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Distribution shifts introduce uncertainty that undermines the robustness and generalization capabilities of machine learning models. While conventional wisdom suggests that learning causal-invariant representations enhances robustness to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-28 Abbavaram Gowtham Reddy , Celia Rubio-Madrigal , Rebekka Burkholz , Krikamol Muandet

Practitioners often face the challenge of deploying prediction models in new environments with shifted distributions of covariates and responses. With observational data, such shifts are often driven by unobserved confounding, and can in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Kulunu Dharmakeerthi , YoonHaeng Hur , Tengyuan Liang

In transfer learning, the learner leverages auxiliary data to improve generalization on a main task. However, the precise theoretical understanding of when and how auxiliary data help remains incomplete. We provide new insights on this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Meitong Liu , Christopher Jung , Rui Li , Xue Feng , Han Zhao

A default assumption in many machine learning scenarios is that the training and test samples are drawn from the same probability distribution. However, such an assumption is often violated in the real world due to non-stationarity of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-05-04 Tianyi Zhang , Ikko Yamane , Nan Lu , Masashi Sugiyama

Varying domains and biased datasets can lead to differences between the training and the target distributions, known as covariate shift. Current approaches for alleviating this often rely on estimating the ratio of training and target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-27 Bijan Mazaheri , Siddharth Jain , Jehoshua Bruck

Distributionally robust policy learning aims to find a policy that performs well under the worst-case distributional shift, and yet most existing methods for robust policy learning consider the worst-case joint distribution of the covariate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Jingyuan Wang , Zhimei Ren , Ruohan Zhan , Zhengyuan Zhou

Generalization error bounds are critical to understanding the performance of machine learning models. In this work, building upon a new bound of the expected value of an arbitrary function of the population and empirical risk of a learning…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-05-07 Gholamali Aminian , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

We study the problem of class distribution estimation under dataset shift. On the training dataset, both features and class labels are observed while on the test dataset only the features can be observed. The task then is the estimation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-30 Dirk Tasche

Existing generalization theories of supervised learning typically take a holistic approach and provide bounds for the expected generalization over the whole data distribution, which implicitly assumes that the model generalizes similarly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-08 Firas Laakom , Yuheng Bu , Moncef Gabbouj

Covariate shift relaxes the widely-employed independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption by allowing different training and testing input distributions. Unfortunately, common methods for addressing covariate shift by trying to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-01-02 Anqi Liu , Brian D. Ziebart

Minimizing expected loss measured by a proper scoring rule, such as Brier score or log-loss (cross-entropy), is a common objective while training a probabilistic classifier. If the data have experienced dataset shift where the class…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-05 Theodore James Thibault Heiser , Mari-Liis Allikivi , Meelis Kull

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

The most effective differentially private machine learning algorithms in practice rely on an additional source of purportedly public data. This paradigm is most interesting when the two sources combine to be more than the sum of their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-25 Amrith Setlur , Pratiksha Thaker , Jonathan Ullman

Educational policymakers often lack data on student outcomes where standardized tests were not administered. Machine learning can predict unobserved outcomes in target populations using source population data. However, covariate…

Distributed learning facilitates the scaling-up of data processing by distributing the computational burden over several nodes. Despite the vast interest in distributed learning, generalization performance of such approaches is not well…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-05-05 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale , Anders Ahlén

The main challenge that sets transfer learning apart from traditional supervised learning is the distribution shift, reflected as the shift between the source and target models and that between the marginal covariate distributions. In this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Zelin He , Ying Sun , Jingyuan Liu , Runze Li

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

In this work, we present a novel upper bound of target error to address the problem for unsupervised domain adaptation. Recent studies reveal that a deep neural network can learn transferable features which generalize well to novel tasks.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-07 Dexuan Zhang , Tatsuya Harada

A key problem in the theory of meta-learning is to understand how the task distributions influence transfer risk, the expected error of a meta-learner on a new task drawn from the unknown task distribution. In this paper, focusing on fixed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-06-15 Mikhail Konobeev , Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári

Learning with identical train and test distributions has been extensively investigated both practically and theoretically. Much remains to be understood, however, in statistical learning under distribution shifts. This paper focuses on a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-01 Omar Montasser , Han Shao , Emmanuel Abbe