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This dissertation focuses on modern causal inference under uncertainty and data restrictions, with applications to neoadjuvant clinical trials, distributed data networks, and robust individualized decision making. In the first project, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Xiaoqing Tan

When treatments are non-randomly assigned, continuous, and yield heterogeneous effects at the same intensity, causal identification becomes particularly challenging. In such contexts, existing approaches often fail to provide…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-05 Augusto Cerqua , Roberta Di Stefano , Raffaele Mattera

This paper provides a link between causal inference and machine learning techniques - specifically, Classification and Regression Trees (CART) - in observational studies where the receipt of the treatment is not randomized, but the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-23 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Giorgio Gnecco

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

Cluster-randomized experiments are widely used due to their logistical convenience and policy relevance. To analyze them properly, we must address the fact that the treatment is assigned at the cluster level instead of the individual level.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-06 Fangzhou Su , Peng Ding

This paper proposes an adaptive randomization procedure for two-stage randomized controlled trials. The method uses data from a first-wave experiment in order to determine how to stratify in a second wave of the experiment, where the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-07-06 Max Tabord-Meehan

Interference occurs when the potential outcomes of a unit depend on the treatment of others. Interference can be highly heterogeneous, where treating certain individuals might have a larger effect on the population's overall outcome. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-11 Samantha G Dean , Georgia Papadogeorgou , Laura Forastiere

Machine learning algorithms with empirical risk minimization usually suffer from poor generalization performance due to the greedy exploitation of correlations among the training data, which are not stable under distributional shifts.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-18 Jiashuo Liu , Zheyuan Hu , Peng Cui , Bo Li , Zheyan Shen

Developments in genome-wide association studies and the increasing availability of summary genetic association data have made the application of two-sample Mendelian Randomization (MR) with summary data increasingly popular. Conventional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-22 Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang , Chong Wu

We consider the problem of conditional density estimation, which is a major topic of interest in the fields of statistical and machine learning. Our method, called Marginal Contrastive Discrimination, MCD, reformulates the conditional…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-05 Katia Meziani , Aminata Ndiaye , Benjamin Riu

Understanding causal heterogeneity is essential for scientific discovery in domains such as biology and medicine. However, existing methods lack causal awareness, with insufficient modeling of heterogeneity, confounding, and observational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-29 Wenrui Li , Qinghao Zhang , Xiaowo Wang

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are widely considered the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of new treatments or interventions in drug development. Still, they may not be feasible in certain cases, such as with rare diseases…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-05 Di Ran , Fanni Zhang , Sima Shahsavari , Kristine Broglio , Alasdair Henderson , Binbing Yu

Collaboration between different data centers is often challenged by heterogeneity across sites. To account for the heterogeneity, the state-of-the-art method is to re-weight the covariate distributions in each site to match the distribution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-25 Tianyu Guo , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy , Michael I. Jordan

This paper discusses endogenous treatment models with duration outcomes, competing risks and random right censoring. The endogeneity issue is solved using a discrete instrumental variable. We show that the competing risks model generates a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Jad Beyhum , Jean-Pierre Florens , Ingrid Van Keilegom

We present structured domain randomization (SDR), a variant of domain randomization (DR) that takes into account the structure and context of the scene. In contrast to DR, which places objects and distractors randomly according to a uniform…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-08-19 Aayush Prakash , Shaad Boochoon , Mark Brophy , David Acuna , Eric Cameracci , Gavriel State , Omer Shapira , Stan Birchfield

Difference-in-Differences designs with staggered treatment adoption are widely used to study heterogeneous treatment effects across cohorts and time periods. We develop a probabilistic framework for estimating potentially high-dimensional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-22 Siddhartha Chib , Kenichi Shimizu

A common problem in the analysis of multiple data sources, including individual participant data meta-analysis (IPD-MA), is the misclassification of binary variables. Misclassification may lead to biased estimates of model parameters, even…

In clinical trials studying paired parts of a subject with binary outcomes, it is expected to collect measurements bilaterally. However, there are cases where subjects contribute measurements for only one part. By utilizing combined data,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-06 Shuyi Liang , Kai-Tai Fang , Xin-Wei Huang , Yijing Xin , Chang-Xing Ma

Genetic data are frequently categorical and have complex dependence structures that are not always well understood. For this reason, clustering and classification based on genetic data, while highly relevant, are challenging statistical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-13 Gabriela Bettella Cybis , Marcio Valk , Silvia Regina Costa Lopes

Conditional effects are commonly used measures for understanding how treatment effects vary across different groups, and are often used to target treatments/interventions to groups who benefit most. In this work we review existing methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Jiacheng Ge , Iván Díaz
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