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Solar active regions (ARs) are the primary drivers of space weather events, making their early prediction crucial for operational forecasting systems. We develop machine learning models capable of predicting the evolution of magnetic flux…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-04-07 Eren Dogan , Spiridon Kasapis , Sarang Patil , Jonas Tirona , John Stefan , Irina Kitiashvili , Mengjia Xu , Alexander Kosovichev

A convolutional neural network (CNN) is used to construct a new catalog for solar flares based on high resolution (1-s cadence) Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) soft X-ray data. The CNN is trained to identify flare…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2026-04-13 Nastaran Farhang , Michael. S. Wheatland , Andrew Melatos

Solar energetic particle (SEP) events are one of the most crucial aspects of space weather that require continuous monitoring and forecasting. Their prediction depends on various factors including source eruptions. In the present work, we…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-03-27 Sumanth A. Rotti , Berkay Aydin , Petrus C. Martens

Short Term Load Forecast (STLF) is necessary for effective scheduling, operation optimization trading, and decision-making for electricity consumers. Modern and efficient machine learning methods are recalled nowadays to manage complicated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Junjie Hu , Brenda López Cabrera , Awdesch Melzer

Accurate short-term solar and wind power predictions play an important role in the planning and operation of power systems. However, the short-term power prediction of renewable energy has always been considered a complex regression…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-08 Wenlong Liao , Birgitte Bak-Jensen , Jayakrishnan Radhakrishna Pillai , Zhe Yang , Kuangpu Liu

Objective: Forecasting epileptic seizures can reduce uncertainty for patients and allow preventative actions. While many models can predict the occurrence of seizures from features of the EEG, few models incorporate changes in features over…

Solar flares are explosions on the Sun. They happen when energy stored in magnetic fields around solar active regions (ARs) is suddenly released. In this paper, we present a transformer-based framework, named SolarFlareNet, for predicting…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2024-05-28 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang

Accurate spatiotemporal traffic forecasting is vital for intelligent resource management in 5G and beyond. However, conventional AI approaches often fail to capture the intricate spatial and temporal patterns that exist, due to e.g., the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-29 Khalid Ali , Zineddine Bettouche , Andreas Kassler , Andreas Fischer

This work addresses the challenge of short-term precipitation forecasting by applying Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM) neural networks to weather radar data from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Petros Demetrakopoulos

This study progresses solar flare prediction research by presenting a full-disk deep-learning model to forecast $\geq$M-class solar flares and evaluating its efficacy on both central (within $\pm$70$^\circ$) and near-limb (beyond…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2023-08-31 Chetraj Pandey , Anli Ji , Trisha Nandakumar , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

Deep learning models, particularly Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, are widely used in time series forecasting due to their ability to capture complex temporal dependencies. However, evaluation integrity is often compromised by data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-09 Salma Albelali , Moataz Ahmed

An essential task in predictive maintenance is the prediction of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) through the analysis of multivariate time series. Using the sliding window method, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and conventional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-08-11 Yexu Zhou , Yuting Gao , Yiran Huang , Michael Hefenbrock , Till Riedel , Michael Beigl

In this work, we introduce FLAME, a family of extremely lightweight and capable Time Series Foundation Models, which support both deterministic and probabilistic forecasting via generative probabilistic modeling, thus ensuring both…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-10 Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Xiangfei Qiu , Zhengyu Li , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Chimeras and branching are two archetypical complex phenomena that appear in many physical systems; because of their different intrinsic dynamics, they delineate opposite non-trivial limits in the complexity of wave motion and present…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-03-18 G. Neofotistos , M. Mattheakis , G. D. Barmparis , J. Hizanidis , G. P. Tsironis , E. Kaxiras

Energy prediction in buildings plays a crucial role in effective energy management. Precise predictions are essential for achieving optimal energy consumption and distribution within the grid. This paper introduces a Long Short-Term Memory…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-07 Aditya Mishra , Haroon R. Lone , Aayush Mishra

Accurate rainfall forecasting is crucial for effective disaster preparedness and mitigation in the North-East region of India, which is prone to extreme weather events such as floods and landslides. In this study, we investigated the use of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-19 Paleti Nikhil Chowdary , Sathvika P , Pranav U , Rohan S , Sowmya V , Gopalakrishnan E A , Dhanya M

We present the encoder-forecaster convolutional long short-term memory (LSTM) deep-learning model that powers Microsoft Weather's operational precipitation nowcasting product. This model takes as input a sequence of weather radar mosaics…

Solar energy is a clean and renewable energy. Photovoltaic (PV) power is an important way to utilize solar energy. Accurate PV power forecast is crucial to the large-scale application of PV power and the stability of electricity grid. This…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-06 Mingliang Bai , Xinyu Zhao , Zhenhua Long , Jinfu Liu , Daren Yu

Traditional recurrent neural network architectures, such as long short-term memory neural networks (LSTM), have historically held a prominent role in time series forecasting (TSF) tasks. While the recently introduced sLSTM for Natural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-25 Yaxuan Kong , Zepu Wang , Yuqi Nie , Tian Zhou , Stefan Zohren , Yuxuan Liang , Peng Sun , Qingsong Wen

Solar radio flux along with geomagnetic indices are important indicators of solar activity and its effects. Extreme solar events such as flares and geomagnetic storms can negatively affect the space environment including satellites in…