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Counterfactual estimation over time is important in various applications, such as personalized medicine. However, time-dependent confounding bias in observational data still poses a significant challenge in achieving accurate and efficient…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-13 Nghia D. Nguyen , Pablo Robles-Granda , Lav R. Varshney

Recurrent Neural Networks were, until recently, one of the best ways to capture the timely dependencies in sequences. However, with the introduction of the Transformer, it has been proven that an architecture with only attention-mechanisms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-19 Radostin Cholakov , Todor Kolev

Efficiently modeling spatio-temporal (ST) physical processes and observations presents a challenging problem for the deep learning community. Many recent studies have concentrated on meticulously reconciling various advantages, leading to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-04 Hao Wu , Yuxuan Liang , Wei Xiong , Zhengyang Zhou , Wei Huang , Shilong Wang , Kun Wang

Transformer-based models have greatly pushed the boundaries of time series forecasting recently. Existing methods typically encode time series data into $\textit{patches}$ using one or a fixed set of patch lengths. This, however, could…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-09 Linfeng Du , Ji Xin , Alex Labach , Saba Zuberi , Maksims Volkovs , Rahul G. Krishnan

In the domain of multivariate forecasting, transformer models stand out as powerful apparatus, displaying exceptional capabilities in handling messy datasets from real-world contexts. However, the inherent complexity of these datasets,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-08 Jingjing Xu , Caesar Wu , Yuan-Fang Li , Pascal Bouvry

The in-the-wild affective behavior analysis has been an important study. In this paper, we submit our solutions for the 5th Workshop and Competition on Affective Behavior Analysis in-the-wild (ABAW), which includes V-A Estimation, Facial…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Peng Zou , Rui Wang , Kehua Wen , Yasi Peng , Xiao Sun

Traffic flow forecasting is a crucial task in transportation management and planning. The main challenges for traffic flow forecasting are that (1) as the length of prediction time increases, the accuracy of prediction will decrease; (2)…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-05-13 Jianli Xiao , Baichao Long

Counterfactual examples are an appealing class of post-hoc explanations for machine learning models. Given input $x$ of class $y_1$, its counterfactual is a contrastive example $x^\prime$ of another class $y_0$. Current approaches primarily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-17 Xiaoting Shao , Kristian Kersting

In observational studies, treatment may be adapted to covariates at several times without a fixed protocol, in continuous time. Treatment influences covariates, which influence treatment, which influences covariates, and so on. Then even…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-02 Judith J. Lok

Survival analysis is a critical tool for modeling time-to-event data. Recent deep learning-based models have reduced various modeling assumptions including proportional hazard and linearity. However, a persistent challenge remains in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Maxmillan Ries , Sohan Seth

We propose an importance sampling method for tractable and efficient estimation of counterfactual expressions in general settings, named Exogenous Matching. By minimizing a common upper bound of counterfactual estimators, we transform the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Yikang Chen , Dehui Du , Lili Tian

Structural models that admit multiple reduced forms, such as game-theoretic models with multiple equilibria, pose challenges in practice, especially when parameters are set-identified and the identified set is large. In such cases,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-29 Nathan Canen , Kyungchul Song

Counterfactual Explanations are becoming a de-facto standard in post-hoc interpretable machine learning. For a given classifier and an instance classified in an undesired class, its counterfactual explanation corresponds to small…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-17 Veronica Piccialli , Dolores Romero Morales , Cecilia Salvatore

We propose Deep Longitudinal Targeted Minimum Loss-based Estimation (Deep LTMLE), a novel approach to estimate the counterfactual mean of outcome under dynamic treatment policies in longitudinal problem settings. Our approach utilizes a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-09 Toru Shirakawa , Yi Li , Yulun Wu , Sky Qiu , Yuxuan Li , Mingduo Zhao , Hiroyasu Iso , Mark van der Laan

Traffic flow prediction (TFP) is a fundamental problem of the Intelligent Transportation System (ITS), as it models the latent spatial-temporal dependency of traffic flow for potential congestion prediction. Recent graph-based models with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-02 Ying Yang , Kai Du , Xingyuan Dai , Jianwu Fang

Many real-world problems can be naturally described by mathematical formulas. The task of finding formulas from a set of observed inputs and outputs is called symbolic regression. Recently, neural networks have been applied to symbolic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-24 Martin Vastl , Jonáš Kulhánek , Jiří Kubalík , Erik Derner , Robert Babuška

Counterfactual explanations are a common approach to providing recourse to data subjects. However, current methodology can produce counterfactuals that cannot be achieved by the subject, making the use of counterfactuals for recourse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-04 Alexander Asemota , Giles Hooker

Estimating effects of spatially structured exposures is complicated by unmeasured spatial confounders, which undermine identifiability in spatial linear regression models unless structural assumptions are imposed. We develop a general…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Anik Burman , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Abhirup Datta

Predicting trajectories of pedestrians based on goal information in highly interactive scenes is a crucial step toward Intelligent Transportation Systems and Autonomous Driving. The challenges of this task come from two key sources: (1)…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-02-16 Weicheng Zhang , Hao Cheng , Fatema T. Johora , Monika Sester

Despite their high accuracies, modern complex image classifiers cannot be trusted for sensitive tasks due to their unknown decision-making process and potential biases. Counterfactual explanations are very effective in providing…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-13 Kamran Alipour , Aditya Lahiri , Ehsan Adeli , Babak Salimi , Michael Pazzani