Ali Abrishami , Jafar Habibi , AmirAli Jarrahi , Dariush Amiri , MohammadAmin Fazli

How an investor invests in the market is largely influenced by the market efficiency because if a market is efficient, it is extremely difficult to make excessive returns because in an efficient market there will be no undervalued…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-10-14 Achal Awasthi , Oleg Malafeyev

This paper initiates a study into the century-old issue of market predictability from the perspective of computational complexity. We develop a simple agent-based model for a stock market where the agents are traders equipped with simple…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 James Aspnes , David F. Fischer , Michael J. Fischer , Ming-Yang Kao , Alok Kumar

The paper studies the linear model for Bitcoin price which includes regression features based on Bitcoin currency statistics, mining processes, Google search trends, Wikipedia pages visits. The pattern of deviation of regression model…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-11 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

The increasing richness in volume, and especially types of data in the financial domain provides unprecedented opportunities to understand the stock market more comprehensively and makes the price prediction more accurate than before.…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-16 Huiwen Wang , Shan Lu , Jichang Zhao