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The paper introduces a method to construct confidence bands for bounded, band-limited functions based on a finite sample of input-output pairs. The approach is distribution-free w.r.t. the observation noises and only the knowledge of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-28 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

The paper studies the problem of constructing nonparametric simultaneous confidence bands with nonasymptotic and distribition-free guarantees. The target function is assumed to be band-limited and the approach is based on the theory of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Bálint Horváth

When collections of functional data are too large to be exhaustively observed, survey sampling techniques provide an effective way to estimate global quantities such as the population mean function. Assuming functional data are collected…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-12 Hervé Cardot , David Degras , Etienne Josserand

Quantifying uncertainty using confidence regions is a central goal of statistical inference. Despite this, methodologies for confidence bands in Functional Data Analysis are still underdeveloped compared to estimation and hypothesis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-14 Dominik Liebl , Matthew Reimherr

In this paper we develop procedures to construct simultaneous confidence bands for $\tilde p$ potentially infinite-dimensional parameters after model selection for general moment condition models where $\tilde p$ is potentially much larger…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Ying Wei

Many scientific analyses require simultaneous comparison of multiple functionals of an unknown signal at once, calling for multidimensional confidence regions with guaranteed simultaneous frequentist under structural constraints (e.g.,…

The problem of establishing out-of-sample bounds for the values of an unkonwn ground-truth function is considered. Kernels and their associated Hilbert spaces are the main formalism employed herein along with an observational model where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-13 Paul Scharnhorst , Emilio T. Maddalena , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones

In this paper, we propose and study construction of confidence bands for shape-constrained regression functions when the predictor is multivariate. In particular, we consider the continuous multidimensional white noise model given by $d…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-24 Ashley , Datta , Somabha Mukherjee , Bodhisattva Sen

We consider the problem of reconstructing a function from a finite set of noise-corrupted samples. Two kernel algorithms are analyzed, namely kernel ridge regression and $\varepsilon$-support vector regression. By assuming the ground-truth…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-03 Emilio T. Maddalena , Paul Scharnhorst , Colin N. Jones

This study intends to introduce kernel mean embedding of probability measures over infinite-dimensional separable Hilbert spaces induced by functional response statistical models. The embedded function represents the concentration of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-05 Saeed Hayati , Kenji Fukumizu , Afshin Parvardeh

Confidence bands are confidence sets for an unknown function f, containing all functions within some sup-norm distance of an estimator. In the density estimation, regression, and white noise models, we consider the problem of constructing…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-19 Adam D. Bull

Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties,…

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are essential for making reliable predictions about latent functions from noisy data, and thus, a key enabler for safe learning-based control. In this domain, kernel methods such as Gaussian process…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Amon Lahr , Anna Scampicchio , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

A long-standing problem in the construction of asymptotically correct confidence bands for a regression function $m(x)=E[Y|X=x]$, where $Y$ is the response variable influenced by the covariate $X$, involves the situation where $Y$ values…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-10 Ali Al-Sharadqah , Majid Mojirsheibani

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown,…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-17 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

Depth measures have gained popularity in the statistical literature for defining level sets in complex data structures like multivariate data, functional data, and graphs. Despite their versatility, integrating depth measures into…

The laws of quantum mechanics place fundamental limits on the accuracy of measurements and therefore on the estimation of unknown parameters of a quantum system. In this work, we prove lower bounds on the size of confidence regions reported…

量子物理 · 物理学 2014-12-23 Michael Walter , Joseph M. Renes

In this work, we consider "finite bandwidth" reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces which have orthonormal bases of the form $f_n(z)=z^n \prod_{j=1}^J \left( 1 - a_{n}w_j z \right)$, where $w_1 ,w_2, \ldots w_J $ are distinct points on the…

泛函分析 · 数学 2023-10-18 Gregory T. Adams , Nathan A. Wagner

We consider kernel estimation of marginal densities and regression functions of stationary processes. It is shown that for a wide class of time series, with proper centering and scaling, the maximum deviations of kernel density and…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-21 Weidong Liu , Wei Biao Wu

In this paper, we propose to construct confidence bands by bootstrapping the debiased kernel density estimator (for density estimation) and the debiased local polynomial regression estimator (for regression analysis). The idea of using a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-06 Gang Cheng , Yen-Chi Chen
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